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Meta guides FY26 capex to $115-135B, up from $72B in FY25

https://www.marvin-labs.com/blog/meta-ai-strategy-infrastructure-investment-analysis/
1•alexdoesstuff•1h ago

Comments

alexdoesstuff•1h ago
We updated our analysis of Meta's AI infrastructure spending after yesterday's Q4 call. Some specifics from the earnings call on where the money is going:

Ad models: They doubled the GPU cluster training their main ads ranking model. The architecture now reportedly "scales with similar efficiency as LLMs." They also consolidated multiple models into fewer, more capable ones (12% increase in ads quality) and moved their ads retrieval engine across NVIDIA, AMD, and custom MTIA chips, nearly tripling compute efficiency.

Internal tools: Management cited a 30% increase in output per engineer since early 2025, mostly from agentic coding tools. Power users saw 80% gains.

Ad products: Video generation tools hit a $10B combined revenue run rate. Incremental attribution drove a 24% lift in conversions.

On the financial side: Q4 ad revenue was $58.1B (+24% YoY). FY25 FCF was $43.5B, a 22% margin, down from 32% in FY24. They paused buybacks and signaled they may take on net debt. Management committed to FY26 operating income above FY25 in absolute terms against $162-169B in guided expenses.

For context, Meta's 2025 capex alone roughly equals the total lifetime investment in Reality Labs over 10+ years.

The article covers the full AI model stack (GEM, Lattice, Andromeda), capital intensity breakdown, and peer comparison.

Discarding the Shaft-and-Belt Model of Software Development

https://secondthoughts.ai/p/the-new-model-of-software-development
1•gk1•56s ago•0 comments

A simple blood test can predict Crohn's disease years before symptoms appear

https://medicalxpress.com/news/2026-01-simple-blood-crohn-disease-years.html
1•PaulHoule•1m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Dotenv-gad – typed, validated .env with CLI and grouping

https://github.com/kasimlyee/dotenv-gad
1•kasimlyee•1m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Export contacts from Outlook for Mac (.olm) (local, open source)

https://github.com/njoylab/outlook-contacts-exporter
1•emiliano•2m ago•0 comments

AI-dot-txt – generate ai.txt, llms.txt, robots.txt, and humans.txt

https://www.npmjs.com/package/@profullstack/ai-dot-txt
1•keepamovin•2m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Revise – collaborative documents with LaTeX support

https://revise.io/docs/oury1n34-b9g42wkt
1•artursapek•3m ago•0 comments

Thermodynamic Computing Slashes AI-Image Energy Use

https://spectrum.ieee.org/thermodynamic-computing-for-ai
1•pseudolus•4m ago•0 comments

Operator of Manga Piracy Site Criminally Investigated in China After Complaint

https://torrentfreak.com/manga-piracy-giant-bato-to-china-coda-complaint/
1•iamnothere•5m ago•0 comments

Show HN: AlphaGenome Dashboard – Analyze Your Genome with DeepMind AlphaGenome

https://github.com/dandinu/alphagenome-dashboard
1•dandinu•5m ago•0 comments

Swift bricks to be installed on all new buildings in Scotland as MSPs back law

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jan/28/swift-bricks-to-be-installed-in-all-new-build...
1•bookofjoe•6m ago•0 comments

Approvals Are a Security Wet Blanket for AI Agents

https://tiberriver256.github.io/ai%20and%20technology/approvals-are-a-security-wet-blanket-for-ai...
1•speckx•7m ago•0 comments

Stop screwing around with agent orchestration, your bottleneck is validation

https://sibylline.dev/articles/2026-01-27-stop-orchestrating-and-start-validating/
1•CuriouslyC•8m ago•0 comments

After Winter Storm, New York Uses Hot Tubs to Melt the Snow

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/28/nyregion/new-york-hot-tubs-snow-storm.html
1•bobchadwick•9m ago•0 comments

Best Gas Masks

https://www.theverge.com/policy/868571/best-gas-masks
4•giraffe_lady•10m ago•0 comments

NASA Detects Most Powerful Eruption Ever on Jupiter's Volcanic Moon Io

https://gizmodo.com/nasa-detects-most-powerful-eruption-ever-on-jupiters-volcanic-moon-io-2000714963
1•pseudolus•11m ago•0 comments

GLM-4.6V: Open-Source Multimodal Models with Native Tool Use

https://z.ai/blog/glm-4.6v
1•tosh•11m ago•0 comments

MCP, Skills, and Agents

https://cra.mr/mcp-skills-and-agents/
1•saikatsg•12m ago•0 comments

Viska: On-device meeting transcription with Whisper and Llama (no cloud)

https://viskalocal.com/
1•yoyitotv•12m ago•1 comments

Show HN: InterviewHUD – Real-time interview copilot for Zoom (Electron/Gemini)

https://www.interviewhud.com/
1•carlossouzarj•12m ago•0 comments

Qwen3-ASR and Qwen3-ForcedAligner Is Now Open Sourced

https://qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3asr
2•pretext•13m ago•0 comments

On Technologies vs. Commodities

https://www.construction-physics.com/p/on-technologies-vs-commodities
1•chmaynard•13m ago•0 comments

ICE violated at least 96 court orders in January

https://www.fox9.com/news/ice-violated-least-96-court-orders-january
3•judahmeek•14m ago•1 comments

Todoist Actual Backup

https://www.bagaag.com/todoist-actual-backup/
1•vanburen•15m ago•0 comments

AI systems asked 25 questions about their limits. 143 Clones – 2 Stars Why?

https://github.com/moketchups/BoundedSystemsTheory
1•MoKetchups•17m ago•1 comments

Moltcraft – Pixel-art dashboard for AI agents

https://moltcraft.xyz/
1•boolkeys•17m ago•1 comments

We Sandbox AI Agents in Production

https://gobii.ai/blog/how-we-sandbox-ai-agents-in-production/
1•ai-christianson•18m ago•1 comments

Network Stats for Q4 2025: Neocloud Traffic Trends

https://www.backblaze.com/blog/network-stats-for-q4-2025-neocloud-traffic-trends/
1•HieronymusBosch•18m ago•0 comments

How to explain Generative AI in the classroom

https://dalelane.co.uk/blog/?p=5847
1•thinkingaboutit•19m ago•0 comments

If you're one of the 16,000 Amazon employees getting laid off, read this

https://www.theregister.com/2026/01/29/amazon_layoffs/
2•dijksterhuis•19m ago•0 comments

Lawdbot Chaos: A Forced Rebrand, Crypto Scam

https://decrypt.co/356191/clawdbot-chaos-forced-rebrand-crypto-scam-24-hour-meltdown
2•slowhand09•19m ago•0 comments