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Microsoft launches themes for Windows trough Microsoft Store

https://blogs.windows.com/windowsexperience/2025/12/11/your-pc-your-personality-new-themes-in-sto...
1•pentagrama•1m ago•0 comments

Improving RAG Accuracy with Chess Elo Scores (ZeroEntropy W25) [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTArZNuaWlQ
1•medbar•1m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: Good document writing with AI-review

1•pinkmuffinere•3m ago•0 comments

The History of Xerox - by Bradford Morgan White

https://www.abortretry.fail/p/the-history-of-xerox
1•rbanffy•4m ago•0 comments

Operation Bluebird wants to reclaim Twitter's trademark for a new social network

https://www.theverge.com/report/841994/operation-bluebird-twitter-trademarks-petition
1•andrewl•4m ago•0 comments

What I learned from looking at 400 open source healthcare AI tools on GitHub

https://jenniferjiangkells.substack.com/p/what-i-learned-from-looking-at-400
3•jjiangkells•5m ago•0 comments

Intel Arc Pro B60 Battlematrix Preview: 192GB of VRAM for On-Premise AI

https://www.storagereview.com/review/intel-arc-pro-b60-battlematrix-preview-192gb-of-vram-for-on-...
2•rbanffy•5m ago•0 comments

Going Through Snowden Documents, Part 1

https://libroot.org/posts/going-through-snowden-documents-part-1/
2•libroot•6m ago•0 comments

Social Architecture – The Toolbox

https://hintjens.gitbooks.io/social-architecture/content/chapter1.html
2•vrnvu•6m ago•0 comments

Genetic study reveals hidden links between psychiatric conditions

https://idp.nature.com/authorize?response_type=cookie&client_id=grover&redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2...
2•Teever•6m ago•0 comments

A New Series on Cracking FAANG-Level Code Challenges

https://johnjr.dev/posts/binary-search/
2•johnjr•7m ago•1 comments

We Work Remotely job board was sold for $9.8M

https://www.stocktitan.net/news/TNYZF/tiny-reports-q3-2025-nkt7wwotkqh1.html
2•andrewstetsenko•7m ago•0 comments

U.S. Steps Up Campaign Against Maduro in Seizing Tanker Off Venezuela

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/10/us/politics/oil-tanker-seized-us-venezuela-trump.html
2•whack•8m ago•0 comments

Sanitizing HTTP/1: a technical deep dive into HAProxy's HTX abstraction layer

https://www.haproxy.com/blog/sanitizing-http1-a-technical-deep-dive-into-haproxys-htx-abstraction...
2•owenthejumper•10m ago•0 comments

sixos: a nix os without systemd

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gSW3YJ8uyBI
2•bmacho•10m ago•1 comments

Show HN: OG Image API – Generate social preview images with JSON

https://www.ogimageapi.io
2•malachi_dev•10m ago•0 comments

OpenAI warns new models pose 'high' cybersecurity risk

https://www.reuters.com/business/openai-warns-new-models-pose-high-cybersecurity-risk-2025-12-10/
2•Rick76•10m ago•0 comments

Can AI Predict the Quantum Universe?

https://quantumfrontiers.com/2025/12/11/can-ai-predict-the-quantum-universe/
2•speckx•11m ago•0 comments

Show HN: I built the simplest and cheapest link in bio tool

https://www.lnkr.ink/
3•andytriescoding•11m ago•0 comments

BetterNotes: Local-First Note-Taking with a Friendly AI Workflow

2•kobula•11m ago•0 comments

The Free Market Is Failing: The Terrifying Reality

https://hollymathnerd.substack.com/p/the-free-market-is-failing
3•fortran77•12m ago•2 comments

Show HN: I used Gemini 3 to turn 42 books into interactive webpages in 2 weeks

https://www.vibary.art/en
2•Rand_cat•12m ago•1 comments

When Accuracy Meets Parallelism in Diffusion Language Models

https://hao-ai-lab.github.io/blogs/text-diffusion/
4•snyhlxde•13m ago•1 comments

Base UI

https://base-ui.com
2•handfuloflight•15m ago•0 comments

The Component Gallery

https://component.gallery/
2•weakfish•16m ago•0 comments

How to build a personal webpage from scratch

https://rutar.org/writing/how-to-build-a-personal-webpage-from-scratch/
2•fanf2•16m ago•0 comments

When Accuracy Meets Parallelism in Diffusion Language Models

http://66.42.62.31:1313/blogs/text-diffusion/
2•snyhlxde•17m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Bring screencasts into your editor with CodeMic

https://CodeMic.io/#hn
2•seansh•17m ago•1 comments

Flock cameras remained active after officials asked to be turned off

https://therecord.media/flock-safety-cameras-remained-active-after-cities-asked-turned-off
6•ghouse•19m ago•1 comments

ToGo – Python bindings for TG (Fast point-in-polygon)

https://github.com/mindflayer/togo
2•mindflayer•20m ago•1 comments
Open in hackernews

Show HN: Built an attribution tool that uses Bayesian inference to track ROI

1•Raj7k•46m ago
Hi HN,

I’ve spent the last few quarters building utm.one – a privacy-focused link management and revenue attribution platform.

The Problem: I was frustrated that Google Analytics attributes most B2B conversions to "Direct" or "Organic" because it loses track of the user journey across devices (e.g., mobile click -> desktop purchase) or offline events.

The Solution: instead of just counting clicks, I built an identity graph that stitches sessions using a first-party pixel and uses Bayesian inference to calculate the probability of a conversion coming from a specific link.

Key Features:

Probabilistic Identity Graph: Links anonymous mobile clicks to desktop purchases based on IP/Time clusters (no third-party cookies).

"One-Tap" Badge Scanner: A PWA that uses OCR (via LLM) to scan event badges that standard QR readers can't parse, then syncs them to the attribution model with event halo which let you know how much lift has taken place at particular location. This solve for event attribution.

Revenue Lift: Calculates incremental lift using a control-group logic rather than just last-click.

The stack is React, Supabase, and Edge Functions for the redirection engine (latency was a huge focus).

I’d love you to roast my logic, the UI (went for a Jony Ive-inspired monochrome look), or the attribution math.

Live demo/Link: https://utm.one/auth

PS. Working with Stripe to get access; they only support if you are doing upwards of $100K. Any suggestions on payment gateways