https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/A...

It's far more likely that any official "disclosure" is part of some kind of psyop than it is that aliens are actually here on Earth. I'm reminded of that old Outer Limits episode where the government surgically altered a soldier to look like an alien in order to fake an alien invasion, so that humanity would unite under a common enemy (and presumably a common American imperialist regime.) Of course there are tons of conspiracy theories along these lines (Blue Beam) and I would have written it all off as insane until a few years ago. Now I don't doubt that they would try and I don't doubt people would fall for it. Even when it was proven a hoax, people would still believe it.