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Did people in the 90s worry about the efficiency of the internet

5•burgiee•2h ago
“Efficiency” might be the wrong word. I can’t wrap my head around how “efficient” companies are/will be as a result of AI. In the 90s when the internet became broadly available, people became “concerned” but things were still on the horizon, like the concept of AI. Now? I don’t know what is beyond AI in terms of human productivity.

So I’m confused about what the future will look like. If this level of efficiency compounds, even for a few years, we would be required to spend a compounding amount of money to match it, right? The alternative is that we move to a 4 (or 3?) day work week, or UBI, or what? If we don’t match the spending, companies will consolidate - both in terms of personnel and competition.

What is going to happen? What is next? Was there any concept similar to this 30 years ago and I’m just worried for no reason?

Comments

INGELRII•2h ago
The productivity paradox (also the Solow computer paradox) is the business process analysis observation that, as more investment is made in information technology, worker productivity may go down instead of up. This observation has been firmly supported with empirical evidence from the 1970s to the early 1990s.

Before investment in IT became widespread, the expected return on investment in terms of productivity was 3-4%. This average rate developed from the mechanization/automation of the farm and factory sectors. With IT though, the normal return on investment was only 1% from the 1970s to the early 1990s.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Productivity_paradox

Measurement or Management?: Revisiting the Productivity Paradox of Information Technology. http://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/38739/v_00_4_9....

Then in the 2000 to 2020s productivity slowdown aka productivity paradox 2.0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Productivity_paradox#2000_to_2...

bediger4000•1h ago
I don't personally remember people fretting about The Internet causing some economic apocalypse like folks are predicting for "AI".

In the early 1970s, I did read atomic energy books written in the late 50s - early 60s. Widespread fission or even fusion production would make electricity too cheap to measure in 10 or 20 years. The prediction back then was for a 3 day work week real soon. The vibe was very positive, however. People would still have jobs, they'd pay well, but everyone would work less, and have more leisure time.

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