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AI-powered text correction for macOS

https://taipo.app/
1•neuling•57s ago•1 comments

AppSecMaster – Learn Application Security with hands on challenges

https://www.appsecmaster.net/en
1•aqeisi•1m ago•1 comments

Fibonacci Number Certificates

https://www.johndcook.com/blog/2026/02/05/fibonacci-certificate/
1•y1n0•3m ago•0 comments

AI Overviews are killing the web search, and there's nothing we can do about it

https://www.neowin.net/editorials/ai-overviews-are-killing-the-web-search-and-theres-nothing-we-c...
2•bundie•8m ago•0 comments

City skylines need an upgrade in the face of climate stress

https://theconversation.com/city-skylines-need-an-upgrade-in-the-face-of-climate-stress-267763
3•gnabgib•9m ago•0 comments

1979: The Model World of Robert Symes [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmDxmxhrGDc
1•xqcgrek2•13m ago•0 comments

Satellites Have a Lot of Room

https://www.johndcook.com/blog/2026/02/02/satellites-have-a-lot-of-room/
2•y1n0•14m ago•0 comments

1980s Farm Crisis

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980s_farm_crisis
3•calebhwin•14m ago•1 comments

Show HN: FSID - Identifier for files and directories (like ISBN for Books)

https://github.com/skorotkiewicz/fsid
1•modinfo•19m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Holy Grail: Open-Source Autonomous Development Agent

https://github.com/dakotalock/holygrailopensource
1•Moriarty2026•27m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Minecraft Creeper meets 90s Tamagotchi

https://github.com/danielbrendel/krepagotchi-game
1•foxiel•34m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Termiteam – Control center for multiple AI agent terminals

https://github.com/NetanelBaruch/termiteam
1•Netanelbaruch•34m ago•0 comments

The only U.S. particle collider shuts down

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/particle-collider-shuts-down-brookhaven
2•rolph•37m ago•1 comments

Ask HN: Why do purchased B2B email lists still have such poor deliverability?

1•solarisos•37m ago•2 comments

Show HN: Remotion directory (videos and prompts)

https://www.remotion.directory/
1•rokbenko•39m ago•0 comments

Portable C Compiler

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portable_C_Compiler
2•guerrilla•41m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Kokki – A "Dual-Core" System Prompt to Reduce LLM Hallucinations

1•Ginsabo•42m ago•0 comments

Software Engineering Transformation 2026

https://mfranc.com/blog/ai-2026/
1•michal-franc•43m ago•0 comments

Microsoft purges Win11 printer drivers, devices on borrowed time

https://www.tomshardware.com/peripherals/printers/microsoft-stops-distrubitng-legacy-v3-and-v4-pr...
3•rolph•43m ago•1 comments

Lunch with the FT: Tarek Mansour

https://www.ft.com/content/a4cebf4c-c26c-48bb-82c8-5701d8256282
2•hhs•47m ago•0 comments

Old Mexico and her lost provinces (1883)

https://www.gutenberg.org/cache/epub/77881/pg77881-images.html
1•petethomas•50m ago•0 comments

'AI' is a dick move, redux

https://www.baldurbjarnason.com/notes/2026/note-on-debating-llm-fans/
5•cratermoon•51m ago•0 comments

The source code was the moat. But not anymore

https://philipotoole.com/the-source-code-was-the-moat-no-longer/
1•otoolep•51m ago•0 comments

Does anyone else feel like their inbox has become their job?

1•cfata•51m ago•1 comments

An AI model that can read and diagnose a brain MRI in seconds

https://www.michiganmedicine.org/health-lab/ai-model-can-read-and-diagnose-brain-mri-seconds
2•hhs•55m ago•0 comments

Dev with 5 of experience switched to Rails, what should I be careful about?

2•vampiregrey•57m ago•0 comments

AlphaFace: High Fidelity and Real-Time Face Swapper Robust to Facial Pose

https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.16429
1•PaulHoule•58m ago•0 comments

Scientists discover “levitating” time crystals that you can hold in your hand

https://www.nyu.edu/about/news-publications/news/2026/february/scientists-discover--levitating--t...
3•hhs•1h ago•0 comments

Rammstein – Deutschland (C64 Cover, Real SID, 8-bit – 2019) [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3VReIuv1GFo
1•erickhill•1h ago•0 comments

Tell HN: Yet Another Round of Zendesk Spam

6•Philpax•1h ago•1 comments
Open in hackernews

Show HN: DeepShot – an open-source NBA predictor with ML, EWMA, and live UI

https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot
1•saccofrancesco•8mo ago
Hey everyone, I’m an NBA fan and Python dev, and I recently built DeepShot — a machine learning model that predicts NBA game outcomes with about 71% accuracy based on historical stats and rolling performance metrics (EWMA). It features: Real NBA data from Basketball Reference Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages to track momentum Interactive NiceGUI interface with team comparison and predictions Full Python stack and open-source (MIT license) Here’s the GitHub repo: https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot And if you like it, here’s my Buy Me a Coffee: buymeacoffee.com/saccofrancesco

Would love any feedback — especially from folks who’ve built sports models or worked on real-time stat tools. Also open to ideas on where to take this next (player-level modeling? betting advice dashboard?).

Thanks!

Comments

Reubend•8mo ago
Hey Francesco, this is very cool, and I'm sure this was a fun project to work on.

If you're interested in improving the performance here, using a method like TrueSkill would likely yield much better predictions than the XGBoostClassifier you're using now. It provides a robust method for modelling the game at the player level, so that the model can change its predictions as different players get swapped out. As you can imagine, roster changes make a huge impact on overall team performance, and the sample size of NBA data here isn't really big enough for gradient boosting to be effective when the teams themselves change. Bayesian methods are nice for this sort of thing.

In terms of where to take things next, it could also be cool to see some kind of "what if" scenario generator. How would the Dallas Mavericks' probability of winning have changed if they hadn't traded away Luka Dončić? How would the Indiana Pacers' chances of winning the season change if they weren't playing the Nicks in the Eastern conference finals?

saccofrancesco•8mo ago
Hi! Thanks so much for your comment and for suggesting some really thoughtful ideas for the project — I really appreciate it.

At the beginning, I also considered the idea of gathering individual player data and assembling team profiles based on active rosters for each game. That way, team strength could be evaluated more accurately based on who actually played, rather than relying on aggregate team stats.

I completely understand your point about using a method like TrueSkill to model team performance more dynamically — based on the presence or absence of specific players and the impact each one has on the team's overall performance. It’s a compelling approach and definitely something that would make predictions much more responsive to roster changes.

The main challenge, though, is the data itself. Even getting reliable game-level data for all teams from the 2000–01 season through to 2024–25 was already quite complex. So when it comes to going a level deeper — pulling individual player data, lineups, or starting rosters for every single game — it becomes difficult to know where to start. These data sources are often scattered, inconsistent, or hidden behind APIs that may have usage limits or costs. There’s also the issue of computational load and the sheer scale of the data, especially when you're working solo, as I currently am.

That’s actually part of why I’m sharing the project publicly — to see if others might be interested, just like you, and maybe even want to contribute. Sometimes just having another perspective helps catch something I may have overlooked.

Thanks again for your suggestions — I’ll definitely explore them further during the NBA off-season and hopefully come back with a more refined version of the project for the next season.