Can we get a second opinion from someone that actually specializes in LLMs?

Maybe. At the end of the OP, Hinton qualifies his guesses with:

> "We don’t know what is going to happen, we have no idea, and people who tell you what is going to happen are just being silly," he adds. "We are at a point in history where something amazing is happening, and it may be amazingly good, and it may be amazingly bad. We can make guesses, but things aren’t going to stay like they are."

I agree with Hinton: We only know that things will change, not how they will change. We can only make guesses.

Anyone claiming to know with certainty is full of baloney.

This is the same clown who said years ago that we should stop training radiologists because AI would automate their jobs away. And now demand for radiologists is higher than ever. Don't waste time with his predictions.