The idea with the constantly moving flame front is that it spreads the heat out. The limitation with aerospikes is getting enough coolant through the spike. Bells are simpler to cool, which as I understand more than makes up for them needing more cooling.
SSTO is just marginally possible, if it is possible you need exotic materials and engines and you're never going to get a good payload fraction and adding wings, horizontal takeoff, horizontal landing and such just makes it worse. The one good thing about it is that you get closer to "aircraft-like operations" because in principle you can inspect it, refill it, and relaunch it -- whereas something like the STS or Falcoln 9 or Starship will require stacking up multiple parts for each launch.
My guess is aerospikes are making a comeback though because of interest in hypersonic weapons system. I could also see them being useful for the second stage of something like Starship which mostly operates at high altitudes but has to land at low altitudes. There are a lot of other technical problems, like the thermal management system, which really have to be solved before worrying about that optimization.
Similarly, I assume there are valid reasons SpaceX has chosen not to use aerospike Raptors, especially given their well-earned reputation for innovating things everyone else swore couldn't be done. If even they haven't been able to make it work, that's a strong data point as to the state of the art.
Sure, they talk about Mars, and in-space refueling seems radical, but they've yet to succeed at doing anything radical... yet.
Rumor has it they were struggling with the payload fraction w/ the first generation of Starship and they switched to a second generation that struggles with blowing up. A big advantage of the two-stage architecture is that you can develop the two stages independently. Presumably they will eventually get Starship to orbit and bring it home, they will have plenty of time to improve it get the payload fraction up just as they did with F9.
It is possible that only needing one tank rather than two can make up for the dramatic loss of Isp we see from an air-breathing engine and the air-handling structure, but no one has yet managed to demonstrate that, and the general consensus runs against it. I recall reading that HOTOL (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Aerospace_HOTOL) calculations were actually driven by an extremely light structure estimate rather than the airbreathing engine, to the point where if you plugged a rocket engine in they would actually get more payload to space as a SSTO, because those aggressively light structure estimates were doing all of the work.
Therefore nobody is ever going to invest the tens of billions required to develop a rocket based SSTO.
If somebody develops an engine that makes air breathing most of the way to orbit feasible, this has a chance of competing a Starship style architecture.
For the reasons you espoused, this is highly unlikely. However "highly unlikely" is more likely than "never".
Wrt. aerospike engine - sounds nice, yet hardware wise it is heavier than the classic engine, and just look at that large number of pieces - just all those small mini-engines - it is made of and compare to Raptor 3. And for the optimal expansion - i'm waiting somebody will add a dynamically adjusting telescopic kind of end section to the classic bell nozzle.
A napkin to illustrate. Lets say you add a Raptor and 80 tons of fuel plus oxygen for it. That will give you 100 seconds of excess impulse of at least 160 tons (240 ton of thrust minus 80 tons) at the beginning to 240 tons at the end, so roughly 100 seconds of 200 tons. To get 200 tons thrust you'd need 20 fighter turbojet engines capable of at least Mach 3 - that is cost, complexity and weight dwarfing that one Raptor engine.
For scramjet, assuming we got a decent one, napkin is about the same. The best, my favorite, is air-augmented - scram-compress the air and channel it on the outside of the hot bell nozzles of the already working rocket engines - unfortunately the scaling mentioned above comes into play for meaningfully sized rockets though it has worked great for small ones.
The Columbia disaster really set back SSTO appetite. Probably the whole reason we got the patents, truly.
SSTOs are, like everything else going to orbit, delimited by weight.
If you are going to make the fuel tanks internal to the vehicle and not something that falls off and sheds their weight mid-flight, you have to get vehicle weight to the absolute minimum. Losing weight has second order effects because it means you now have to carry less fuel so you now have a smaller fuel tank which means the tank weighs less which means you get to carry less fuel… etc.
The key, IMO, is material science advancements, specifically around plastics and composites. Very efficient engine design is matters too, but if you can just bring less mass up with you you can start to approach an achievable fuel weight.
It’s a hard job, you need plastics that can handle orbital temperature cycling (+300 to -300 F every 30 mins), atomic oxygen (nasty corrosion), UV with no atmospheric protection, FST for crew exposure…
Exotic metal alloys can get you around some of these problems, but they can be difficult and expensive to work with. Same issue with high-performance polymers. No free lunches here.
With 3D printing of metals and high-performance composites, you can probably remove additional weight so there’s some light in that tunnel.
But all in all it’s very hard to get out of the gravity well with your fuel in tow and survive the extremes of space. My belief is the first vehicle to pull it off will look like a Swiss cheese of voids and lattices from printing / honeycombs and be made almost entirely out of plastic and carbon fiber.
https://fantastic-plastic.com/lockheed-martin-x-33-venturest...
The name "Venturestar" is properly rendered in that image but "NASA" and "Lockheed Martin" are thoroughly mangled the way I'd expect text to be mangled in an AI image. The image from the toy site could have been used as as reference image to create the image in the paper one way or another.
Even Fig. 2 shows the spike geometry magically changing, which is not addressed in the text and seems like an error carried over from the original illustration in the cited source.
Casts serious doubt on the credibility of the rest of the work.
ge96•4h ago
I'm not sure if this one counts but recent https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UShD03eG9IU