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Show HN: Freedom Graph – FI calculator that models sequence-of-returns risk

https://www.freedomgraph.com/
2•Nathanadian•49m ago
Hi HN,

I built Freedom Graph because I wanted an FI calculator that modeled market variability and flexible spending more realistically. Lots of calculators assume constant returns, fixed withdrawal rules, and the "real = nominal – inflation" approximation. That’s fine for ballpark numbers, but not great when you care about sequence risk or decisions like, "should I spend another year working?"

These are the real-world factors I wanted to model explicitly:

* Sequence of Returns Risk: Optional market randomness (mix of positive/negative years, long-run ~10% CAGR) to show how early retirement plans can fail even when the long-term average looks fine

* Correct real-return math: Uses the Fisher equation instead of the linear approximation, which compounds differently over long time horizons

* Adaptive strategies: Model “one more year” scenarios and spending flexibility to see how behavior affects success probabilities

Other QoL things:

* Built with React + Vite; no input data is sent anywhere

* Local storage persists inputs between browser sessions

* FI income automatically adjusts when you hit your target

* Dark/light mode

I’d really appreciate feedback on both the UX and assumption/behavior levers. If you think something’s wrong or misleading, please tell me.

Thanks!

The American West's most iconic tree (Ponderosa pine) is disappearing

https://phys.org/news/2025-12-american-west-iconic-tree.html
1•bikenaga•25s ago•0 comments

How to Create a Design System Optimized for AI Coding

https://www.braingrid.ai/blog/design-system-optimized-for-ai-coding
1•acossta•1m ago•1 comments

Show HN: ZON-TS 50–65% fewer LLM tokens, zero parse overhead

https://zonformat.org
1•ronibhakta•1m ago•0 comments

As humanoid robots enter mainstream security pros flag risk of botnets on legs

https://www.theregister.com/2025/12/09/humanoid_robot_security/
1•Bender•1m ago•0 comments

Hollywood-hungry Gulf states bankroll Paramount's Warner Bros bid

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/hollywood-hungry-gulf-states-bankroll-paramounts-warner-...
1•geox•1m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Made an iPad app to sync handwritten notes to Notion

https://shorthand.ink/
1•rnmp•2m ago•0 comments

Show HN: CapSummarize – Summarize videos and generate thumbnails and clips

https://www.capsummarize.app/
1•samuxbuilds•4m ago•0 comments

Show HN: I built a system to collect feedback more like force it

https://www.msgmorph.com/
1•hamzaawan•4m ago•0 comments

React2Shell serves as good reminder why JavaScript is no fun

https://zarar.dev/react2shell-serves-as-good-reminder-why-javascript-is-no-fun/
1•speckx•5m ago•0 comments

Linux 6.19's Hung Task and System Lockup Detectors Can Provide Greater Insight

https://www.phoronix.com/news/Linux-6.19-Detectors-More-Info
1•Bender•9m ago•0 comments

How Russia's Largest Private University Linked to $25M Essay Mill

https://krebsonsecurity.com/2025/12/drones-to-diplomas-how-russias-largest-private-university-is-...
1•Bender•10m ago•0 comments

Tempo's Testnet Is Live

https://tempo.xyz/blog/testnet
1•simonebrunozzi•10m ago•0 comments

The Married Scientists Torn Apart by a Covid Bioweapon Theory

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/07/us/china-virologist-li-meng-yan-coronavirus.html
2•bookofjoe•11m ago•1 comments

Will the digital control grid inevitably fail, or is it here?

https://libresolutionsnetwork.substack.com/p/teachable-digital-prison
1•Noaidi•11m ago•1 comments

Why a College Fighting for Survival Is Slashing Econ and Physics Majors

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-12-09/albright-college-budget-cuts-are-eliminating-m...
2•littlexsparkee•12m ago•1 comments

Two Githubs, One Laptop

https://blog.djnavarro.net/posts/2025-12-08_two-github-one-laptop/
1•speckx•13m ago•1 comments

Interview with Calvin Rose, the Janet Creator

https://alexalejandre.com/programming/interview-with-bakpakin/
1•smartmic•13m ago•0 comments

Meta Avocado

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/09/meta-avocado-ai-strategy-issues.html
2•noslenwerdna•13m ago•0 comments

Barnum's Law of CEOs

https://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2025/12/barnums-law-of-ceos.html
1•LaSombra•14m ago•0 comments

Launch HN: Mentat (YC S16) – Controlling LLMs with Runtime Intervention

https://playground.ctgt.ai
5•cgorlla•14m ago•0 comments

Nobel Winner Machado's Briefing Delayed as Oslo Arrival Unclear

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-09/nobel-winner-machado-s-briefing-delayed-as-osl...
1•wslh•14m ago•1 comments

Iain Douglas-Hamilton, Elephant Expert and Protector, Dies at 83

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/09/world/africa/iain-douglas-hamilton-dead.html
1•quapster•16m ago•0 comments

PyCharm 2025.3 – Unified IDE, Jupyter notebooks in remote dev, uv as default

https://www.jetbrains.com/pycharm/whatsnew/
2•indigodaddy•16m ago•0 comments

I think jj-vcs is worth your time

https://schpet.com/note/why-i-think-jj-vcs-is-worth-your-time
1•steveklabnik•16m ago•0 comments

Show HN: MPL – A Python DSL that transpiles logic to Pine Script

https://github.com/hakanovski/MPL
1•hknyrgnc•17m ago•1 comments

The AI Price Hike

https://molodtsov.me/2025/12/ai-price-hike/
1•speckx•17m ago•0 comments

The open hardware water cooling controller project

https://github.com/kennycoder/waku-ctl
1•kennycoder•19m ago•1 comments

Datadog built a low-latency, multi-tenant data replication platform

https://www.datadoghq.com/blog/engineering/cdc-replication-search/
2•mooreds•19m ago•0 comments

Odies – AI Companions living on your screen

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uwQjUHvm0JM
1•omoistudio•20m ago•0 comments

Static Analysis of APL Code [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d4pRvKMcp_g
1•pillowshift•20m ago•0 comments