This BLT approach is why "AI research is stalling" takes are wrong. Dynamic byte-level patches instead of tokens seems genuinely innovative, not just scaling up the same architecture. Better efficiency AND handling edge cases better? Actual progress. The field is still finding clever ways to rethink fundamentals.
zamalek•3h ago
I think the sentiment (at least my sentiment) is that "mainstream ML" has fallen into the transformer local minimum, and given the weight of the players in that space it will take a huge amount of force to move them out of it.
The likes of this, Mercury Coder, and even RKWV are definitely hopeful - but there's a pitch black shadow of hype and speculation to outshine.
anon291•3h ago
I disagree. Most AI innovation today is around things like agents, integrations, and building out use cases. This is possible because transformers have made human-like AI possible for the first-time in the history of humanity. These use-cases will remain the same even if the underlying architecture changes. The number of people working on new architectures today is way more than were working on neural networks in 2017 when 'attention is all you need' came out. Nevertheless, actual ML model researchers are only a small portion of the total ML/AI community, and this is fine.
janalsncm•2h ago
> AI innovation today
I think you are talking about something else. In my opinion, integration is very different from fundamental ML research.
anon291•38m ago
There is more fundamental ML research today than at any other point in history, including in non-transformer architectures. That is my point. It doesn't seem that way because 90%+ of 'ML research' has nothing to do with fundamental ML and is instead research around applications, which are indifferent to the underlying model at the end of the day. That was the point of my comment.
Retric•6m ago
That depends on where you draw the threshold for research being fundamental. It’s not hard to argue way less than 1% of AI research is actually fundamental compared to the early days, but that’s because the term is so arbitrary.
Retric•1h ago
The sheer scale of computation and data available is what’s pushing AI to near human levels. The same algorithms in 1980 wouldn’t be nearly as useful.
mdaniel•1h ago
I've secretly wondered if the next (ahem) quantum leap in output quality will arrive with quantum computing wherein answering 10,000 if statements simultaneously would radically change the inference pipeline
But I am also open to the fact that I may be thinking of this in terms of 'faster horses' and not the right question
spindump8930•49m ago
It's not clear how your perception of quantum computing would lead to 'faster horses' in the current view of NN architectures - keep mind that the common view of 'exploring many paths simultaneously' is at best an oversimplification (https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=2026).
That said, perhaps advances in computing fundamentals would lead to something entirely new (and not at all horselike).
anon291•37m ago
If you can tie in a loss function for a neural network into the quantum excitement state of a quantum system, then presumably, letting the system settle at the energy minimum would be equivalent to a training step, but perhaps much faster.
anon291•39m ago
It's true, but you can't deny the importance of the architecture. It's pretty clear that using simple perceptrons would not have led us down the same path.
Retric•9m ago
Sure, but I think a reasonable corollary is that new algorithms and architectures will show their strengths when new realms of computation become available.
spindump8930•38m ago
If you consider most of the dominate architectures in deeplearning type approaches, transformers are remarkably generic. If you reduce transformer like architectures to "position independent iterated self attention with intermediate transformations", they can support ~all modalities and incorporate other representations (e.g. convolutions, CLIP style embeddings, graphs or sequences encoded with additional position embeddings). On top of that, they're very compute friendly.
Two of the largest weaknesses seem to be auto-regressive sampling (not unique to the base architecture) and expensive self attention over very long contexts (whether sequence shaped or generic graph shaped). Many researchers are focusing efforts there!
Transformers are very close to some types of feed forward networks. The difference is that transformers can be trained in parallel without the need for auto-regression (which is slow, for training, but kind of nice for streaming , low-latency inference). It's a mathematical trick. RWKV makes it obvious.
janalsncm•2h ago
I think DeepSeek (v3 and r1) showed us that there’s still a ton of meat on the bone for fundamental research and optimization.
Lerc•56m ago
Absolutely, I have seen so many good ideas that have not yet made it into notable trained models.
A lot of that is because you need to have a lot more faith than "seems like a good idea" before you spend a few million in training that depends upon it.
Some of it is because when the models released now began training, a lot of those ideas hasn't been published yet.
Time will resolve most of that, cheaper and more performant hardware will allow a lot of those ideas to be tested without the massive commitment required to build the leading edge models.
Workaccount2•47m ago
The big guys are almost certainly incinerating millions a day on training "maybe it could show some promise" techniques. With the way things are right now, they are probably green lighting everything to find an edge.
joe_the_user•2h ago
I don't think you're understanding what the "stall" arguments are saying.
Certainly tweaks to performance continue but as understand it, the stalling argument looks at the tendency of broad, "subjective" llm performance to not get beyond a certain level. Basically, that the massive projects to throw more data and training at the thing results in more marginal apparent improvements than the jump(s) we say with GPT 2-3-3.5-4.
The situation imo is that some point once you've ingested and trained on all the world's digitized books, all the coherent parts of the Internet, etc., you a limit to what you get with just "predict next" training. More information after this is more of the same on a higher level.
But again, no doubt, progress on the level of algorithms will continue (Deep Seek was indication of what's possible). But the situation is such progress essentially allows adequate LLMs faster rather than any progress towards "general intelligence".
This paper is very cool, comes from respected authors, and is a very nice idea with good experiments (flop controlled for compute). It shouldn't be seen as a wall-breaking innovation though. From the paper:
> Existing transformer libraries and codebases are designed to be highly efficient for tokenizer-based transformer architectures. While we present theoretical flop matched experiments and also use certain efficient implementations (such as FlexAttention) to handle layers that deviate from the vanilla transformer architecture, our implementations may yet not be at parity with tokenizer-based models in terms of wall-clock time and may benefit from further optimizations.
And unfortunately wall-clock deficiencies mean that any quality improvement needs to overcome that additional scaling barrier before any big runs (meaning expensive) can risk using it.
dlojudice•4h ago
zamalek•3h ago
The likes of this, Mercury Coder, and even RKWV are definitely hopeful - but there's a pitch black shadow of hype and speculation to outshine.
anon291•3h ago
janalsncm•2h ago
I think you are talking about something else. In my opinion, integration is very different from fundamental ML research.
anon291•38m ago
Retric•6m ago
Retric•1h ago
mdaniel•1h ago
But I am also open to the fact that I may be thinking of this in terms of 'faster horses' and not the right question
spindump8930•49m ago
That said, perhaps advances in computing fundamentals would lead to something entirely new (and not at all horselike).
anon291•37m ago
anon291•39m ago
Retric•9m ago
spindump8930•38m ago
Two of the largest weaknesses seem to be auto-regressive sampling (not unique to the base architecture) and expensive self attention over very long contexts (whether sequence shaped or generic graph shaped). Many researchers are focusing efforts there!
Also see: https://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/
anon291•20m ago
janalsncm•2h ago
Lerc•56m ago
A lot of that is because you need to have a lot more faith than "seems like a good idea" before you spend a few million in training that depends upon it.
Some of it is because when the models released now began training, a lot of those ideas hasn't been published yet.
Time will resolve most of that, cheaper and more performant hardware will allow a lot of those ideas to be tested without the massive commitment required to build the leading edge models.
Workaccount2•47m ago
joe_the_user•2h ago
Certainly tweaks to performance continue but as understand it, the stalling argument looks at the tendency of broad, "subjective" llm performance to not get beyond a certain level. Basically, that the massive projects to throw more data and training at the thing results in more marginal apparent improvements than the jump(s) we say with GPT 2-3-3.5-4.
The situation imo is that some point once you've ingested and trained on all the world's digitized books, all the coherent parts of the Internet, etc., you a limit to what you get with just "predict next" training. More information after this is more of the same on a higher level.
But again, no doubt, progress on the level of algorithms will continue (Deep Seek was indication of what's possible). But the situation is such progress essentially allows adequate LLMs faster rather than any progress towards "general intelligence".
Edit: clarity and structure
gwern•2h ago
spindump8930•44m ago
> Existing transformer libraries and codebases are designed to be highly efficient for tokenizer-based transformer architectures. While we present theoretical flop matched experiments and also use certain efficient implementations (such as FlexAttention) to handle layers that deviate from the vanilla transformer architecture, our implementations may yet not be at parity with tokenizer-based models in terms of wall-clock time and may benefit from further optimizations.
And unfortunately wall-clock deficiencies mean that any quality improvement needs to overcome that additional scaling barrier before any big runs (meaning expensive) can risk using it.