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Ask HN: Any need for Monte Carlo in prediction markets?

1•iamorlando•1w ago
In general looking for a use case to a Monte Carlo solution I wrote. My hypothesis is crypto and prediction market tooling is not yet mature and there is a market for financial quant analytics with adaptations. In the case of prediction markets, would it be helpful to see the world under consistent joint distribution? For example as a way to see relative value, quantify and aggregate exposures? My tool could provide tail risk for these questions.

I can understand there not being demand today, but it might still be useful as these markets make their way into cross asset portfolios where they will need to be seen under the traditional portfolio analytics lense.

Am I wrong about this? or any other uses I am not seeing>?

thank you!!

Show HN: CryptoClaw – open-source AI agent with built-in wallet and DeFi skills

https://github.com/TermiX-official/cryptoclaw
1•cryptoclaw•20s ago•0 comments

ShowHN: Make OpenClaw Respond in Scarlett Johansson’s AI Voice from the Film Her

https://twitter.com/sathish316/status/2020116849065971815
1•sathish316•2m ago•0 comments

CReact Version 0.3.0 Released

https://github.com/creact-labs/creact
1•_dcoutinho96•4m ago•0 comments

Show HN: CReact – AI Powered AWS Website Generator

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1•_dcoutinho96•4m ago•0 comments

The rocky 1960s origins of online dating (2025)

https://www.bbc.com/culture/article/20250206-the-rocky-1960s-origins-of-online-dating
1•1659447091•10m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Agent-fetch – Sandboxed HTTP client with SSRF protection for AI agents

https://github.com/Parassharmaa/agent-fetch
1•paraaz•11m ago•0 comments

Why there is no official statement from Substack about the data leak

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5•witnessme•15m ago•1 comments

Effects of Zepbound on Stool Quality

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2•aloukissas•18m ago•1 comments

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1•bigbromaker•21m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: Do we need "metadata in source code" syntax that LLMs will never delete?

1•andrewstuart•27m ago•1 comments

Pentagon cutting ties w/ "woke" Harvard, ending military training & fellowships

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6•alephnerd•30m ago•2 comments

Can Quantum-Mechanical Description of Physical Reality Be Considered Complete? [pdf]

https://cds.cern.ch/record/405662/files/PhysRev.47.777.pdf
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Kessler Syndrome Has Started [video]

https://www.tiktok.com/@cjtrowbridge/video/7602634355160206623
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Complex Heterodynes Explained

https://tomverbeure.github.io/2026/02/07/Complex-Heterodyne.html
3•hasheddan•33m ago•0 comments

EVs Are a Failed Experiment

https://spectator.org/evs-are-a-failed-experiment/
3•ArtemZ•45m ago•5 comments

MemAlign: Building Better LLM Judges from Human Feedback with Scalable Memory

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CCC (Claude's C Compiler) on Compiler Explorer

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Homeland Security Spying on Reddit Users

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Actors with Tokio (2021)

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Can graph neural networks for biology realistically run on edge devices?

https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-8645211/v1
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Deeper into the shareing of one air conditioner for 2 rooms

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Weatherman introduces fruit-based authentication system to combat deep fakes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HVbZwJ9gPE
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Why Embedded Models Must Hallucinate: A Boundary Theory (RCC)

http://www.effacermonexistence.com/rcc-hn-1-1
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A Curated List of ML System Design Case Studies

https://github.com/Engineer1999/A-Curated-List-of-ML-System-Design-Case-Studies
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Pony Alpha: New free 200K context model for coding, reasoning and roleplay

https://ponyalpha.pro
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https://github.com/Goofygiraffe06/tunbot
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Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability

https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.16496
2•vinhnx•1h ago•0 comments

Bye Bye Humanity: The Potential AMOC Collapse

https://thatjoescott.com/2026/02/03/bye-bye-humanity-the-potential-amoc-collapse/
3•rolph•1h ago•0 comments

Dexter: Claude-Code-Style Agent for Financial Statements and Valuation

https://github.com/virattt/dexter
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Digital Iris [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kg_2MAgS_pE
1•vermilingua•1h ago•0 comments