And I mean total. A sufficiently advanced algorithm will be able to find everything a person has ever posted online (by cross referencing, writing style, etc.) and determine their views and opinions with high accuracy. It'll be able to extrapolate the evolution of a person's opinions.
The government will be able to target dissidents even before they realize they are dissidents, let alone before they have time to organize.
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-database-palantir-dyst...
As many as you can control with signal chat.
Besides, I'm not sure if tanks like the Abrams are as important anymore. Nowadays, things like food and water really matter. For example, exporting corn is crucial. Also, having the soils needed to make modern tech, like chips and batteries, is super important. Therefore Greenland is.
Is this like a sufficiently smart compiler? :)
Stylometry is well-studied. You'll be happy to know that it is only practical when there are few suspect authors for a post and each author has a significant amount of text to sample. So, tying a pseudonymous post back to an author where anyone and everybody is a potential suspect is totally infeasible in the vast majority of cases. In the few cases where it is practical, it only creates a weak signal for further investigation at best.
You might enjoy the paper Adversarial Stylometry: Circumventing Authorship Recognition to Preserve Privacy and Anonymity by Greenstadt et al.
How do y’all establish ye Theory Of Stylometry, O Phrenology Majors?
O, @dang confirms it on Mastodon or something??
What if I don't have an alternate HN account? Or what if I do have one, but it has barely any posts? How can you tie this account back to my identity?
Stylometry.net is down now, so it's hard to make any arguments about its effectiveness. There are fundamental limitations in the amount of information your writing style reveals.
How do you know it didn't miss 10x more than it found? Like, that's almost definitionally unprovable.
You're missing the point, it doesn't have to be practical, only the illusion of it working is good enough.
And if authoritarian governments believe it works well enough, they are happy to let a decent fraction of false positives fall through the cracks.
See for example, polygraph tests being used in court.
The truth, accuracy doesn't matter to authoritarians. It doesn't matter to Trump, clearly, people are being sent away with zero evidence, sometimes without formal charges. That's the point of authoritarianism. The leader just does as he wishes. AI is not enabling Trump, the feckless system of checks and balances is. Similarly, W lied about wmd's, to get us into an endless war. It doesn't matter that this reason wasn't truthful. He got away with it and enriched himself and defense contractor buddies at the expense of the American people.
The essay attempted to mitigate this by noting OAI is nominally a non-profit. But it's clear the actions of the leadership are firmly aligned with traditional capitalism. That's perhaps the only interesting subtly of the issue, but the essay missed this entirely. The omission could not have been intentional, because it provides a complete motivation for item #2.
[1] #2 is 'The US is a democracy and China isn’t, so anything that helps the US “win” the AI “race” is good for democracy.'
Real improvements are achieved in the real world, and building more houses or high speed trains does not require "AI". "AI" will just ruin the last remaining attractive jobs, and China can win that race if they want to, which isn't clear yet at all. They might be more prudent and let the West reduce its collective IQ by taking instructions from computers hosted by mega corporations.
I would not do business with Kim Jong Un. He is murdering a lot of his own people. Or with Putin. He is murdering a lot of Ukrainians.
But guess what: both North Korea and Russia are under sanctions. You can't do business with them anyway.
But the UAE is not under sanctions. Which means that in the opinion of the US Government it is ok to do business with them. Then who is Open AI to say otherwise? Why should it be any of their concern to determine who is a good guy or a bad guy in the world? Shouldn't there be a division of responsibilities? Let the Department of State determine who is good and who is bad, and let companies do business with those who are not on the sanctions list.
Either is our duty to be the the moral arbiters of the world or it isn't. Which one is it?
There are more than two answers to everything.
> Wasn't it moral to try to eliminate a known mass murderer?
Given the context and the means. No.
Many were opposed to that war, not because they didn't feel it was right to eliminate a mass murderer, but because that was not the stayed reason. The stated reason in fact turned out to be false, and was arguably an abject lie.
In other words ... it's not a great example of what you're trying to claim.
including our own…
At the, end, Saddam ultimately pulled too hard on the leash and miscalculated his power. Murder, mass or otherwise and morality has little bearing on matters of empire.
Thinking otherwise is naive.
Because helping someone do something bad is itself bad.
> Shouldn't there be a division of responsibilities?
It sounds like you mean an abdication of responsibility? We are already responsible for our own choices and actions, as well as their effects.
A lot of the people reading Hacker News right now think they have a better solution for the societal problems of the UAE. I personally have no idea about what's going on over there. But let's say that I'm in charge of the business decisions at Open AI. Should I start thinking that I know a way to solve their problems, and part of that way is for my company to apply some form of AI embargo on them? Or should I simply know my limitations, and restrict my judgment to the matters I am familiar with.
"Abdication of responsibility". What grand words. Why exactly has Open AI a responsibility to guide the UAE towards a better future? And, more importantly, why should Open AI feel confident that they know what is better for the UAE?
That is very simple: First, dumping graphics cards on trusting Saudi investors seems like a great idea for Nvidia. Second, the Gulf monarchies depend on the U.S. and want to avoid Islamic revolutions. Third, they hopefully use solar cells to power the data centers.
Will they track users? Of course, and GCHQ and the NSA can have intelligence sharing agreements that circumvent their local laws. There is nothing new here. Just don't trust your thoughts to any SAAS service.
That last part was considered dystopian: there can't possibly be enough people to watch and understand every other person all day long. Plus, who watches the watchers? 1984 has been just a scary fantasy because there is no practical way to implement it.
For the first time in history, the new LLM/GenAI makes that part of 1984 finally realistic. All it takes is a GPU per household for early alerting of "dangerous thoughts", which is already feasible or will soon be.
The fact that one household can be allocated only a small amount of compute, that can run only basic and poor intelligence is actually *perfect*: an AGI could at least theoretically side with the opposition by listening to the both sides and researching the big picture of events, but a one-track LLM agent has no ability to do that.
I can find at least 6 companies, including OpenAI and Apple, reported working on always-watching household device, backend by the latest GenAI. Watching your whole recent life is necessary to have enough context to meaningfully assist you from a single phrase. It is also sufficient to know who you'll vote for, which protest one might attend before it's even announced, and what is the best way to intimidate you to stay out. The difference is like between a nail-driving tool and a murder weapon: both are the same hammer.
During TikTok-China campaign, there were a bunch of videos showing LGBT people reporting how quickly TikTok figured their sexual preferences: without liking any videos, no following anyone, nor giving any traceable profile information at all. Sometimes before the young person has admitted that for themselves. TikTok figures that simply by seeing how long the user stares at what: spending much more time on boys' gym videos over girls', or vice versa, is already enough. I think that was used to scare people of how much China can figure about Americans from just app usage?
Well if that scares anyone, how about this: an LLM-backend device can already do much more by just seeing which TV shows you watch and which parts of them give you laugh or which comments you make to the person next to you. Probably doesn't even need to be multimodal: pretty sure subtitles and text-to-speech will already do it. Your desire to oppose the upcoming authoritarian can be figured out even before you admit it to yourself.
While Helen Toner (the author) is worried about democracies on the opposite end of the planet, the stronghold of democracy may as well be nearing the last 2 steps to achieve the first working implementation of Orwellian society:
1. convince everyone to have such device in their home for our own good (in progress)
2. intimidate/seize the owning company to use said devices for not our own good (TODO)
prpl•2h ago