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Kalshi faces criminal charges in Arizona in prediction markets fight

https://www.axios.com/2026/03/17/kalshi-criminal-charges-arizona-prediction-markets
3•1vuio0pswjnm7•1h ago

Comments

techblueberry•1h ago
Why are these called prediction markets and not political / current evenets gambling?
JoshTriplett•1h ago
Because the purpose of them is to accurately predict events. People often get better at accurately modeling reality when money is on the line. Prediction markets are designed around the idea that you can best make money if your predictions match reality, so if you bet something that doesn't match reality, people have a direct financial incentive to model reality better and take your money. Some people are absurdly good at it. The net result, in theory, is a financial incentive to get accurate answers about the world.

"Partisan Bias in Factual Beliefs about Politics," Quarterly Journal of Political Science 10(4), 2015.

"You Cannot be Serious: The Impact of Accuracy Incentives on Partisan Bias in Reports of Economic Perceptions", https://ideas.repec.org/a/now/jlqjps/100.00014127.html

Commandments of AI (Mindfulness)

1•xaj•3m ago•0 comments

Knowledge workers managing AI show collapsed productivity, not just a plateau

1•dfordp11•6m ago•0 comments

New iPhone app covering retro CPUs

https://apps.apple.com/us/app/opcodes/id6760205834
1•GrantMeStrength•9m ago•1 comments

AI – Assassinating Intelligence

https://yashgarg.dev/posts/ai-slop/
1•salkahfi•10m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Hat v0.7.0 – Fast, local automatic file compression and conversion

https://github.com/bittere/hat
1•_bittere•11m ago•0 comments

Meta's Omnilingual MT for 1,600 Languages

https://ai.meta.com/research/publications/omnilingual-mt-machine-translation-for-1600-languages/?...
1•j0e1•12m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Bank Parser – Convert US Bank Statement PDFs to QuickBooks-Ready Excel

https://bank-parser.com
1•zetbaur•12m ago•0 comments

Doubling down on open-access quantum computing

https://www.ibm.com/quantum/blog/open-plan-updates
1•jonbaer•12m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Llmtop – Htop for LLM Inference Clusters (vLLM, SGLang, Ollama, llama)

https://github.com/InfraWhisperer/llmtop
1•rpotluri•13m ago•0 comments

Review the Spec. Not the Code

https://www.augmentcode.com/blog/review-the-intent-not-the-code
1•knes•16m ago•0 comments

What is Nvidia NemoClaw and how to try it

https://mashable.com/article/nvidida-nemoclaw-what-it-is-how-to-try-it
1•geoffbp•19m ago•0 comments

Electric vehicles avoided oil consumption of 70% of Iran's 2025 exports

https://ember-energy.org/latest-updates/electric-vehicles-avoided-oil-consumption-equivalent-to-7...
1•dabinat•26m ago•0 comments

Review of Microsoft's ClearType Font Collection (2005)

https://typographica.org/on-typography/microsofts-cleartype-font-collection-a-fair-and-balanced-r...
1•precompute•28m ago•0 comments

Your terminal, finally has memory!

https://github.com/KunalSin9h/yaad
2•knlsn•30m ago•1 comments

Rust-accelerated reinforcement learning, 140x faster than Python

https://github.com/riserally/rlox
3•wkowalpl•33m ago•1 comments

Iranian security chief Ali Larijani killed in air strike

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c24deezq6meo
1•tartoran•39m ago•1 comments

India's 20 years of GDP misestimation: New evidence

https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/2026/indias-20-years-gdp-misestimation-new-evidence
1•littlexsparkee•39m ago•0 comments

AI coordinates with your friends' AI so nobody has to

https://sotto.us
2•felixwu•44m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Vibe Remote – Code from your bed or the park with Claude Code/Codex

https://vibe-remote.com
2•amarkdown•47m ago•2 comments

Smoother Signatures (2012)

https://developer.squareup.com/blog/smoother-signatures/
1•wxw•48m ago•0 comments

The remaining questions after the Supreme Court's tariffs ruling

https://www.scotusblog.com/2026/03/the-remaining-questions-after-the-supreme-courts-tariffs-ruling/
2•treetalker•49m ago•0 comments

My Claude Code setup you definitely shouldn't use. It's AI Overkill

https://github.com/notque/ai-overkill
3•AndyNemmity•53m ago•1 comments

From Descartes to punk rock, the letter X has an extraordinary history

https://www.npr.org/2026/03/17/nx-s1-5732951/letter-x-etymology-religion-punk-descartes-romans-al...
1•andsoitis•55m ago•0 comments

Forget Flags and Scripts: Just Rename the File

https://robertsdotpm.github.io/software_engineering/program_names_as_input.html
5•Uptrenda•1h ago•3 comments

Life in Hitler's Capital

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/03/16/stay-alive-berlin-1939-1945-ian-buruma-book-review
2•mitchbob•1h ago•1 comments

Study finds scientists' jokes mostly fall flat

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-026-00854-9
2•y1n0•1h ago•3 comments

SQLite WAL-reset database corruption bug

https://sqlite.org/wal.html#walresetbug
3•jzebedee•1h ago•0 comments

We optimized Dash's relevance judge with DSPy

https://dropbox.tech/machine-learning/optimizing-dropbox-dash-relevance-judge-with-dspy
2•handfuloflight•1h ago•0 comments

TrustAgentAI – Cryptographic receipts for MCP tool calls (non-repudiation layer)

2•kirillostrovsky•1h ago•0 comments

Bonanza or Bubble? Where AI Goes from Here

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-18/is-an-ai-bubble-set-to-burst-navigating-the-ar...
1•1vuio0pswjnm7•1h ago•0 comments