Anecdotally for myself I’m finding that LLMs are great when I can give it a hyper specific target like a function to write. This isn’t because it can’t write an entire script. It can. It’s because the more I let it run wild, it feels like my understanding of the code gets exponentially worse.
What is concerning is that VCs seem to believe we are still in the exponential growth phase of the hype cycle. I believe the consensus among them (and the bigtech-adjacent shills) is that they are targeting a trillion-dollar market at minimum. Somehow.
The Gartner model doesn't actually have anything to say about technology, it's just astrology for rich people.
The reality of problems such as this one is you don't discover them until the product is in a user's hand for awhile, so while LLMs may be useful is speeding up the resolution of these problems they're kind of useless at discovering them. Yet despite this CEOs of companies with major AI investments are promising an idealized future within a couple of years as though it hasn't already been nearly 3 years of ChatGPT. Despite all the hype and promises the pace of the product development lifecycle seems to remain unchanged. I think realistically it'll be at least 10 years before LLM-based tools and agents can do what CEOs are promising.
Then I just stopped letting it run rampant and reviewed every step it took ( this is when I got the best results. ) So realistically - all it would be good at in a complex enterprise software stack ( My primary experience is with Guidewire ) it would be great for quickly scaffolding new parts of a micro service, adding onto pieces of one very specifically, and just removing the grunt work of manually hitting tab, cmd ->, ctrl ->, opt -> through big files and letting me just read it and confirm rather than getting carpal tunnel.
Honestly the best use I've gotten out of it has been updating and adding onto my emacs config primarily used for org-roam.
As far as replacing engineers? After at least 300 hours using max - I can say no it will not. I realized this after I spent more time configuring the rules and prompting the ai than actually just writing the code myself.
fardinahsan•6mo ago
I don't use StackOverflow at all anymore.
absoluteunit1•6mo ago
mutkach•6mo ago
add-sub-mul-div•6mo ago