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China Can't Win

https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/china-cant-win
15•imastrategist•2h ago

Comments

itake•2h ago
I don't mind people using AI to assist with writing, but when I see the markers of ai assistance, I wonder if the author actually reviewed what the AI wrote(hallucinated?) before publishing the article.

Also the ChatGPT writing style in this piece is really annoying to read.

---

> Author’s Note: What follows is entirely my own opinion

is it? ChatGPT wrote most of it...

---

> they import 30% of soybeans from us

I thought they stopped importing soybeans from the USA?

> Some legacy manufacturing

Where does the author think iPhones, automotive parts, computer / IT equipment, medical devices, machinery tools, are made?

---

If the author is here, can they talk about Trump's TACO strategy? Its one thing to say Trump is just doing a chaos monkey, but if he always pulls back on his promises, then Trump is being consistent, not unreliable.

bee_rider•1h ago
It is hard to say what percentage is ChatGPT. Maybe he has some weird prompt?

But usually ChatGPT is stylistically quite good, just missing deeper meaning, right? With this text it was stylistically quite poor (it spends more time reveling in how “everybody’s missing” something, than telling us what that thing is!), and I have no idea if it has deeper meaning because the style was too grating.

alganet•2h ago
I don't think China wants to fight.

What would Trump be without an enemy? I think that's the question we need to answer here. Can he thrive in a world in peace? I have difficulty imagining what he would do.

I would go even further: most countries in the world right now don't need an enemy. There is just a few of them that are defined by persistent war.

hujun•1h ago
really unfortunately, these few have capability and will to drag everybody else into war
est•1h ago
> No equivalent to Windows/Office for enterprise (yet)

Chinese govn't has been using Linux based OS exclusively with WPS Office[1] (co-founded by Xiaomi's Leijun in the 90s)

Private sector use Win+Office though. But tech companies all choose Web based office like Feishu. docx/xlsx/pptx were just for compatibility only and interop with customers. Windows was like a Browser launcher anyway.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WPS_Office

bee_rider•1h ago
If anything, we should send them more Office licenses to slow them down. If they start putting things in wikis we’ll never catch up.
whatever1•1h ago
China is not a free market. Capitalism is a new thing for them, their regime will not hesitate to go back to the old ways even if they have to starve the entire population to death to ensure that the regime survives.
ckemere•1h ago
I’m confused about who will make our stuff if we decouple from China. As far as I can tell (trying to order advanced parts in smallish quantities), anyone other than China is a ~10x price difference? I have to assume labor cannot fully explain this, but I have yet to see anyone seriously trying to onshore cheap manufacturing?
Sytten•1h ago
That guy is taking a couple of data points and running with them. The US could not AT ALL freeze 2.5T of Chinese assets without major consequences. They froze 300B of russian assets and all other central banks are running away from the dollar. The share of reserve currency in USD is now at its lowest in many decades at 40% and gold is soaring.
coumbaya•1h ago
I'm so tired of reading ChatGPT output. It really distract from the topic.
throwaway295729•1h ago
Why do some countries always seem to need an enemy?
tock•1h ago
What did China even do to be seen as this super evil enemy? Apart from actually challenging American economic superiority?
soramimo•1h ago
Well if you care about democracy, they are the only power that can arguably undermine it, not just at home, but worldwide (tiktok, fueling division, funding antidemocratic parties like Germany's AfD).

Further, look into their support of Russia in their war of conquest against Ukraine, the treatment of their neighbors like the Philippines and look into what their fishing fleet is up to worldwide.

hker•1h ago
Sending planes close to Taiwan, threatening invasion everyday, like what Russia did before invading Ukraine?

Was Russia merely challenging American superiority?

pazimzadeh•35m ago
The big assumption is that the US can be fully independent from China's rare earth metals in 3 years. Is there any evidence this is possible? A quick search/promt suggests no way, 10-15 years needed for full chain autonomy.

Overall, terribly written useless AI slop.

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