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Show HN: DeepShot – NBA game predictor with 70% accuracy using ML and stats

https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot
2•Fr4ncio•1h ago
I built DeepShot, a machine learning model that predicts NBA games using rolling statistics, historical performance, and recent momentum — all visualized in a clean, interactive web app. Unlike simple averages or betting odds, DeepShot uses Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (EWMA) to capture recent form and momentum, highlighting the key statistical differences between teams so you can see why the model favors one side. It’s powered by Python, XGBoost, Pandas, Scikit-learn, and NiceGUI, runs locally on any OS, and relies only on free, public data from Basketball Reference. If you’re into sports analytics, machine learning, or just curious whether an algorithm can outsmart Vegas, check it out and let me know what you think: https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot

Comments

gus_massa•1h ago
Previos discussion https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43685122 (17 points | 6 months ago | 14 comments)

Why did it increase from 66 to 71 and then back to 70?

Creating new accounts and posting the same project every single day will get you banned.

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