They don't have to worry about sanctions from the USA led coalition. The don't have to worry about Russian reinforcement of Iran. So they pretty much have a free hand at this point to completely demolish Iran's military and nuclear capability.
It's amazing how many factors lead to situations like this. The current geopolitical climate is total chaos.
It would be quite rational if the US simply betrayed the IDF once they overextend themselves in the incursion.
this is what you call "better geopolitically positioned" ?
We could simply stop giving them billions in aid and open talks with the remaining Arab / Muslim states. The Israelis have nukes that they shouldn’t have, but that would be an easy enough problem to unite the world around.
In reality, the US will play a key role in removing the last major Arab / Muslim player in the region (like they have for all the others) and more or less realize the Likudnik’s stated goals from the 80s.
Sure, the U.S can also join forces with Russia and dump Ukraine . Why not ?
now all those pieces are mostly out of the game and the major factor that led to this is October 7th attack on Israel.
Sounds like every time Israel enemies attack it they end up losing more ground, and yet they never stop to try another way. They handed Israel the perfect pretext for devastating blows.
It's state secrets all the way down. None of us plebs know what is happening deep in Fordo. Similar strategy was employed when the US went after Saddam, and it will work again whether they are arguing the evidence is one way or the other.
edit: Here we go: https://i.imgur.com/3vIr5dE.png (I have not verified the accuracy tho)
vdupras•5h ago