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Show HN: Debugging conflicting U.S. sexual behavior surveys

https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/jcdbm_v2
2•joshuafkon•1w ago
I'm the author of a new preprint that tries to resolve why major U.S. sexual behavior surveys appeared to report contradictory trends over the past decade. The key move is separating never-occurrence from temporary inactivity among the experienced, rather than averaging them together. That decomposition is applied symmetrically across surveys and validated against an independent dataset. The paper then treats the remaining discrepancy as a debugging problem: • check distributions for digit heaping and compression • look for stock–flow reversals consistent with under-reporting • compare adjacent survey waves for internal consistency • cross-validate against an external series not subject to the same reporting incentives Once those diagnostics are applied, the conflicting results reconcile cleanly. This is a methods/measurement paper, not a causal one. The contribution is showing how small reporting artifacts and aggregation choices can produce large apparent disagreements—even in high-quality surveys—when they aren't handled carefully. (One note for the methodologically inclined: conditioning on "sexually experienced" looks like it could induce collider bias. Section 4 and Appendix D5 address this directly—the gender gap in sexual debut didn't change differentially, so selection into the analysis sample is symmetric.) Preprint: https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/jcdbm_v2 Replication code: https://github.com/Joshfkon/ResearchPaper_PartnershipGap Happy to discuss the diagnostics, decomposition logic, or limitations.

Πfs – The Data-Free Filesystem

https://github.com/philipl/pifs
1•ravenical•2m ago•0 comments

Go-busybox: A sandboxable port of busybox for AI agents

https://github.com/rcarmo/go-busybox
1•rcarmo•3m ago•0 comments

Quantization-Aware Distillation for NVFP4 Inference Accuracy Recovery [pdf]

https://research.nvidia.com/labs/nemotron/files/NVFP4-QAD-Report.pdf
1•gmays•4m ago•0 comments

xAI Merger Poses Bigger Threat to OpenAI, Anthropic

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2026-02-03/musk-s-xai-merger-poses-bigger-threat-to-op...
1•andsoitis•4m ago•0 comments

Atlas Airborne (Boston Dynamics and RAI Institute) [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNorxwlZlFk
1•lysace•5m ago•0 comments

Zen Tools

http://postmake.io/zen-list
1•Malfunction92•8m ago•0 comments

Is the Detachment in the Room? – Agents, Cruelty, and Empathy

https://hailey.at/posts/3mear2n7v3k2r
1•carnevalem•8m ago•0 comments

The purpose of Continuous Integration is to fail

https://blog.nix-ci.com/post/2026-02-05_the-purpose-of-ci-is-to-fail
1•zdw•10m ago•0 comments

Apfelstrudel: Live coding music environment with AI agent chat

https://github.com/rcarmo/apfelstrudel
1•rcarmo•11m ago•0 comments

What Is Stoicism?

https://stoacentral.com/guides/what-is-stoicism
3•0xmattf•12m ago•0 comments

What happens when a neighborhood is built around a farm

https://grist.org/cities/what-happens-when-a-neighborhood-is-built-around-a-farm/
1•Brajeshwar•12m ago•0 comments

Every major galaxy is speeding away from the Milky Way, except one

https://www.livescience.com/space/cosmology/every-major-galaxy-is-speeding-away-from-the-milky-wa...
2•Brajeshwar•12m ago•0 comments

Extreme Inequality Presages the Revolt Against It

https://www.noemamag.com/extreme-inequality-presages-the-revolt-against-it/
2•Brajeshwar•12m ago•0 comments

There's no such thing as "tech" (Ten years later)

1•dtjb•13m ago•0 comments

What Really Killed Flash Player: A Six-Year Campaign of Deliberate Platform Work

https://medium.com/@aglaforge/what-really-killed-flash-player-a-six-year-campaign-of-deliberate-p...
1•jbegley•13m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: Anyone orchestrating multiple AI coding agents in parallel?

1•buildingwdavid•15m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Knowledge-Bank

https://github.com/gabrywu-public/knowledge-bank
1•gabrywu•20m ago•0 comments

Show HN: The Codeverse Hub Linux

https://github.com/TheCodeVerseHub/CodeVerseLinuxDistro
3•sinisterMage•21m ago•2 comments

Take a trip to Japan's Dododo Land, the most irritating place on Earth

https://soranews24.com/2026/02/07/take-a-trip-to-japans-dododo-land-the-most-irritating-place-on-...
2•zdw•21m ago•0 comments

British drivers over 70 to face eye tests every three years

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c205nxy0p31o
25•bookofjoe•22m ago•9 comments

BookTalk: A Reading Companion That Captures Your Voice

https://github.com/bramses/BookTalk
1•_bramses•23m ago•0 comments

Is AI "good" yet? – tracking HN's sentiment on AI coding

https://www.is-ai-good-yet.com/#home
3•ilyaizen•24m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Amdb – Tree-sitter based memory for AI agents (Rust)

https://github.com/BETAER-08/amdb
1•try_betaer•24m ago•0 comments

OpenClaw Partners with VirusTotal for Skill Security

https://openclaw.ai/blog/virustotal-partnership
2•anhxuan•24m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Seedance 2.0 Release

https://seedancy2.com/
2•funnycoding•25m ago•0 comments

Leisure Suit Larry's Al Lowe on model trains, funny deaths and Disney

https://spillhistorie.no/2026/02/06/interview-with-sierra-veteran-al-lowe/
1•thelok•25m ago•0 comments

Towards Self-Driving Codebases

https://cursor.com/blog/self-driving-codebases
1•edwinarbus•25m ago•0 comments

VCF West: Whirlwind Software Restoration – Guy Fedorkow [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLoXodz1N9A
1•stmw•26m ago•1 comments

Show HN: COGext – A minimalist, open-source system monitor for Chrome (<550KB)

https://github.com/tchoa91/cog-ext
1•tchoa91•27m ago•1 comments

FOSDEM 26 – My Hallway Track Takeaways

https://sluongng.substack.com/p/fosdem-26-my-hallway-track-takeaways
1•birdculture•28m ago•0 comments