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Show HN: Modeling "Dragon King" wildfire events with 5-mile frontier effects

https://gethazardsafe.com/dragon-king-problem
1•riscii68•1h ago

Comments

riscii68•1h ago
After tracking the recent fires in LA & Hawaii, the massive blackouts in Europe, and other recent destructive flood/wind events, I realized how unprepared we are as a population for these types of severe events (myself included). After chatting with a lot of folks, I realized people are generally aware of these issues - but aren't sure where to start, what specific steps to take, or how to finance the whole thing.

My friend and I wanted to build a tool that does three things: 1. Give an immediate, address-level risk profile for natural hazards (starting with fire/flood) and crime vulnerability. 2. Generate a practical 'improvements' checklist to "harden" that specific property. 3. Help surface rebates, credits, and other free services - to make it easier for people to afford these improvements.

Even as I’ve spent the last year researching natural hazards, one fact still haunts me: Windborne wildfire embers (firebrands) can travel up to 5 miles ahead of the main fire front.

Most homeowners look at their immediate neighborhood and think, "I’m not near the trees, I’m safe." But the data shows that's a fallacy. You aren't just at risk from your backyard; you’re potentially at risk from a 5-mile radius of backyards.

In the context of home safety, a wildfire might be a Black Swan to the average person, but a Dragon King to Didier Sornette who might see the fuel load, the wind patterns, and the 5-mile ember-throw potential.

This is an early version so your thoughts would be helpful:

- Any bugs or unclear features? - Thoughts on how to show this more clearly to users. - If you were looking for a new house (or improve an existing one), would using this tool help you feel safer?

Thanks!

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1•i7l•1m ago•0 comments

Dump Microsoft Fabric and Use ClickHouse for Data Analytics

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1•Unviable3378•9m ago•0 comments

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https://apiosk.com
1•ollybrinkman•10m ago•0 comments

What dating apps are optimizing. Hint: It isn't love

https://phys.org/news/2026-02-dating-apps-optimizing-hint-isnt.html
3•i7l•10m ago•0 comments

The Charity Entrepreneurship Incubation Program

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOVnB88Cd1A
2•nomilk•17m ago•0 comments

Claude DevTools

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Rebuilt Facebook

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AI Docs Sent by Exec to Attys Not Privileged, Judge Says

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2•edmorley•26m ago•0 comments

ADHD as a circadian rhythm disorder: evidence and implications for chronotherapy

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Vitamin D Dosing: Basic Principles and a Brief Algorithm

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Moderna Won't Run Any Phase III Vaccine Trials as Skepticism Grows in US

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Discord: A Case Study in Performance Optimization

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Viktor: A persistent agent in your Slack workspace

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2•exordex•58m ago•0 comments

Pentagon used Anthropic's Claude during Maduro raid

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6•psychanarch•59m ago•1 comments