Hi HN, I wrote this and I’m affiliated with the site.
This is a public-source model for what “run Venezuela” could cost per month under three scenarios, anchored to Venezuela’s published budget scale and adding the under-covered premiums: payment rails, insurability, compliance overhead, and legal friction.
Charts included (waterfall, scenario bands, oil gross vs. ranges). Feedback welcome, especially on assumptions you’d tighten.
jacquesm•1mo ago
Why did you make it?
jasonmomnah•1mo ago
Because it’s a rare moment where a political line implies an actual operational commitment, and nobody was quantifying it with receipts. I’m less interested in the rhetoric and more in the mechanics: who pays in month one if oil cash and banking channels freeze.
jacquesm•1mo ago
It's not going to happen that way, that is just the Trump administration daydreaming.
jasonmomnah•1mo ago
This is a public-source model for what “run Venezuela” could cost per month under three scenarios, anchored to Venezuela’s published budget scale and adding the under-covered premiums: payment rails, insurability, compliance overhead, and legal friction.
Charts included (waterfall, scenario bands, oil gross vs. ranges). Feedback welcome, especially on assumptions you’d tighten.
jacquesm•1mo ago
jasonmomnah•1mo ago
jacquesm•1mo ago