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My friends spent thousands on engagement photos, so I built an AI alternative

https://www.engagement-photos.com
1•michaellzd0303•39s ago•1 comments

I bought the cheapest EV (a used Nissan Leaf)

https://www.jeffgeerling.com/blog/2025/i-bought-cheapest-ev-used-nissan-leaf
1•calcifer•1m ago•0 comments

Cloud based ERP for Small and medium businesses

https://obsidyun.com/
1•ahmeddabdurahim•2m ago•0 comments

Search the Web Before AI

https://pregptsearch.com
2•jiayuanzhang•7m ago•0 comments

Agents to Do the Things Claude Can't (With Marimo and Bespoken)

https://elite-ai-assisted-coding.dev/p/agents-to-do-the-things-claude-cant
1•intellectronica•8m ago•0 comments

An Open Letter to Everyone I've Butted Heads With

https://andrewkelley.me/post/open-letter-everyone-butted-heads.html
1•weinzierl•9m ago•0 comments

Show HN: IssuePay Job Offers – Hire developers through their open-source work

https://issuepay.app
1•Mario10•9m ago•0 comments

Mycareerwise.ai – See your CV's role fit score and learning path

https://mycareerwise.ai
1•Farid_agha87•9m ago•1 comments

Fiber Concurrency

https://honeyryderchuck.gitlab.io/httpx/wiki/Fiber-Concurrency
1•amalinovic•14m ago•0 comments

The state of `fq_codel` and `sch_cake` worldwide (2022)

https://blog.cerowrt.org/post/state_of_fq_codel/
1•Bogdanp•15m ago•0 comments

Microsoft's Rust Bet: From Blue Screens to Safer Code

https://thenewstack.io/microsofts-rust-bet-from-blue-screens-to-safer-code/
2•unripe_syntax•15m ago•0 comments

Carbon Language: An experimental successor to C++

https://github.com/carbon-language/carbon-lang
1•thunderbong•19m ago•0 comments

Alexandria: A Lightweight Library Genesis eBook Browser

https://github.com/Samin100/Alexandria/releases
1•freetonik•24m ago•0 comments

A wild week: Grok Code Fast 1 exploding to 66% usage share

https://blog.kilocode.ai/p/a-wild-week-grok-code-fast-i-exploding
1•nix_95•25m ago•1 comments

$TRAVEL, a coin where holders win free flights with the coin fees. Pump or rug?

https://twitter.com/qt_tahani/status/1963829870288663021
1•bingwu1995•25m ago•0 comments

Cooking the Federal Reserve's Credibility

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/cooking-the-federal-reserves-credibility
1•throwawayffffas•27m ago•0 comments

Subverting code integrity checks to locally backdoor Signal, 1Password and more

https://blog.trailofbits.com/2025/09/03/subverting-code-integrity-checks-to-locally-backdoor-sign...
1•elashri•27m ago•0 comments

To what extent is the war in Gaza justified?

https://mathsandsoundingoff.wordpress.com/2025/06/23/to-what-extent-is-the-war-in-gaza-justified/
2•EvgeniyZh•31m ago•0 comments

Robinhood CEO: Investing for a living could replace labor in a post-AI world

https://fortune.com/2025/08/27/robinhood-ceo-vlad-tenev-leadership-next/
1•signa11•32m ago•0 comments

Polish oil company Orlen to build small nuclear power

https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/polish-oil-company-orlen-build-sm...
3•danielam•33m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Democratic Writing

https://hivedtokens.com
1•levmiseri•34m ago•0 comments

Truco and clones: the beginnings of Argentinian computer gaming

https://zeitgame.net/archives/18373
1•Michelangelo11•41m ago•0 comments

First brain-wide map of decision-making charted in mice

https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1096579
2•signa11•42m ago•0 comments

Beijing Is Failing to Solve Its Involution Problem

https://www.thewirechina.com/2025/08/31/beijing-is-failing-to-solve-its-involution-problem/
1•theconomist•44m ago•0 comments

Kimi K2-0905 Update

https://twitter.com/Kimi_Moonshot/status/1963802687230947698
2•tosh•47m ago•0 comments

Nepal blocks Facebook, X, YouTube and others for failing to register

https://apnews.com/article/nepal-ban-social-media-platform-3b42bbbd07bc9b97acb4df09d42029d5
2•perihelions•50m ago•0 comments

Using LSD to Treat Anxiety

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2495132-a-single-dose-of-lsd-seems-to-reduce-anxiety/
1•didntknowyou•54m ago•1 comments

Radicle 1.4.0

https://radicle.xyz/2025/09/04/radicle-1.4.0
3•Skinney•55m ago•0 comments

Using antibiodies in breast milk to treat inflammatory bowel disease

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/lactiga-wins-nih-backing-first-120300217.html
1•didntknowyou•58m ago•1 comments

Awesome Code Docs: 60+ Deep-Dive Tutorials on AI, Databases, and Dev Tools

https://github.com/johnxie/awesome-code-docs
1•johnxie•58m ago•0 comments
Open in hackernews

Escaping the odds and a formula for life (2024)

https://farhadg.com/blog/escaping-odds/
18•FarhadG•1h ago

Comments

kruffalon•57m ago
I enjoyed the article, well written and engaging.

(It gave me a small sense of reading a recipe blog where the meta is to tell an enormous backstory)

I kind of sympathise with the premise of trying to somewhat soften the economic-worldview (and language) that we are so used to and to extrapolate into our day to day life.

But in the end it still talks about investing in my friends, and that just isn't for me.

kqr•28m ago
Yet this article, like thousand others, don't go beyond binary decisions. Binary decisions are fine for many everyday decisions like figuring out whether to get insurance[1] but the Kelly criterion goes well beyond that[2] without changing the fundamentals: estimate a joint probability distribution of the outcome for each alternative, evaluate E(log X) using it, and pick the alternative for which it is highest.

For a deeper introduction, I recommend the somewhat heavy Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion[3] which is a well-curated collection of papers on the Kelly criterion and its various uses.

[1]: https://xkqr.org/insurance/?wealth=0&offered=0

[2]: https://entropicthoughts.com/the-misunderstood-kelly-criteri...

[3]: https://www.amazon.com/KELLY-CAPITAL-GROWTH-INVESTMENT-CRITE...