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Show HN: Claumon – forecasting Claude Code usage limits with a Gamma process

https://github.com/fabioconcina/claumon
4•fabioconcina•1h ago
Anthropic's usage analytics dashboard is only available to Team and Enterprise org admins. On a Pro or Max plan all you get is /usage and the claude.ai usage page, which show where you stand right now but not where you're heading. I looked at various open-source projects but none quite matched what I had in mind: an all-round control panel for Claude Code that's also a single binary, with no dependencies and no install steps.

The other thing I cared about was forecasting the usage limits. Existing tools do burn-rate projections (ccusage) or percentile heuristics (Claude-Code-Usage-Monitor), which felt too simplistic for what I wanted - I was after a calibrated statistical model with proper credible intervals.

I built claumon over the last few months in Go. It runs on Linux, macOS and Windows, with a Homebrew install. It has the usual consumption gauges, cost breakdowns and conversation history, plus two tabs for memory management: after a while I had memories scattered across several projects and wanted to see them in one place and prune the stale ones.

In the last few weeks I focused on the forecast model. I started from an empirical-Bayes linear regression with Brownian noise, but ended up with a Gamma process for the path noise: token usage can't decrease over time, so Brownian motion, however mathematically convenient, was the wrong choice. The intervals are calibrated against your own recorded history, and there's tooling that scores the forecasts out-of-sample, so the coverage is checked rather than assumed.

I wrote a formal, versioned spec for the model, and the implementation follows it: https://github.com/fabioconcina/claumon/blob/main/internal/f...

Everything runs locally - nothing leaves your machine. It's open source, MIT. I'd welcome feedback on the model especially.

The Apple Charging Situation

https://randsinrepose.com/guides/apple-charging/apple-charging-guide.html
1•mhb•1m ago•0 comments

Mapping Every Flock License Plate Reader Near US World Cup Stadiums

https://www.wired.com/story/us-world-cup-2026-alpr-camera-stadiums/
1•jhonovich•1m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Captcha: The Game – prove you are not a robot, physically

https://human.foliyo.kr/
1•blue-b•2m ago•0 comments

The Nationalization of American Science

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/06/the-nationalization-of-american-science...
1•mariusae•3m ago•0 comments

Neural Cellular Automata with WebGPU

https://ivanludvig.dev/tech/neural-ca-webgpu
1•IvanLudvig•3m ago•0 comments

Show HN: A modern XMPP client in Tcl/Tk

https://github.com/pounceandmiss/tacky
1•wusspuss•6m ago•0 comments

Lines of Code Got a Better Publicist

https://curlewis.co.nz/posts/lines-of-code-got-a-better-publicist/
4•RyeCombinator•8m ago•0 comments

Temporal is code-first. We built the visual authoring layer it's missing

https://www.workflowbuilder.io/blog/temporal-workflow-editor-durable-execution-visual-authoring
1•maciek996•9m ago•0 comments

Bluesky will launch Reddit style communities

https://www.engadget.com/2192047/bluesky-will-launch-communities-this-year/
2•NordStreamYacht•10m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Fundamentalio – open-source AI-powered stock analysis tool

https://github.com/DjNero11/fundamentalio
1•DjNero•10m ago•0 comments

Olric: Distributed, in-memory key/value store and cache in Golang

https://github.com/olric-data/olric
1•mastabadtomm•11m ago•0 comments

Space Jam 1996

https://www.spacejam.com/1996/
2•valisvalis•13m ago•0 comments

Making Local LLM Fast

https://bogdan.nimblex.net/programming/2026/06/10/making-local-llm-fast.html
1•bogdan_r•14m ago•0 comments

The AI Agent in the Billing Department of Verizon Is a Mentally Handicapped Thug

https://samhenrycliff.medium.com/the-ai-agent-in-the-billing-department-of-verizon-wireless-is-a-...
3•6stringmerc•15m ago•0 comments

Archive-Minter – An offline-first web archiver built in Rust

https://github.com/DionisGedeshi/archive-minter
1•dioni_•17m ago•0 comments

USB Power Delivery: Plugging into the Benefits

https://www.aptiv.com/en/insights/article/usb-power-delivery-plugging-into-the-benefits
1•mooreds•19m ago•0 comments

iFixit tears down Trump Mobile [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHpP5otFv4M
3•peteforde•19m ago•0 comments

Mozilla to increase its free Firefox VPN limits and locations until Aug 31

https://blog.mozilla.org/en/firefox/firefox-built-in-vpn-summer/
1•exploraz•20m ago•0 comments

FlowG v0.59.0 with Dark Mode support

https://flowg.cloud/blog/darkmode
1•linkdd•23m ago•0 comments

A 5.3M-year-old deep-sea whale necropolis in the Diamantina Zone

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10546-z
2•whicks•27m ago•0 comments

US Military Shahed-136 Kamikaze Drone Clone Getting Hivemind Swarming Capability

https://www.twz.com/air/u-s-militarys-lucas-kamikaze-drone-is-getting-hivemind-swarming-capability
1•prmph•28m ago•1 comments

Big tech apps that make life easy are scamming you

https://restofworld.org/2026/tech-facebook-google-whatsapp-scams/
2•donohoe•28m ago•0 comments

Show HN: EzziwebTools – A collection of 30 free tools

https://ezziwebtools.com
1•Ezzymd•28m ago•0 comments

Anthropic apologizes for invisible Claude Fable guardrails

https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/948280/anthropic-claude-fable-invisible-disti...
1•rarisma•29m ago•0 comments

Show HN: AlfinaAI – AI stock and IPO analysis for retail investors

https://alfina.ai
2•stockanalyst987•31m ago•0 comments

InventorySpread – Newsletter ad slots priced below affiliate revenue

https://inventoryspread.com
1•Northtide•33m ago•1 comments

Active-active fixed our counters but broke everything else

https://useautumn.com/blog/active-active-redis-cache
2•johnyeocx•36m ago•0 comments

Python tool for converting files and office documents to Markdown

https://github.com/microsoft/markitdown
2•mooreds•37m ago•0 comments

Creating Photo Essays About Community: A Guide to Our Where We Are Contest

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/14/learning/creating-photo-essays-about-community-a-guide-to-our-...
1•tlyleung•37m ago•0 comments

Geopolitics fuel grain market volatility

https://www.kpler.com/blog/geopolitics-fuel-grain-market-volatility
1•mooreds•38m ago•0 comments