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Ask HN: Can personal luck be studied statistically?

1•laetus-app•2h ago
I’ve been exploring an idea that luck might have observable patterns when you accumulate enough random events.

Instead of predicting outcomes, the idea is to simulate many small “luck events” and observe how results distribute over time.

For example, I built a small experiment where virtual lottery bets are generated and compared against real lottery results worldwide. The goal is not to gamble but to explore probability patterns and personal outcome distributions.

I'm curious how people here think about this:

Is “personal luck” just cognitive bias, or could large datasets of random events reveal meaningful patterns?

Would love thoughts from people interested in probability and randomness.

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