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They all said Hormuz closure would be brief. What if they were wrong?

https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1156532/They-all-said-Hormuz-closure-would-be-brief-What-if-they-were-wrong
3•everybodyknows•1h ago

Comments

onecommentman•1h ago
Fine article, pearl-clutching tone (the world economies will not collapse if 20% of oil and gas maritime trade is blocked, but many specific industries in specific countries would be very significantly annoyed/impacted in the middle term).

But an absolutely absurd title. There is no citation in the article to anyone, much less “they all said”, who said a Hormuz closure would be brief. And I’d expect “brief” to be defined in somewhere in the article, and it isn’t. Expect better from Lloyd’s. Are they this sloppy in their underwriting? This topic doesn’t need click-bait, it’s important enough.

This blockade scenario had been identified and studied for several decades by major industrial powers, and contingency plans and stockpiling has been part and parcel of industrial planning by those powers. It’s orders of magnitude less globally impactful than any scenarios involving nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles in that “comic opera/snuff film” the world calls the Middle East.

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