Mostly because I hope it will stop the neverending onslaught of articles and blog posts on HN from folks who giddily insist on telling the world how Claude changed their life and how now they can produce bad code 10x faster than before.
The very normal “normal distribution” of people’s reactions to a swell of change, that like the transistor, isn’t going to stop, seems subdued relative to the implications.
Cognitive tech isn’t just going to change some tasks, some jobs, some companies, or some product lines.
We are witnessing a change only matched by a few other profound milestones in the history of life on this planet.
It’s ok if some people’s enthusiasm gets little ahead of the moment. It will catch up with them all too quickly.
1970-01-01•4mo ago
layer8•4mo ago
garciasn•4mo ago
Fade_Dance•4mo ago
One of the more relevant debates going around now is the "hyper-financialized economy" thesis, which posits that things like market downturns can directly lead to real economic downturns, because the corporate decision to do things like shed expenses and jobs is so closely tied to financial metrics like quarterly profits. In short, the tail wags the dog.
These days it's an especially complex situation though, with tariffs and all, and there are some pretty major decisions coming down the line, like big potential insurance costs spikes, etc, that directly influences the real economy. I would hazard to guess that even with well thought out economic policy, some of the changes that the world is going through is bound to have some unintended effects... and many would argue that we are certainly not seeing "well thought out policy" in the first place.
tim333•4mo ago