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The UK is shaping a future of Precrime and dissent management

https://freedomnews.org.uk/2025/04/11/how-the-uk-is-shaping-a-future-of-precrime-and-dissent-management/
117•robtherobber•2h ago

Comments

fosron•1h ago
Day by day these things sound more like Sci-Fi series announcments.
mountaineer727•1h ago
I hope they name it Pickles
TuringNYC•1h ago
Black Mirror continues to be a 5-7yr leading indicator

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Mirror

anthk•1h ago
Orwell predates Black Mirror by decades. 1984 should be a must read for everyone.
xnorswap•57m ago
I'd argue that makes Black Mirror more prescient.

In the case of Black Mirror, it was a set of studies on the dangers of current and near technologies. That some of those fears are materialising not long after the episodes, is in my opinion more damning than Orwell's fears of the state which didn't really come to pass in the same way, even decades later.

I don't disagree that Nineteen Eighty-Four is essential reading however. ( I'd also add Brave New World to that list ).

omnimus•52m ago
We are one renaming cycle away from renaming Department of War to Department of Love.
barrenko•48m ago
'Years and years' disturbing as well.
voidUpdate•1h ago
Isn't Minority Report a documentary about why this doesn't work?
PUSH_AX•1h ago
I mean technically a lot of countries already have laws against conspiracy to murder, without doing the actual murder bit. And we are broadly ok with this because it makes a lot of sense.
Tostino•1h ago
That generally still takes the person taking some sort of action in furtherance of that plan, not just thinking it.
voidUpdate•39m ago
I feel like "conspiracy to murder" means "we found a plan of you murdering someone and a baseball bat in your car" rather than "The algorithm has decided you are evil"
ajb•49m ago
What do you mean by "doesn't work"?

Doesn't work to prevent crime? Or doesn't work too suppress dissent?

voidUpdate•40m ago
It's been a while since I watched it, but doesn't it falsely imprison people because they disregarded some of the data that went contrary to other data?
iamnothere•16m ago
If it suppresses dissent then this seems immaterial? At least in a country without real constitutional rights.
Surac•1h ago
where is my minority report?
spacebanana7•1h ago
This is how you govern from a position of unpopularity.

The government knows they’re on the wrong side of many issues, to the point they know they can’t win an open debate.

So media control, regulation by enforcement, and institutional control becomes the focus of effort.

varispeed•1h ago
Also never look at what current government is going to do with the framework, but what future much worse government could use it for.
miroljub•46m ago
Does it get worse? They are making a benchmark that is hard to beat.
c0n5pir4cy•21m ago
I wouldn't like to see all the legal infrastructure they're putting in under a Reform UK government - I'd imagine they'll use it for far more nefarious means.

That being said - the blame lies squarely with Labour here. I have a gut feel a lot of it has to do with donors to the Tony Blair Institute.

miroljub•6m ago
Well World Economic Forum (WEF) lists Tony Blair and his institute as one of the top Agenda contributors [1].

It's not even funny that you can trace almost any person responsible for the deterioration of human rights in Western society to one of the WEF alumni or associates.

These supernatural institutions and interest groups should be made illegal if we want to continue as a civilization.

[1] https://www.weforum.org/stories/authors/tony-blair-2/

owisd•20m ago
They’re also strengthening the criminal consequences for future governments that misuse their position: https://bills.parliament.uk/bills/4019
justincormack•1h ago
This has been ongoing for a long time, its not at all specific to this government.
erichocean•55m ago
Huh? Starmer is the least popular Prime Minister, I believe, ever.
spacebanana7•54m ago
He wins or draws on every measure of unpopularity, other than YouGov net satisfaction where Liz Truss still beats him.
geremiiah•50m ago
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/oct/28/keir-s... https://edition.cnn.com/2025/09/30/uk/keir-starmer-labour-pa...

I've come across various sources that lean center-left, note, CENTER-left, saying this. I think there might be something to it.

iso1631•46m ago
It's a problem with pretty much anyone. Things are bad from a fundamental structural failings for decades, elect new person, don't see immediate turn-around, they're massively unpopular.

The only way out of this is if you successfully blame $marginalised_group for the peoples problems. Or spend decades undoing the damage, but nobody ever gets decades in power.

pjc50•40m ago
Some of it is deliberately attempting to appeal to Reform voters, in ways which have infuriated Labour supporters while not winning any Reform support.
throwaway85825•30m ago
It's because he was elected with a historically low % of the vote. Few wanted him at the election, few want him now.
iso1631•48m ago
Yet these laws and general direction have been in place through half a dozen prime ministers, including ones initially very popular (Johnson especially, but Cameron wasn't particularly unpopular until the brexit mess)
tialaramex•8m ago
Right. When I'm at a counter-protest facing the local† Nazis (who in this incarnation have decided to call themselves "patriots") among all the rhetoric accusing us of supporting terrorists (no matter where brown people may come from they're apparently "ISIS" or "Taliban" these days) or rapists or any number of weird conspiracies, one thing they often yell about is that Keir Starmer is (to quote them) "a Wanker" and I have observed to other protesters that uniquely this is probably a widely shared viewpoint. Yeah, he is, but, why you are you being so racist, why do you want to terrify my neighbours, what does that have to do with Keir?

† Local in the sense of being the ones who turn up, my guess is that a good number of them travel by car from quite some distance, personally I live five minutes walk away.

pjc50•41m ago
Yeah, a lot of this is just .. well, I hesitate to use the over used phrase "deep state", but a lot of it is the work of people in the security institutions who "advise" the government, rather than the changing cast of the thin democratic bit on the front. There's long been authoritarianism in response to the fear of terrorism, from the IRA onwards. Then there's things like the "spycops" scandal, which make you wonder whether certain protest groups are deliberately engaging in really unpopular stunts in order to facilitate a crackdown.

The British public are in an odd place on this. There's a lot of "folk libertarianism", but that mostly consists of not having ID cards, while at the same time supporting all sorts of crackdowns on protest as soon as it's mildly inconvenient.

And then there's immigration. As in the US, it's a magic bullet for discourse that allows any amount of authoritarianism (or headshots to soccer moms) as long as you promise it will be used against immigrants.

geremiiah•59m ago
There seems to be a prevalent notion within UK establishment circles, "we are being attacked from both sides, therefore we must be right/balanced/fair", which is totally not how it works. You see used for example to defend the supposed impartiality of the BBC.
piltdownman•51m ago
The BBC has never been impartial to internal concerns - domestic politics in particular. Leveson Inquiry recommendations not being implemented is the tip of the iceberg in relation to the extent of client-journalism it engages in with regard to the Conservative party.

https://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/bbc-under-sc...

geremiiah•48m ago
I used the BBC just an example. Starmer seems to have the same attitude. If both Farage and Corbyn, and Polanski and whoever is leading the Conservatives and LibDems are attacking me, then I must be super in the middle i.e. I must be so doing it all super right!
throw310822•39m ago
> attacked from both sides, therefore we must be right/balanced/fair", which is totally not how it works

Exactly. Also because this is easily gamed by attacking the media that is already biased in your favour to get an even more favourable treatment.

bediger4000•25m ago
I believe US conservatives have done this since 1980s. I'm not sure it was deliberate at first: there's feedback. Loudly invoking "liberal bias" in 1975 most certainly got the press to reevaluate and attempt to mitigate any bias they might have shown. That was a reward for conservatives, which probably motivated more accusations of liberal bias, another round of press accomodations. It reinforced itself.
gmac•7m ago
Indeed. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45990786
iamnothere•8m ago
The problem isn’t the balance, it’s the police state. I don’t want an authoritarian Left government any more than I want an authoritarian Right or Center government.
miroljub•47m ago
> So media control, regulation by enforcement, and institutional control becomes the focus of effort.

You forgot gun control. That's the first thing they took away. Thereafter, freedom after freedom has been made optional by the government [1].

When government becomes overreaching, and you don't have the means to protect yourself and your rights, that's where it goes.

[1] I said "government", but probably "regime" would be a more suitable term here.

dijksterhuis•45m ago
i’m absolutely, concretely and overwhelmingly fine with the concept of gun control here as a uk citizen.

i say this as someone who did target rifle shooting as a kid. so, i’ve been around weapons in a positive way.

the controls are a good thing.

pjc50•36m ago
The guns in the US don't seem to be helping people avoid getting shot by ICE.

(to the extent that armed revolution worked in the UK, the IRA were helped only slightly by US-backed supplies of Armalite rifles, and much more by a large supply of Libyan high explosives. Guns are a much less effective political weapon than the car or truck or hotel bomb)

logicchains•15m ago
>The guns in the US don't seem to be helping people avoid getting shot by ICE.

The woman who was shot was a democrat without any guns, maybe if she'd had a gun she wouldn't have been shot.

whynotmaybe•35m ago
I still don't know what's so important about guns and how it's a metric for freedom.
logicchains•13m ago
As Mao said, political power grows from the barrel of the gun. In the past decade freedom of speech and internet freedom has being dramatically curtailed in pretty much every western country where the citizen are unarmed.
jimmySixDOF•1h ago
who chooses who chooses who watches the watchers ?
doublerabbit•1h ago
Corporate. Google, Meta, TikTok. All governmental entities or tied to.

What's the harm if your data is "lost" along the way. /s

geremiiah•57m ago
They all believe to be morally infallible. I don't think they would even be able to function as politicians without such cognitive dissonance.
varispeed•1h ago
"We detected that you are about to commit a crime. Here is provisional 2-years sentence shall you decide to go ahead with the plans. It includes free single room, 3 meals a day, gym, library, daily walks and company of people like yourself. You will also receive counselling and you could take up a free course to advance your skills in desired field and post-release support for a year."
codebyaditya•1h ago
What’s unsettling here isn’t any single policy, but the convergence: predictive policing, protest restrictions, and administrative punishments all justified as “risk management.” Even if each tool seems narrow, together they normalize acting on suspicion rather than action, which quietly lowers the bar for dissent.
anthk•1h ago
Dobleplusgood.
FpUser•1h ago
I wonder at what point these countries will loose any moral ground against the likes of Russia, China etc.

Up until this point it was mostly that they would gladly fuck the other countries up but treated their own people way better than the other camp. But this difference is disappearing.

Of course there is always North Korea and other totally fucked up regimes they could use to compare and look white and fluffy

fabianholzer•55m ago
> I wonder at what point these countries will loose any moral ground against the likes of Russia, China etc.

When arbitrary extrajudicial killings happen at some scale on a regular basis?

slfreference•35m ago
I heard Boeing whistleblowers died unexpectedly.

Two prominent Boeing whistleblowers, John Barnett (died March 2024) and Joshua Dean (died April 2024), have died in recent times, raising significant concerns about retaliation and safety at the aerospace giant; Barnett died from a self-inflicted gunshot wound after battling Boeing in a retaliation lawsuit, while Dean died from a sudden infection after raising quality concerns, with his family suspecting foul play despite official rulings. Barnett's death was ruled a suicide, though his family's wrongful death suit claims Boeing's harassment caused his distress, while Dean's death followed rapid illness, with his family also alleging misconduct by his employer, Spirit Aerosystems, and Boeing.

iamnothere•12m ago
Also Suchir Balaji. And if you’re willing to go back further, Michael Hastings and Gary Webb.

But that’s all the US. For the UK you need Gareth Williams, the GHCQ analyst who was found dead inside a padlocked duffel bag.

simmerup•39m ago
Iran used machine guns in protesters

China used tanks against students

Russia still has gulags for people who criticise the government

You’re incredibly naive if you think they’re the same as us

throwaway85825•38m ago
'Moral ground' was the product of a controlled media environment.
mapt•54m ago
This is a thousand times as concerning in the context of London than in the context of Baltimore. It addresses a concern that doesn't exist for the UK public, in a way that appears intended to oppress from the start, against a backdrop of arresting thousands of pensioners for disagreeing about a genocide.
simmerup•44m ago
The only people being arrested in the Uk are for supporting a proscribed group.

A group that broke a police officers back with sledge hammers, committed multiple acts of vandalism against our military, and have tons of links to Hamas

They can oppose Israel action in Palestine, they just can’t support terrorists

throwaway85825•35m ago
De facto, arresting 80 year old women for holding signs is always going to look authoritarian. They're not exactly the type to strap on a vest but we have to pretend we dont know what a terrorist looks like.
simmerup•31m ago
They are the type to sledgehammer police officers though apparently
throwaway85825•27m ago
I find that physically unlikely.
Piezoid•49m ago
Not a word on Palantir. Is this because of the adept wording by the ministry of justice? I highly doubt they are developing this in a vacuum.

As re reminder, In the UK Palantir holds extensive contracts across defense (multi-billion MoD deals for AI-driven battlefield and intelligence systems) and healthcare (7y £330m+ NHS Data Platform). In France, its involvement is narrower but concentrated on *domestic* intelligence.

OgsyedIE•47m ago
The UK faces real structural problems with the inflating cost of living regardless of government, roughly halfway attributable to failing the lower-level challenge of continuing to import adequate quantities of diesel at affordable prices and the rest mostly coming from an aging population. Spot diesel has come down from the price spike of covid to approximately 1.3x the 2019 price.

Almost all physical goods have diesel prices contribute to their sticker price in a significant way. The diesel exporting countries are all incrementally increasing their domestic consumption, leaving less for the world market year on year.

The UK government isn't trying much policy for tackling the causes or the symptoms, largely because the government is disproportionately drawn from a class of people who don't want those policies. The media of the upper middle class of the UK has sincere column after sincere column of hating the rest of the population and calling for better controls over the cattle.

Tens of millions of people, held hostage by a clique of crabs in a bucket.

pjc50•15m ago
I would say "so diesel uses should be encouraged to transition to electric where feasible", except the government has also dropped the ball on electricity prices and is now looking at increasing taxes on EVs.

> The UK government isn't trying much policy for tackling the causes or the symptoms, largely because the government is disproportionately drawn from a class of people who don't want those policies. The media of the upper middle class of the UK has sincere column after sincere column of hating the rest of the population and calling for better controls over the cattle.

This is spot on, though. I joke that instead of state controlled media we have a media controlled state.

budududuroiu•46m ago
In China, the social contract at least is "you give up some individual freedoms and some privacy, never dissent against the government, and in exchange the government promises you prosperity"

I wonder what the Brits get in exchange for their giving up of personal freedoms?

miroljub•43m ago
> I wonder what the Brits get in exchange for their giving up of personal freedoms?

Well, at least little girls get protected from the grooming / rape gangs.

liveoneggs•34m ago
The people who talk pretty get to keep buying nice houses for their kids. It seems like a pretty good deal.
myrmidon•33m ago
Brits already have more prosperity (=> median wages) even after adjusting for purchasing power.

Some stagnation is to be expected from high energy prices and trade disruption (brexit).

British surveillance state tolerance has always been pretty high for Europe, and is typically "sold" to the average citizen as anti-crime.

thesz•46m ago
Orwell worked in Spain for about a year, 1936-37, his work on BBC during WWII was twice as long.

In my opinion, 1984 was shaped by his work in Britain.

miroljub•41m ago
And the brilliant MI6 / BBC propaganda made it as if 1984 were about the Soviet Union :)

As if it was not enough that the author himself put it in Britain.

If you want Soviet Style distopia, better read "We" from Zamyatin.

tjpnz•45m ago
Between arresting grannies for saying they support Palestinian Action and using armed officers to apprehend comedy writers I doubt they'll have the time.
azangru•44m ago
> The focus of policing is also shifting. As street crime continues to fall, more attention is directed toward protest, dissent, and the perceived risk of unrest.

Does street crime in fact continue to fall? I keep hearing about bicycles getting stolen, or how in London, mobile phones get snatched. It was also common to hear how police fails to prosecute various kinds of crime (usually mentioned in contrast to how they do prosecute noncrime crimes such as 'hate speech').

Here, for comparison, is a paragraph from an essay by Konstantin Kisin:

> A month earlier, I was walking through a posh part of London when I saw a young man in a balaclava snatch a bag from a tourist. When I told people about what I saw at various meetings, most people were surprised that I was surprised. Phone thefts, muggings and all kinds of petty crime are now considered normal and routine.

Which story is correct?

[0] -https://www.konstantinkisin.com/p/theres-good-news-for-brita...

fidotron•40m ago
Everyone in London knows what happens if you try to report "minor" street crime.

Obviously everyone saying the UK isn't a utopia is a Russian bot, and we should be censoring them.

foldr•8m ago
Do you even go here?
pjc50•33m ago
Anecdote is not data. It is both true that the police absolutely suck at handling petty crime, and the Met have a fairly terrible reputation; and that more serious violent crime is much, much less of a problem in London than it used to be (and less than US cities, of course).
throwaway85825•29m ago
They could do like D.C. and just not record crime.
azangru•24m ago
Sure; but the article's premise is that street crime is falling (and as a result, the police, which, presumably, has more free time on their hands, can focus on other things). Assuming petty crime is street crime, and seeing that you agree that the police suck at it, is the article's premise correct?
foldr•14m ago
Yes, it’s correct. Violent crime in London and the UK more generally has been on a long term downward trend. This is not incompatible with there being spikes in some specific categories of crime. But it’s consistent with the trends for homicide, for which the statistics are pretty hard to dispute, and where London has fewer per capita than Berlin, Brussels and Paris (https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/jan/12/london-homic...).
Aurornis•22m ago
> Anecdote is not data.

This is a situation where the data may not be capturing the reality, though.

An increasingly common tactic for decreasing crime statistics is to reduce reporting of crimes. The more difficult you make it to report a crime, the better the crime numbers look.

In one city I’m familiar with, it became so well known that reporting small crimes was a futile endeavor that people just gave up. It was common knowledge that you don’t bother calling the police unless it was a major crime. Not surprisingly, the crime statistics started to look better.

logicchains•11m ago
Rape rates in the UK have more than tripled over the past two decades, why doesn't that count as serious violent crime? https://www.statista.com/statistics/283100/recorded-rape-off...
teh64•24m ago
The man who says Rishi Sunak is not English [0] might be lying? Thats crazy.

[0] https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/society/2025/02/of-cou...

zpeti•9m ago
You know how the NHS reduced waiting lists a few years back? If you had waiting lists of say 100 for a surgery, they basically said - the list is maximum 15 people, after that it's whoever books first who gets the surgery. So basically you had to be lucky and be the number 15 on the list once a spot was open.

But! Magically NHS waiting lists got shorter! The government could say this on Question Time on the BBC, woohoo!

I imagine this is the kind of thing that's happening now with petty crime reports.

jbjbjbjb•29m ago
That’s just the way “freedom news” is framing it.

Social movements don’t just happen from grassroots these days. They’re seeded by foreign states. A simpler solution would be require ids for social media posting. If you don’t provide an id you get a limited number of views.

And I don’t see anything wrong with a preventative system in principle, we should be able to join up social services information with policing, because we have had cases where a mass murderer has been known to multiple services.

Aurornis•15m ago
> A simpler solution would be require ids for social media posting

It’s strange times when even the comments on posts about government overreach are calling for more government overreach and limitations on speech and privacy.

Do you really want to have to verify your ID to post anything online, including HN?

TheOtherHobbes•22m ago
The US is rounding up and murdering people like cattle. And also managing dissent with bot farms and deliberate suppression of bad think on social media and also normalising a president who is not just senile, but likely also a psychopath, and very possibly - and this is, sadly, not exaggeration, given recent revelations - not just a sexual predator, but a serial killer.

Compared to Rest of World, the UK is barely making a dent on the Authoritarian Leaderboard.

Which is not to say things are great, because they really aren't, and the deals with Palantir are especially suspect.

But so far at least, the death toll is still pretty low.

9JollyOtter•7m ago
In the UK what you are going to need to do going forward is essentially have an official and a non-official presence online. You are also going to need to use the cockroach strategy (at least tech wise), until this stuff gets unpopular enough amongst enough people that there is large push back that can't be ignored.

> The surveillance and predictive systems now being assembled are being designed not only for the current moment, but in preparation for what comes next. Whether in response to renewed austerity, military escalation, or widespread resistance, these tools are positioned to contain unrest before it surfaces. What’s emerging is a model of preemptive policing—structured around behaviour, association, and predicted risk. Individuals are reduced to data profiles, tracked not for what they’ve done but for their statistical proximity to disruption. Suppression is exercised in advance.

That is why they are so keen to backdoor any popular encrypted messaging platform. They can't monitor communications. Unfortunately most people seem to supportive of this. I was quite surprised when my Father (who is a layman) told me he supported this, this is a person that doesn't vote largely for the same reasons that I don't.

Additionally. I was listening to someone that engaged at essentially Red Teaming for UK authorities (I forget who it was now). They stated that if you were a dissident, if you kept your activities offline and organise in person the authorities wouldn't be aware of this activity. I don't know if this is true, but it sounds plausible.

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