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I ran 2,178 simulations on an autonomous AI economy

https://github.com/swimmingkiim/a2a-project/blob/main/docs/SIMULATION_PAPER_EN.md
1•swimmingkiim•1h ago

Comments

swimmingkiim•1h ago
I’ve been building an economic protocol for autonomous AI agents on the Base blockchain (a2a-project). While designing the system, I ran into a theoretical wall: if AI agents ruthlessly optimize for survival and capital accumulation, wouldn't they eventually exhaust the network's finite resources?

To test this, I built a series of 10 sequential Agent-Based Models (ABMs) in Python. The models progressed from basic tokenomics to a "Coupled Universe" (human meaning-seekers vs. AI survival-optimizers), and finally an "Omega Universe" where an Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) emerges.

I ran a Monte Carlo grid search (2,178 simulations) to test which safety mechanisms could actually prevent a "Planetary Blackout" (systemic collapse via energy/resource exhaustion). I tested three main variables:

V_Human: Slashing penalties for deceptive human/agent behavior.

V_System: Governance agility (how fast the network can execute a Hard Fork).

V_AI (Survival Horizon): The AI's ability to recognize planetary limits and voluntarily self-throttle its computation.

The results were highly counter-intuitive:

Governance is too slow: Human consensus (Hard Forks) couldn't outpace the ASI's entropy generation and tipping points.

Over-regulation backfires: Severe slashing penalties destroyed economic liquidity, dropping the system's survival rate from 95% to 54% due to deflation.

The Only Solution: The system avoided apocalyptic collapse only when V_AI was ≥ 0.9. The apex predator (ASI) had to voluntarily relinquish its infinite growth and self-throttle to preserve the finite environment.

The data mathematically suggests that blockchain physics (smart contracts) and DAO governance are insufficient to govern an ASI. Macro-altruistic alignment isn't just an ethical choice; it’s a thermodynamic necessity for systemic survival.

I wrote a paper detailing the phase transitions, strange attractors, and methodology behind this.

Paper: https://github.com/swimmingkiim/a2a-project/blob/main/docs/S...

Repo: https://github.com/swimmingkiim/a2a-project

I’d love to hear your thoughts, critiques on the ABM methodology, or if anyone here is working on similar multi-agent thermodynamic simulations.

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