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Ask HN: Any need for Monte Carlo in prediction markets?

1•iamorlando•1h ago
In general looking for a use case to a Monte Carlo solution I wrote. My hypothesis is crypto and prediction market tooling is not yet mature and there is a market for financial quant analytics with adaptations. In the case of prediction markets, would it be helpful to see the world under consistent joint distribution? For example as a way to see relative value, quantify and aggregate exposures? My tool could provide tail risk for these questions.

I can understand there not being demand today, but it might still be useful as these markets make their way into cross asset portfolios where they will need to be seen under the traditional portfolio analytics lense.

Am I wrong about this? or any other uses I am not seeing>?

thank you!!

"Infinite Jest" Has Turned Thirty. Have We Forgotten How to Read It?

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1•bonefishgrill•2m ago•0 comments

A tool to log your daily spending on go and gives you finance insights

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Life on Claude Nine

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Small, but with transaction isolation: writing Jepsen tests for Antietcd

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Show HN: An AI-intern to listen to, transcribe, and summarize your podcasts

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Meth: We're on It

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Tell HN: Reminder – Belkin ending Wemo support this week

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Ask HN: Claude Code vs. Open Code

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Chicago Area Electricity Prices Go Negative (Jan 25th, 26th, ComEd)

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A 639 years concert

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Why Ramp Won

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I Transcribed 362 Episodes of My Favorite Podcast Using Codex and Exe.dev

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Ask HN: SWE to CAD Career Switch

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State of the Windows: What is going on with Windows 11?

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NASA Reveals New Details About Dark Matter's Influence on Universe

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What Is PrecisionRush?

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Wikipedia's largest non-English version was created by a bot

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ePub and PDF for "The Adolescence of Technology"

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Leader in smallpox eradication, Dr. William Foege, dies at 89

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4•toomuchtodo•34m ago•1 comments