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Logistic Regression, the Sigmoid, and Log Loss

https://mateolafalce.github.io/2026/Logistic%20Regression%2C%20the%20Sigmoid%2C%20and%20Log%20Los...
1•lafalce•1m ago•0 comments

ChromeOS Flex resurrects a >12 year old laptop

https://konaraddi.com/writing/2026/2026-01-01-chromeos-flex/
1•konaraddi•7m ago•0 comments

Marathon OS: A gesture-based mobile shell and Linux system inspired by BB10

https://marathonos.xyz/
1•PaulHoule•19m ago•0 comments

Show HN: TCP chat server written in C# and .NET 9, used in the terminal

https://github.com/Sieep-Coding/simple-chat-csharp
2•sieep•21m ago•0 comments

The Kimwolf Botnet Is Stalking Your Local Network

https://krebsonsecurity.com/2026/01/the-kimwolf-botnet-is-stalking-your-local-network/
5•SamValYlieRcHE2•23m ago•0 comments

Panda Diplomacy

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panda_diplomacy
2•sieep•25m ago•0 comments

Schwarzman, OpenAI's Brockman Boost $102M Trump War Chest

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/schwarzman-openai-brockman-boost-102-151056084.html
4•dougb5•25m ago•0 comments

RubyEvents.org 2025 Wrapped – a look back at the Ruby community's year

https://www.rubyevents.org/wrapped
1•marcoroth•25m ago•0 comments

"I taught an octopus piano" [video]

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/rXM6_AiisB4
1•trelane•27m ago•1 comments

Tech Startups Are Handing Out Free Nicotine Pouches to Boost Productivity

https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-startups-are-handing-out-free-nicotine-pouches-to-boost-productivit...
2•mattas•34m ago•1 comments

Ask HN: Transition Out of SWE and Regret It

2•t4367•35m ago•0 comments

2026 Delights and Not-So-Delightfuls

https://jakesimonds.leaflet.pub/3mbi4mcd3uk2v
1•jakesimonds•55m ago•0 comments

Einstein Probe detects an X-ray flare from nearby star

https://phys.org/news/2025-12-einstein-probe-ray-flare-nearby.html
3•wglb•58m ago•1 comments

Could OpenAI make a move on Pinterest?

https://seekingalpha.com/news/4536354-could-openai-make-a-move-on-pinterest
1•randycupertino•59m ago•1 comments

Dotnet Source Build Fails in 2026 Due To Date Overflow

https://github.com/dotnet/dotnet/issues/4037
2•csmantle•1h ago•0 comments

Year end sees record borrowing from Fed's standing repo operation

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/banks-tap-record-liquidity-new-york-feds-standing-repo-f...
4•JumpCrisscross•1h ago•0 comments

A Basic Just-In-Time Compiler (2015)

https://nullprogram.com/blog/2015/03/19/
13•ibobev•1h ago•0 comments

Proving Liveness with TLA

https://roscidus.com/blog/blog/2026/01/01/tla-liveness/
6•ibobev•1h ago•0 comments

Apple Vision Pro production reportedly axed, marketing cut by more than 95%

https://www.pcguide.com/news/apple-vision-pro-production-reportedly-axed-despite-newer-m5-model-m...
11•ivewonyoung•1h ago•3 comments

Representing Hierarchies

https://gpfault.net/posts/first-child-next-sibling.html
2•ibobev•1h ago•0 comments

Fanimal Antitrust Lawsuit Against Ticketmaster Claims Startup Was Forced Out

https://www.ticketnews.com/2026/01/fanimal-files-antitrust-lawsuit-against-ticketmaster-claims-st...
2•hnburnsy•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: I used AI to recreate a $4000 piece of audio hardware as a plugin

4•johnwheeler•1h ago•0 comments

2025: The Year SwiftUI Died

https://blog.jacobstechtavern.com/p/the-year-swiftui-died
2•alwillis•1h ago•0 comments

Uxn/Varvara ecosystem is a personal computing stack

https://100r.co/site/uxn.html
3•doener•1h ago•1 comments

Blaze: A Dec VT420 (and More) Emulator

https://mmastrac.github.io/blaze/
6•doener•1h ago•1 comments

Show HN: Share Claude Code and Codex CLI Transcripts

https://agentexports.com/
1•nicoritschel•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: SpeakCamera – a surprisingly useful iPhone Shortcut to read text aloud

https://speakmycamera.org/
2•wdpatti•1h ago•0 comments

Google AI Overviews put people at risk of harm with misleading health advice

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/02/google-ai-overviews-risk-harm-misleading-healt...
12•sandebert•1h ago•1 comments

2026 will be the year of on-device agents

1•mycelial_ali•1h ago•1 comments

Looking for Alice

https://www.henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/looking-for-alice
2•noleary•1h ago•0 comments
Open in hackernews

Show HN: Website that plays the lottery every second

https://lotteryeverysecond.lffl.me/
34•Loeffelmann•2h ago

Comments

lunaru•1h ago
I think people understand the odds are small. However, perhaps they perceive their chances of meaningfully turn around their life in other ways have even smaller odds. i.e. improbable vs actually impossible. At least the lottery doesn't care about your current circumstance and everyone has an equal (equally small) chance.

Secondly, because everyone realizes the chances are small, the real product being sold is Hope. Even the advertisements for the lotteries address this. The thing you're buying is 30 seconds of daydreaming so you can comfortably tackle the rest of the day.

dangus•44m ago
Another aspect is that in many states, a large portion of the lottery goes directly into public good programs like education: https://www.powerball.net/distribution-of-revenue

All the players know that the odds are horrible, but in the end someone does win.

Retric•37m ago
Money is fungible, every penny going from the lottery to X is a penny not taken from the general fund.

Thus specific funds for X is only meaningful as a minimum funding amount.

Waterluvian•32m ago
And they would also have to believe that their education system in its current form would have been even worse without the lottery.
dangus•15m ago
This is technically true, but the end result is that if you abolish the lottery (unpopular) you have to raise taxes (even more unpopular) to replace lost revenue.

Sin taxes work so well at plugging funding gaps specifically because they are optional.

andrerpena•16m ago
I think: 1) Like you said, people are buying hope. 2) People cannot fathom this degree of improbability. So, the fact that it's at least possible overrides the near-impossibility of it. 3) There is some aspect of entertainment and social-interaction to it. It's a bit like watching sports. Who you're cheering for is irrelevant, and whoever wins doesn't change your life in any way, but still, we watch it.
jmclnx•1h ago
Interesting site. Logic is rather easy, setting you the WEB site to present the results to me is rather hard.
stogot•1h ago
Good idea to show the odds. I wouldn’t be able to remember the name to send to someone

Maybe try shouldIplaythelottery.com

Waterluvian•34m ago
What I love about this is how it demonstrates that the waiting is the most powerful part. That week is where a lotto user’s brain does all the work for the lotto corp. The anticipation! The excitement. What if? Oh let’s daydream! Oh the dopamine!

You don’t even have to sell them hope. Just sell them the sensation of hope.

amelius•20m ago
Hope is a pretty good thing to have, though. And it's one of the few things many people actually _can_ have. Therefore maybe lotteries aren't so bad after all even if nobody ever wins, and posts like this are actually bad.
Waterluvian•15m ago
Many people come down off that kind of hope when their numbers don’t come up. I’ve seen it. I have friends who felt it. You might perceive it as a sort of loan to get you through the week. But you owe it back plus the $2 interest.
TehCorwiz•12m ago
I view buying a lottery ticket as a way to fund the things that the taxes are allocated to while also getting to fantasize until the drawing. I play maybe twice a year. There's near zero chance I'll win. That's not the point. The point is to have that fantasy, just for a moment.
DavidPiper•31m ago
The amount of time I spent watching this page is a nice reminder of why I have a rule to never buy lottery tickets.

See also: Simulation Clicker.

I know how my brain works these days.

sunrunner•17m ago
Why not buy lottery tickets? The only thing smaller than the ridiculously small chance of winning is absolute zero, from never playing. Bad odds are still odds :)
recallingmemory•29m ago
So you're telling me there's a chance
atroposDad•25m ago
I would be really curious to see the money side of this. I am not sure about Powerball, but with EuroJackpot, some of the smaller wins can cover the cost of the ticket (or even cover a holiday!).

It would be really interesting to watch the expected value play out over repeated plays!! I am imagining a running balance where you keep track of total spend versus total returns. Most of the time the balance steadily goes more negative, with occasional jumps back up when you hit a partial match, and very rare big spikes from a larger win.

Very cool project!

Waterluvian•18m ago
Love the idea. Could also allow the viewer to pick how often they buy tickets and keep track of how much time passes. I think this dimension would help give context to the losses number.

Might hide all this behind the current automatic view with a “play it yourself” toggle.

satisfice•20m ago
The odds of winning are so low that I tell people the odds that they will just give me the money even though I bought no ticket can’t be much lower.
netsharc•9m ago
The Company has never existed, and never will.

https://archive.org/download/HeliganSecretsOfTheLostGardens/...