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NotebookLM: The AI that only learns from you

https://byandrev.dev/en/blog/what-is-notebooklm
1•byandrev•16s ago•1 comments

Show HN: An open-source starter kit for developing with Postgres and ClickHouse

https://github.com/ClickHouse/postgres-clickhouse-stack
1•saisrirampur•56s ago•0 comments

Game Boy Advance d-pad capacitor measurements

https://gekkio.fi/blog/2026/game-boy-advance-d-pad-capacitor-measurements/
1•todsacerdoti•1m ago•0 comments

South Korean crypto firm accidentally sends $44B in bitcoins to users

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/crypto-firm-accidentally-sends-44-billion-bitcoins-use...
1•layer8•2m ago•0 comments

Apache Poison Fountain

https://gist.github.com/jwakely/a511a5cab5eb36d088ecd1659fcee1d5
1•atomic128•3m ago•0 comments

Web.whatsapp.com appears to be having issues syncing and sending messages

http://web.whatsapp.com
1•sabujp•4m ago•1 comments

Google in Your Terminal

https://gogcli.sh/
1•johlo•5m ago•0 comments

Shannon: Claude Code for Pen Testing

https://github.com/KeygraphHQ/shannon
1•hendler•5m ago•0 comments

Anthropic: Latest Claude model finds more than 500 vulnerabilities

https://www.scworld.com/news/anthropic-latest-claude-model-finds-more-than-500-vulnerabilities
1•Bender•10m ago•0 comments

Brooklyn cemetery plans human composting option, stirring interest and debate

https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/brooklyn-green-wood-cemetery-human-composting/
1•geox•10m ago•0 comments

Why the 'Strivers' Are Right

https://greyenlightenment.com/2026/02/03/the-strivers-were-right-all-along/
1•paulpauper•11m ago•0 comments

Brain Dumps as a Literary Form

https://davegriffith.substack.com/p/brain-dumps-as-a-literary-form
1•gmays•12m ago•0 comments

Agentic Coding and the Problem of Oracles

https://epkconsulting.substack.com/p/agentic-coding-and-the-problem-of
1•qingsworkshop•12m ago•0 comments

Malicious packages for dYdX cryptocurrency exchange empties user wallets

https://arstechnica.com/security/2026/02/malicious-packages-for-dydx-cryptocurrency-exchange-empt...
1•Bender•12m ago•0 comments

Show HN: I built a <400ms latency voice agent that runs on a 4gb vram GTX 1650"

https://github.com/pheonix-delta/axiom-voice-agent
1•shubham-coder•13m ago•0 comments

Penisgate erupts at Olympics; scandal exposes risks of bulking your bulge

https://arstechnica.com/health/2026/02/penisgate-erupts-at-olympics-scandal-exposes-risks-of-bulk...
4•Bender•14m ago•0 comments

Arcan Explained: A browser for different webs

https://arcan-fe.com/2026/01/26/arcan-explained-a-browser-for-different-webs/
1•fanf2•15m ago•0 comments

What did we learn from the AI Village in 2025?

https://theaidigest.org/village/blog/what-we-learned-2025
1•mrkO99•16m ago•0 comments

An open replacement for the IBM 3174 Establishment Controller

https://github.com/lowobservable/oec
1•bri3d•18m ago•0 comments

The P in PGP isn't for pain: encrypting emails in the browser

https://ckardaris.github.io/blog/2026/02/07/encrypted-email.html
2•ckardaris•20m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Mirror Parliament where users vote on top of politicians and draft laws

https://github.com/fokdelafons/lustra
1•fokdelafons•21m ago•1 comments

Ask HN: Opus 4.6 ignoring instructions, how to use 4.5 in Claude Code instead?

1•Chance-Device•22m ago•0 comments

We Mourn Our Craft

https://nolanlawson.com/2026/02/07/we-mourn-our-craft/
1•ColinWright•25m ago•0 comments

Jim Fan calls pixels the ultimate motor controller

https://robotsandstartups.substack.com/p/humanoids-platform-urdf-kitchen-nvidias
1•robotlaunch•29m ago•0 comments

Exploring a Modern SMTPE 2110 Broadcast Truck with My Dad

https://www.jeffgeerling.com/blog/2026/exploring-a-modern-smpte-2110-broadcast-truck-with-my-dad/
1•HotGarbage•29m ago•0 comments

AI UX Playground: Real-world examples of AI interaction design

https://www.aiuxplayground.com/
1•javiercr•29m ago•0 comments

The Field Guide to Design Futures

https://designfutures.guide/
1•andyjohnson0•30m ago•0 comments

The Other Leverage in Software and AI

https://tomtunguz.com/the-other-leverage-in-software-and-ai/
1•gmays•32m ago•0 comments

AUR malware scanner written in Rust

https://github.com/Sohimaster/traur
3•sohimaster•34m ago•1 comments

Free FFmpeg API [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6RAuSVa4MLI
3•harshalone•34m ago•1 comments
Open in hackernews

Show HN: DeepShot – an open-source NBA predictor with ML, EWMA, and live UI

https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot
1•saccofrancesco•8mo ago
Hey everyone, I’m an NBA fan and Python dev, and I recently built DeepShot — a machine learning model that predicts NBA game outcomes with about 71% accuracy based on historical stats and rolling performance metrics (EWMA). It features: Real NBA data from Basketball Reference Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages to track momentum Interactive NiceGUI interface with team comparison and predictions Full Python stack and open-source (MIT license) Here’s the GitHub repo: https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot And if you like it, here’s my Buy Me a Coffee: buymeacoffee.com/saccofrancesco

Would love any feedback — especially from folks who’ve built sports models or worked on real-time stat tools. Also open to ideas on where to take this next (player-level modeling? betting advice dashboard?).

Thanks!

Comments

Reubend•8mo ago
Hey Francesco, this is very cool, and I'm sure this was a fun project to work on.

If you're interested in improving the performance here, using a method like TrueSkill would likely yield much better predictions than the XGBoostClassifier you're using now. It provides a robust method for modelling the game at the player level, so that the model can change its predictions as different players get swapped out. As you can imagine, roster changes make a huge impact on overall team performance, and the sample size of NBA data here isn't really big enough for gradient boosting to be effective when the teams themselves change. Bayesian methods are nice for this sort of thing.

In terms of where to take things next, it could also be cool to see some kind of "what if" scenario generator. How would the Dallas Mavericks' probability of winning have changed if they hadn't traded away Luka Dončić? How would the Indiana Pacers' chances of winning the season change if they weren't playing the Nicks in the Eastern conference finals?

saccofrancesco•8mo ago
Hi! Thanks so much for your comment and for suggesting some really thoughtful ideas for the project — I really appreciate it.

At the beginning, I also considered the idea of gathering individual player data and assembling team profiles based on active rosters for each game. That way, team strength could be evaluated more accurately based on who actually played, rather than relying on aggregate team stats.

I completely understand your point about using a method like TrueSkill to model team performance more dynamically — based on the presence or absence of specific players and the impact each one has on the team's overall performance. It’s a compelling approach and definitely something that would make predictions much more responsive to roster changes.

The main challenge, though, is the data itself. Even getting reliable game-level data for all teams from the 2000–01 season through to 2024–25 was already quite complex. So when it comes to going a level deeper — pulling individual player data, lineups, or starting rosters for every single game — it becomes difficult to know where to start. These data sources are often scattered, inconsistent, or hidden behind APIs that may have usage limits or costs. There’s also the issue of computational load and the sheer scale of the data, especially when you're working solo, as I currently am.

That’s actually part of why I’m sharing the project publicly — to see if others might be interested, just like you, and maybe even want to contribute. Sometimes just having another perspective helps catch something I may have overlooked.

Thanks again for your suggestions — I’ll definitely explore them further during the NBA off-season and hopefully come back with a more refined version of the project for the next season.