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When a Crystal Ball Isn't Enough to Make You Rich (2024)

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4965616
4•vismit2000•6h ago

Comments

vismit2000•6h ago
This research describes an experiment called the "Crystal Ball Challenge," where participants attempted to predict market movements using advance access to the Wall Street Journal front page. This research evaluates whether having future news leads to successful trading, particularly by examining the importance of trade-sizing in investment outcomes. The findings indicate that while experienced traders performed significantly better, often due to their sensible risk management, less experienced participants frequently failed to profit despite their informational advantage. Ultimately, the source concludes that simply possessing future information is insufficient for financial success without a disciplined approach to investment sizing.

Web Serial: The Only Reason I'll Admit JavaScript Isn't All Bad (But Mostly Is)

https://theexceptioncatcher.com/2025/07/webserial-the-javascript-feature-that-suprised-me/
1•monksy•2m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Giti – Natural Language to Git Commands with Local LLM

https://github.com/Sumit189/giti
1•sumit-paul•3m ago•0 comments

The anti-immigration backlash comes to Japan

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-anti-immigration-backlash-comes
1•PaulHoule•5m ago•0 comments

The journey to create a new video codec

https://medium.com/@codecprogrammer/a-new-video-codec-is-born-18be02bb8b07
1•gtmb•5m ago•2 comments

Dixons: Assignment Excellence (1990) [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD_w5IpQTfQ
1•austinallegro•5m ago•0 comments

Firefox 141 Release Brings Lower RAM Usage on Linux

https://www.phoronix.com/news/Firefox-141-Available
2•ksec•6m ago•1 comments

Building a farm sector with real jobs and upward mobility [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdZfYMIv3iM
1•Avshalom•9m ago•0 comments

Tumbling toast, Murphy's Law and I I the fundamental constants

https://fermatslibrary.com/s/tumbling-toast-murphy-s-law-and-i-i-the-fundamental-constants
1•BerislavLopac•9m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Sounds Social – A new platform to share and discover music and sounds

1•matteodem•10m ago•0 comments

My most frequently used jj commands

https://danverbraganza.com/writings/most-frequent-jj-commands
1•nvader•10m ago•0 comments

"I was asked by a 20 year younger friend how my internet was back then."

https://ohai.social/@jascha/114456719610997573
2•cainxinth•10m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: Python developers at big companies what is your setup?

2•ravshan•11m ago•0 comments

Why LLMs Struggle with Analytics

https://www.tinybird.co/blog-posts/why-llms-struggle-with-analytics-and-how-we-fixed-that
1•_peregrine_•12m ago•0 comments

How to Manage Multiple Claude Code Accounts?

https://gist.github.com/KMJ-007/0979814968722051620461ab2aa01bf2
1•KMJ-007•12m ago•0 comments

1KB JavaScript Numbers Station

https://shkspr.mobi/blog/2025/07/1kb-js-numbers-station/
5•blenderob•13m ago•3 comments

Are Diamonds Even a Luxury Anymore? De Beers Reckons with Price Plunge

https://www.wsj.com/business/retail/de-beers-diamonds-price-lab-grown-468b33ab
3•randycupertino•13m ago•1 comments

Reverse Proxy Deep Dive: Why HTTP Parsing at the Edge Is Harder Than It Looks

https://startwithawhy.com/reverseproxy/2025/07/20/ReverseProxy-Deep-Dive-Part2.html
1•miggy•13m ago•0 comments

From REST to Reasoning: A Journey Through AI-First Architecture

https://www.oreilly.com/radar/from-rest-to-reasoning-a-journey-through-ai-first-architecture/
1•almost-exactly•14m ago•0 comments

We Built An Entire Newsroom with LLMs – Then We Showed The Print To the Real One

https://medium.com/@marijn_79380/we-built-an-entire-newsroom-with-llms-then-we-showed-the-print-to-the-real-one-6defdc5e6a54
3•madkerpe•15m ago•0 comments

Auto-convert multimodal data into ML-ready datasets

https://github.com/leandrenash/unimodaly-ingest
1•leandrenash•15m ago•2 comments

Go Allocation Probe

https://www.scattered-thoughts.net/writing/go-allocation-probe/
2•blenderob•15m ago•0 comments

Bacon – Bicameral Agent with Compute-Aware Orchestration and Navigation

https://github.com/scottvr/BACON/blob/main/ESSAY-At_limits_emerges_BACON.md
1•ycombiredd•16m ago•1 comments

A big problem for Tesla isn't getting much attention

https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/22/business/tesla-regulatory-credit-sales-revenue
3•breve•17m ago•0 comments

Russia using children to design and test its military drones investigation finds

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jul/22/russia-using-children-design-test-military-drones-investigation-finds
4•c420•17m ago•0 comments

I displayed an open graph image and had to pay how much?

https://alistairshepherd.uk/writing/open-graph-licensing/
2•OuterVale•18m ago•0 comments

Explaining Stagnation in the College Wage Premium

https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/working-papers/2025/01/explaining-stagnation-in-the-college-wage-premium/
2•littlexsparkee•18m ago•0 comments

The Sounds of MRI (2024)

https://larsonlab.github.io/The-Sounds-of-MRI/
2•dcminter•19m ago•1 comments

New federal data show H-1B and H-4 visas now capture 82% of all new US tech jobs

https://twitter.com/WalkInVerse/status/1947376680835944516
3•DonnyV•19m ago•1 comments

What to expect from Debian/trixie

https://michael-prokop.at/blog/2025/07/20/what-to-expect-from-debian-trixie-newintrixie/
1•edward•19m ago•0 comments

Enshittification and the Bitterness of Billionaire Bros

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/enshittification-and-the-bitterness
3•PaulHoule•19m ago•0 comments