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Show HN: I built a 3D probability map for a White Christmas (React and Mapbox)

https://whitexmas.app
1•stlattack•44m ago

Comments

stlattack•44m ago
Hi HN,

I wanted to answer the "Will we have a White Christmas?" question without wading through ad-heavy weather sites, so I built a dedicated SPA to visualize the data on a 3D globe.

The Stack:

Frontend: React + Mapbox GL JS (using the globe projection).

Data: Open-Meteo API (fetching 20 years of historical daily snow depth + live forecasts).

Visuals: HTML5 Canvas for the snow particle engine (optimized for mobile) and a Glassmorphism UI overlay.

The Logic: The probability score isn't just a static historical average. It uses a weighted "blended" model. Right now (early Dec), it leans heavily on 20 years of climatology data. As we get within the 16-day forecast window, the app dynamically shifts weight toward the live deterministic forecast. By Dec 21st, it switches entirely to live radar models.

Challenges: Handling the API rate limits was tricky. I had to implement a split-routing strategy where historical data hits the public archive (to avoid auth errors) while forecasts use a commercial key, all cached in-memory to prevent re-fetching the same city twice.

It’s live at https://whitexmas.app

I’d love to hear your thoughts on the UX or the probability logic!

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