“Now”? No; it’s always been a speculative asset. The only folks who didn’t think that were those who didn’t know any better.
This piece predicts that BTC will go to zero because it is held my MicroStrategy and is not a good hedge against stock market.
And unlike Bitcoin, it is producing something. Maybe not what people hope, but it's more than just a "store of value".
Once the speculation money starts to leave, the supply of greater fools will have run out. There will be literally nobody willing to buy it.
"The best technical analysis anyone has done on bitcoin."
Been a swift drop this time. My buddy goes "if only I sold it all in October", what... like the rest of the people participating in the Ponzi scheme who would also like to cash out at the top?
Looks like all those stupid bitcoin treasury companies are finally unwinding.
At least no one's sitting around pretending it's going to actually do anything useful anymore.
It enriches certain elected officials (and their friends). That's why the US Government holds a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve".
Other than that if you measured the utility of Crypto assets versus AI, there's no argument that AI (even though it's in a bubble) is still more valuable per MWh than Crypto.
I didn't pay much attention to the rest of it but I can't imagine it was any better.
(Anyway, in answer to your question: at time of writing, it's the 6th of February, though I don't know what else you might be expecting.)
But, regardless, even if you feel you have won, this time - for how long? It won't be the 5th of February for you forever!
so i don't believe it will ever go to zero as it has intrinsic value as a casino, if nothing else
on the other hand there is a price where the network no longer has any incentive to operate. Whereupon... doesn't it just stop working / become easily forkable? in which case it seems like Bitcoin is perhaps uniquely unable to recover from crashing out of all things that can crash (a thesis which is consistent with it having no intrinsic value, lol)
The fact my offer exists means a zero price target is dumb.
That seems like a lot of money to waste.
> [Burry] warned that if prices fall another 10%, Strategy (MSTR) would be billions in the red and could “find capital markets essentially closed".
According to bloomberg [1] mstr is still trading at a 9% premium to the btc it owns. Why would bitcoin falling another 10% make a difference?
ArchieScrivener•1h ago
If Bitcoin Core decides this is true and alters the algo to save the chain, it too will lead to collapse as a Balkanization will occur across the mining pools. The most likely outcome is disintegration.
usrnm•42m ago
It's just as irrational as it was 10 years ago, there have always been more productive uses for energy, but it doesn't really matter, people will always chose their own short-term profit, expecting anything else is delusional