So I built PoliticaHub to pull some of it together.
Right now it aggregates markets from Polymarket and Kalshi and shows the implied probabilities for things like election outcomes, conflict escalation, recession odds and similar stuff. The idea is basically just to see what traders are pricing in across different events.
Under the hood it just pulls data from their APIs, normalizes the probabilities and refreshes every few minutes. Nothing super fancy. I’m still experimenting with things like filtering by region or event type and maybe highlighting big probability swings.
Its still pretty early and im sure there are bugs or weird things I havent noticed yet. Would appreciate any feedback from the HN crowd, especially if something looks broken or confusing.