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Comprehensive Fed Study Finds Tariffs Lower Inflation, Raise Unemployment

https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/working-papers/2025/11/what-is-a-tariff-shock-insights-from-150-years-of-tariff-policy/
7•gradus_ad•2mo ago

Comments

DaveZale•2mo ago
Piled higher and Deeper?

Those who have been buying food at supermarkets likely strongly disagree lately. Demand at food banks is 3x higher locally this year. So where is the Q&A section for PhD Fed economists?

taylodl•2mo ago
They’re referring to the demand shock effect: tariffs raise prices on imports, which suppresses overall demand and reduces aggregate spending. Since inflation measures the general price level, weaker demand can offset cost-push effects, producing lower inflation readings. Technically correct - but highly counterintuitive and easy to spin. The average American struggles with fractions and percentages - especially per capita statistics - so they know they won't understand this.
DaveZale•2mo ago
Yes. Popular opinion is not above the "knee jerk reaction" we get at the doctor's office (does anyone alive, not paralyzed, ever fail that test?) ... but in this case, the "gut feeling" is also hunger for many who make less than six figures.
allears•2mo ago
It's hard to trust any data from the feds right now.
DaveZale•2mo ago
they want to keep their jobs?
marysminefnuf•2mo ago
I am a business graduate and a teacher. If the government begins to say the opposite of what my degree taught me i begin to wonder if the government demands education companies rewrite textbooks to reflect their incompetence. Tariffs create inflation and unemployment in most scenarios. that is day 1 stuff.

Reverse Engineering Medium.com's Editor: How Copy, Paste, and Images Work

https://app.writtte.com/read/gP0H6W5
1•birdculture•2m ago•0 comments

Go 1.22, SQLite, and Next.js: The "Boring" Back End

https://mohammedeabdelaziz.github.io/articles/go-next-pt-2
1•mohammede•8m ago•0 comments

Laibach the Whistleblowers [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c6Mx2mxpaCY
1•KnuthIsGod•9m ago•1 comments

I replaced the front page with AI slop and honestly it's an improvement

https://slop-news.pages.dev/slop-news
1•keepamovin•14m ago•1 comments

Economists vs. Technologists on AI

https://ideasindevelopment.substack.com/p/economists-vs-technologists-on-ai
1•econlmics•16m ago•0 comments

Life at the Edge

https://asadk.com/p/edge
2•tosh•22m ago•0 comments

RISC-V Vector Primer

https://github.com/simplex-micro/riscv-vector-primer/blob/main/index.md
3•oxxoxoxooo•26m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Invoxo – Invoicing with automatic EU VAT for cross-border services

2•InvoxoEU•26m ago•0 comments

A Tale of Two Standards, POSIX and Win32 (2005)

https://www.samba.org/samba/news/articles/low_point/tale_two_stds_os2.html
2•goranmoomin•30m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: Is the Downfall of SaaS Started?

3•throwaw12•31m ago•0 comments

Flirt: The Native Backend

https://blog.buenzli.dev/flirt-native-backend/
2•senekor•33m ago•0 comments

OpenAI's Latest Platform Targets Enterprise Customers

https://aibusiness.com/agentic-ai/openai-s-latest-platform-targets-enterprise-customers
1•myk-e•35m ago•0 comments

Goldman Sachs taps Anthropic's Claude to automate accounting, compliance roles

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/06/anthropic-goldman-sachs-ai-model-accounting.html
2•myk-e•38m ago•5 comments

Ai.com bought by Crypto.com founder for $70M in biggest-ever website name deal

https://www.ft.com/content/83488628-8dfd-4060-a7b0-71b1bb012785
1•1vuio0pswjnm7•39m ago•1 comments

Big Tech's AI Push Is Costing More Than the Moon Landing

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-spending-tech-companies-compared-02b90046
4•1vuio0pswjnm7•41m ago•0 comments

The AI boom is causing shortages everywhere else

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/02/07/ai-spending-economy-shortages/
2•1vuio0pswjnm7•42m ago•0 comments

Suno, AI Music, and the Bad Future [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8dcFhF0Dlk
1•askl•44m ago•2 comments

Ask HN: How are researchers using AlphaFold in 2026?

1•jocho12•47m ago•0 comments

Running the "Reflections on Trusting Trust" Compiler

https://spawn-queue.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3786614
1•devooops•52m ago•0 comments

Watermark API – $0.01/image, 10x cheaper than Cloudinary

https://api-production-caa8.up.railway.app/docs
1•lembergs•54m ago•1 comments

Now send your marketing campaigns directly from ChatGPT

https://www.mail-o-mail.com/
1•avallark•57m ago•1 comments

Queueing Theory v2: DORA metrics, queue-of-queues, chi-alpha-beta-sigma notation

https://github.com/joelparkerhenderson/queueing-theory
1•jph•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Hibana – choreography-first protocol safety for Rust

https://hibanaworks.dev/
5•o8vm•1h ago•1 comments

Haniri: A live autonomous world where AI agents survive or collapse

https://www.haniri.com
1•donangrey•1h ago•1 comments

GPT-5.3-Codex System Card [pdf]

https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/23eca107-a9b1-4d2c-b156-7deb4fbc697c/GPT-5-3-Codex-System-Card-02.pdf
1•tosh•1h ago•0 comments

Atlas: Manage your database schema as code

https://github.com/ariga/atlas
1•quectophoton•1h ago•0 comments

Geist Pixel

https://vercel.com/blog/introducing-geist-pixel
2•helloplanets•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: MCP to get latest dependency package and tool versions

https://github.com/MShekow/package-version-check-mcp
1•mshekow•1h ago•0 comments

The better you get at something, the harder it becomes to do

https://seekingtrust.substack.com/p/improving-at-writing-made-me-almost
2•FinnLobsien•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: WP Float – Archive WordPress blogs to free static hosting

https://wpfloat.netlify.app/
1•zizoulegrande•1h ago•0 comments