Also people keep throwing the word "AGI" around but the only definition I've heard is "being as intelligent as a normal person." We've had that for a while. The reason most of you don't accept it is because it's not actually a person which is the same reason you're not going to see some civilization restructuring event from AI.
This is not an objective fact. The people not having kids? They either don't want them or cannot afford them. Nation states? Unwilling to shave off more of GDP to pay for improved quality of life for the people who would have kids but don't for economic reasons. At ~8B people globally (on our way to ~10B by 2100), we already don't take care of the humans here to reasonable standards (even though we could; to not to is a choice). Do we like people? I argue the evidence says no. Certainly, certain people (faith based, pro natalists, etc) are clamoring from a pro birth perspective to have more humans, but after that, it's very much "good luck to you."
EDIT: You sound like you're in agreement with me. I feel like I should point out that the Amish seem to manage without spending billions. I'd be willing to bet its not their rejection of technology but some deeper social understanding they have.
https://www.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/Slides_London.pdf
South Korea spent $270B over two decades and is still at 0.72-0.75 TFR. In my humble opinion, you're never going to find the political will over the next 5-10 years to increase spending (especially considering nation state debt burdens, as well as social and defense spending obligations) to slow the decline down. Socioeconomic and political systems acclimated to cheap labor from a global population boom that will never repeat, and now the cost is too high for them to stomach.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/28/south-korea-fe...
> Since 2006 the government has invested more than 360tn won ($270bn) in programmes to encourage couples to have more children, including cash subsidies, babysitting services and support for infertility treatment.
Edit: Not in agreement unfortunately, I believe the population decline is a success story. People who don't want kids or want them but choose not to have them aren't having them, improving QALY at scale. I don't see it as an imperative at nation state or global contexts to maintain the population, for whatever reason.
toomuchtodo•6mo ago