I'm a solo dev and for the last few months I've been building Hikaro, a tool to find statistically significant trading signals for [e.g., US equities, crypto, forex].
I built this to solve my own problem: I was tired of backtests that looked great on paper but failed in practice. Simple metrics like "win rate" can be misleading, so I wanted a way to quickly tell if a signal's performance was genuine or just noise.
Hikaro ingests daily market data and runs statistical analysis on various trading signals. The goal is to surface signals with strong properties, like:
Low p-value: Evidence that the performance is not a random fluke. High Sharpe Ratio: Better risk-adjusted returns. Healthy 'Core Performance': The average return after removing the single best outlier trade, for a more conservative view. Other key metrics like Profit Factor and Max Drawdown that you can filter by.
I'm looking for my first users and would love your feedback. I'm offering a 30-day free trial of the Pro plan (which includes Telegram alerts) with no credit card required.
I'll be here all day to answer any questions. I'm especially keen to hear feedback on the concept and the metrics.
Thanks, HN!
jqpabc123•4mo ago
Why?
With market beating metrics, who needs users?
OzanEnginsal•4mo ago
Also, these are signals, not fully automated strategies. They still require a human to manage risk and execution. Why not build a business around a problem I'm passionate about solving?
jqpabc123•4mo ago
Because there is no shortage of unverified technical analysis tools out there?
Good luck. You'll be an upstart in a field that is already fairly saturated with well entrenched players.If you really have something of merit, my best advice would be to look at becoming a 3rd party add-on provider for one of these existing platforms like ninjatrader.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/121014/...
OzanEnginsal•4mo ago
I appreciate the advice about platforms like NinjaTrader—that's a good thought. Thanks for the feedback.