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Trump is super unpopular. So why don't Democrats have a bigger lead?

https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-31-trump-is-super-unpopular
5•7777777phil•1h ago

Comments

xenospn•53m ago
I hate trump and the gop. But I’ll also be the first one to admit that the dems are such fucking losers - very hard to actually vote for, because I know they’ll just do absolutely nothing with the mandate that is given to them.
baggy_trough•52m ago
In politics, you always have to ask, "compared to what"? Yes, Trump is bad in all sorts of ways. So are the far leftists who are increasingly dominating Democratic politics.
WarOnPrivacy•46m ago
Who are some leftists in power (or likely to be in power) who are as comparably awful as the current PotUS ?
baggy_trough•26m ago
DSA for example. They are increasing their influence, for example they have several elected members on the LA Board of Supervisors, not to mention the mayor of the most important US city. They are absolutely dedicated to wrecking the place and they are doing a great job of it in LA at least. That's the direction I see the Democrats going, somewhat in response to Trump, which is bad all around.
marssaxman•42m ago
> far leftists who are increasingly dominating Democratic

As a far leftist myself, I can only wish that were true; it would be a great problem to have! No, the Democratic Party is a fundamentally non-democratic institution, run from the top down by an insiders' club who care about 1) their own careers, 2) the priorities of their millionaire donors, and 3) the results of opinion polls, strictly in that order. You may be hearing more leftist voices than you're used to, but they are appealing to the party - with little effect - and certainly not dominating it.

tts626•13m ago
The far left is inherently non-democratic, so it's kind of an odd thing to complain about.

The only way far left policies are ever enacted is by a top-down insider's club of elites who think they know best for everyone else.

Of course, that's the same for the ultra-conservatives too. Extreme policies have never been popular with the American people.

In both cases, you have authoritarianism and statism differing only by sentiment and temperament.

But despite Trump's personality, he has a very broad appeal to ordinary people, speaks plainly, and for better or worse, does exactly what he says he'll do.

Conversely, Democrats seem to do nothing but back pedal and blame shift whenever their pie-in-the-sky policies fail miserably.

And of course, whenever the Democrats lose, their radical base takes to the streets, because obviously democracy has failed.

You may think of yourself as a far leftists, but if you really do embrace democracy, rule of law, and stand against authoritarianism, you're probably not nearly as far left as you imagine.

dotcoma•46m ago
Perhaps because pretty much nobody likes the Dems, either?
bdangubic•11m ago
the elections is America for quite some time now (except for “hope & change” which left us hopeless and unchanged) has basically been choosing the lesser of two bad choices. 81m people did not want for senile grandpa in 2020, they voted against trump. 2016 same-ish and so on…
dotcoma•8m ago
It's hard to disagree with you. What would be worth asking is: Why? And also: What can be done to change this in the future?
tts626•29m ago
First off, Trump is only "super unpopular" with liberals. And if you only listen to liberals and the msm, you're not getting the full picture.

For sane centrists and conservatives, despite all Trump's shortcomings, he's still the only real bulwark against the extremes of the (perceived) radical Left, which presently make up the Democrat's hard core base.

For a liberal to hear that is damn near blasphemy, I know, but believe it or not, there's a whole lot of us out there who are not onboard with what the Dems have been pedaling the last decade and longer.

But to answer the question more directly: for Democrats to have a "bigger lead", they'd have to appeal to the center, to moderates, to swing voters.

Are they doing that? No. Not even close. Quite the opposite in fact.

While the "sky is falling", "democracy at risk", "orange man bad" rhetoric worked to keep the public outraged for a long time, with help of the liberal msm, that messaging hasn't aged well.

Implying half the country are Nazis doesn't bring in the new recruits either.

But if Democrats are ever going to take the majority again, either the GOP/Trump will have to f'k up really bad, and that is certainly possible

- OR -

Democrats will have to stop pushing largely unpopular socialist-inspired policies and anti-American radical Left ideologies, all of which is off putting to the "everyman" of the political center.

Of course, the Democrat plan to radicalize the youth and import foreign bodies has been moving along at quite the pace, but people are catching on.

The fact is, the Center is what decides between Left and Right today, as each makes up roughly ~30% of the electorate. No side can win without winning the center.

So, we have a largely moderate-right party in power and a far-left party out of power.

Why?

Because Americans have historically been moderate by nature, which used to de facto mean "liberal", but increasingly that moniker comes with some very pernicious baggage, as eventually, people do get wise to the grift, especially when it hits them in the wallet, as it has in so many now quite "unlivable" blue states which people are leaving en masse.

Otoh, if Iran becomes a boondoggle, Dems may get their chance. And oh are they hoping it all goes completely sideways too. But it's going to be a very slim chance unless they get a clue, and start moving back to the center-left of the 80's and 90's.

You asked. You probably don't like the answer. But don't shoot the messenger, OK?

dotcoma•14m ago
> So, we have a largely moderate-right party in power and a far-left party out of power.

I'd say you -- mind you, I'm writing from the other side of the Atlantic, and even if I have lived in the US, that was a long time ago! -- have lunatic right-wingers in power and lunatic liberals who think they are entitled to running the show as the (weak but noisy) opposition.

Why does this happen? Because close to nobody votes in the primaries, and so it is mostly candidates who have rather extremist views that are chosen by the two parties. How to solve this? By getting more people to vote in the primaries, so that more middle-of-the-road candidates are chosen.

How would this be even possible? Only if expressing one's vote were much simpler. I pretty much subscribe to Bradley Tusk's view (see: Vote with your phone: Why Mobile Voting Is Our Final Shot at Saving Democracy) that allowing people to vote from their phones is the only way to save the US.

tts626•3m ago
Actually, "a long time ago" the GOP was not moderate in the least. But the Democrats were quite centrist in most things, at least up until Obama.

But I agree, poor turnouts in primaries is bad. Even worse in states with open primaries where liberals purposely try to sabotage Republican primaries.

Electronic voting isn't going to help us, not for a good long while. Nothing on the Internet is safe. And as soon as quantum computing hits the scene, things are going to get real cray cray.

Imo, we just need good old fashioned ballots, an enforced chain of custody, and proper ID checking (at some stage), no late mail-in ballots (drop off is fine), and ZERO computers.

And I say this as a very pro-technology person. But we haven't caught up to what the tech can do, not yet.

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