frontpage.
newsnewestaskshowjobs

Open Source @Github

fp.

Open in hackernews

Mark Zuckerberg tells staff that AI agents haven't progressed enough

https://techcrunch.com/2026/07/02/mark-zuckerberg-tells-staff-that-ai-agents-havent-progressed-as-quickly-as-hed-hoped/
52•msolujic•1h ago

Comments

penpendian•1h ago
i bet he wants some calculative shit
yepyoukno•1h ago
Or some fuzzy yet inevitably reliable shit.

The modern trend is to think intelligence is generative “like compression” or “predicting next in sequence” rather than iteratively reducing uncertainty, like those fault tolerant humans.

AnotherGoodName•45m ago
Compression can be defined as reducing uncertainty. If you can predict the next sequence you can compress it to 0 bytes using arithmetic coding. Reliable prediction is what enables compression and it's the link between compression and AI that everyone is talking about.

No one ever in comp sci says artificial intelligence is "like compression", they correctly state that "artificial intelligence IS compression". It's absolutely known and accepted that artificial intelligence (defined as predicting outcomes with a measure of certainty and taking chosen actions towards goals using those predictions) has equivalence to compression in a very hard science way. The hardest part of artificial intelligence is compression and the remaining part, the choice of actions based on predictions is just a tree search to a goal.

_fat_santa•50m ago
I think what everyone underestimated was the absolute bonkers amount of compute it will take and how that compute must scale in order to keep up with larger and larger models.
isityettime•21m ago
I thought thats exactly what everyone anticipates? "Scaling laws" are all about exponential increased in compute and all that.
dofm•21m ago
And yet this doesn't turn out to be Meta's problem at all.

https://uk.pcmag.com/ai/165970/meta-exploring-option-to-sell...

Meta bought too many GPUs, has spare GPU capacity and they are exploring renting that capacity out.

The problem is not that the models need too much to do the job. If that were the case, Meta would not have spare capacity.

The problem is that the models currently can't be made to do the job.

laweijfmvo•12m ago
I think Meta’s massive compute investment was never about its 100,000 engineers running coding models, but its 3,500,000,000 users wanting to use AI in every single product (and some new ones: Meta AI, glasses, etc.) So I would think that’s the part that’s not being utilized anywhere near the amount they hoped...
maccard•6m ago
Do the 3.5 billion users want to use AI, or do meta want to not get left behind and have shoehorned AI into all their products?
AnotherGoodName•43m ago
I'm guessing this is specifically about Avocado which everyone at Meta would acknowledge is terrible.
amelius•24m ago
"I was hoping AI had progressed enough so I could fire you. But you failed to make it so. Therefore, you're fired!"
daveguy•19m ago
Bottom-line win-win! All hail the shareholder value!
dofm•19m ago
Or: you wasted too much money on failing to replace yourselves so now I have to lay you off. Which is one of the two possible grand outcomes of the AI bubble, which both result in laying people off, because that is all these companies know how to do as a response to stress.
jrockway•10m ago
I am not sure that it has to be so zero sum. The AI truth is probably somewhere in the middle; it probably doesn't replace software engineers and it probably won't be deleted as completely useless. My current feeling is that it's a powerful tool I'm happy to pay to use; it doesn't replace me, but it makes it easier to do higher quality work. It feels a lot like IntelliSense, or faster compilers, or getting a 32" monitor. That probably doesn't sustain the bubble, but it's something that people are going to be poking at and making money off of for a long time.

I agree that people are investing as though the world is going to run itself while the ultra-wealthy run off in yachts to compare sizes. If it wasn't AI, it would just be tulips or something. That's just how people are. But maybe they'll be right, who knows.

fantasizr•13m ago
tokenmaxxing will be a funny footnote like nfts on the tonight show 2 years post-hype
throwaway27448•18m ago
I wonder when he'll admit his hopes were baseless
holoduke•13m ago
Mark is really a bad leader with a mwah mwah vision. He is maybe correct in some things. But the execution is really really poor. Plus he does not have followers and believers. He only got money that can simulate followers to a certain extent
andybak•8m ago
If it was still possible to get verbatim results from Google then I believe "mwah mwah vision" would have been an authentic Googlewhack pointing at this comment thread.
kubb•7m ago
How does he get to decide what's "enough"? Reality will tell us, he can only place bets, whether it pans out isn't something that he has any say in.
vishalkundar•6m ago
The gap between "useful chatbot" and "useful agent" is way bigger than people realize. A chatbot can be wrong 10% of the time and still help you. An agent that's wrong 10% of the time is sending bad emails and making wrong API calls with no one checking.
ilaksh•6m ago
My instinct (for better or worse) is usually contrarian. Most people seem very skeptical of what Meta is doing with AI. But, what if, in a way at least, it makes sense?

Maybe Wang has correctly identified that the programming and agentic ability that Anthropic and OpenAI models have has largely come from armies of software engineers creating massive datasets by writing out coding and agentic problems and solutions?

So he told Zuckerberg that. The reason it may be turning into so much friction is that at companies like Anthropic or OpenAI, training engineers were either hired specifically for that purpose or probably mostly handled through contracts with third parties (which again, hired them to train AI). And honestly many of them may be overseas or just happy to have a job in a difficult period. But anyway they wouldn't have very high salary expectations etc.

But Zuckerberg already had 25000 engineers. Why not take say 1/5 of them and get them working on the the dataset? The problem is that those engineers were hired for different prestigious highly paid positions at Meta/Facebook. They were not hired to do tedious grading of AI answers or quiz construction.

But Zuckerberg either has to do this, or spend additional billions on doing it all with external contractors. A third option would be to try to create a massive distillation operation. Or just hope that his engineers could invent some magical new training trick that manifested the agentic and programming skills without the large scale human input.

Or he could release a model trained largely by existing open weights models. Which without some huge breakthrough probably has no chance of surpassing them, so is pointless.

I think most of the substantive criticism of Zuckerberg has been about burning funds. If he gives up the "your job is to grade AI homework now" plan because his engineers refuse, he would need to go through third parties. The additional billions and billions this would cost would create more pressure on the bottom line and shareholder pressure.

It would also give up any potential advantage that Wang may have optimistically sold the operation as, on that using "real" engineers as opposed to lower paid data labelling engineers might result in a higher quality dataset.

At some point, model architectures that don't need such massive datasets or can be created automatically in a way that advances the frontier will probably come about. But right now it doesn't exist.

Further, the way AI works currently, business advantage from AI comes from encoding existing internal intelligence and knowledge. Meta's massive engineering corp effectively has that in their heads. Having them create these datasets is possibly the only way to leverage this knowledge asset in this paradigm.

I guess the problem is it means forcing thousands of people to do a different job from the one they were hired for.

TheOtherHobbes•5m ago
The idea that users wanted AI was always a fantasy. Especially for Meta's products.

The whole hype cycle has been pure delusion. Just like the Metaverse hype cycle before it.

0xcafefood•19m ago
That seems like such an easy thing to estimate with a bit of basic napkin math.
laweijfmvo•14m ago
for us, maybe, but for someone who never really used the workflow, or looked at the “thinking” output where models spin their tokens on the stupidest shit, i can see how it wasn’t obvious.
jalev•15m ago
Is that a problem for Meta though? They recently announced they're going to sell their excess compute, so I imagine the actual problem is they're resorting to doing that because AI isn't having nearly the effect/usage it was supposed to and now Zuck is being a sore winner about it
AnotherGoodName•8m ago
I agree, i don't think it is the core problem.

Meta doesn't seem to be able to produce anything close to a frontier model. The selling of compute capacity seems to be acceptance of "compute is wasted on this crappy avocado model, we'd be better off allowing something better to run".

The problem is clearly in the model architecture, the training and the data fed into the model which is causing them to give up on using their compute exclusively for their own models. They can't get it right so may as well sell the compute to someone that can.

SoftTalker•6m ago
If their training base is dominated by Facebook and Instagram posts then it makes sense that their model is full of shit.
memoriyato3•7m ago
well, Google refused to increase Meta quote of tokens, even Google can't supply so many (paid) tokens as Meta is burning
PaulHoule•10m ago
I was involved in three efforts to commercialize foundation models before they were ready in the 2010s so I have a good picture of how progress works at this sort of thing and the pace a lot of the industry has been talking about is unrealistic: like people were disappointed with the rate of development of Apple Intelligence but it's actually progressed at about the rate I expected.
tyre•4m ago
I mean, Apple Intelligence has been a boondoggle. Siri has been consistently 3+ years behind in capabilities compared to even open source equivalents.

Feels less like the pace of foundation model development and more so a specific failure of one organization to do something important.

teeray•9m ago
They also believed they would be able to build that compute without restrictions. Between hardware costs and massive public opposition, scaling as they had anticipated is in jeopardy.
maccard•7m ago
Did we? Many of us have been saying that the amount of compute going into the models is unsustainable and that the models aren’t improving enough to justify that for over a year. The emperor has no clothes is true yet again.
simianwords•4m ago
No I don't think there was any systemic underestimation of compute. I see the opposite - every company understands compute is important and tries to get hold of it.
darth_avocado•3m ago
More than that, I think people overestimate how much AI will progress as you throw more compute at it. It’s the “9 women can’t deliver a baby in a month” equivalent of AI. Additional compute won’t magically give you AGI.

A GPU-driven voxel engine with binary greedy meshing and indirect rendering

https://github.com/omar-owis/VoxelEngine
1•Iwho•34s ago•0 comments

Ask HN: How Do You "Not Write Any Code by Hand" with a Token Budget?

1•mc-0•35s ago•0 comments

Loss of Cognitive Flexibility, Not Memory, May Be Earliest Sign of Alzheimer's

https://nautil.us/memory-loss-may-not-be-the-earliest-sign-of-alzheimers-1282448
1•bookofjoe•1m ago•0 comments

I built a weather station that runs machine learning to forecast weather

https://github.com/Dominic-Muscatella/weather-station-alpha/tree/master
2•makegreatthings•1m ago•1 comments

Do you hate XML? (2010)

https://sigfrid-lundberg.se/entries/2010/07/hate_xml/
2•theanonymousone•2m ago•0 comments

I Built a 100% Free Bar Inventory System

https://opensourcebarware.com
2•RichBJamison•3m ago•0 comments

Dead Forest Theory

https://contraptions.venkateshrao.com/p/dead-forest-theory
2•akkartik•4m ago•0 comments

Wing Commander IV and the FMV future that never quite was

https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2026/07/wing-commander-iv-and-the-fmv-future-that-never-quite-was/
2•ulrischa•5m ago•0 comments

Ancient Greek Technology: The Origins of Robotics and Engineering

https://kotsanas.com/news/ancient-greek-technology/
2•andsoitis•7m ago•0 comments

RetroPad: A Tiny Notepad-style Windows text editor ~2.5kb

https://github.com/PlummersSoftwareLLC/TinyRetroPad
2•rishikeshs•8m ago•0 comments

Two nasty surprises in Home Assistant's config

https://blog.frankel.ch/home-assistant/9/
2•edward•8m ago•0 comments

Urban thermal structures in scenarios of hot weather: The Bologna study

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212095526000106?via%3Dihub
1•simonebrunozzi•8m ago•0 comments

QuickFolder: Android Home Screen Organizer and App Launcher

https://play.google.com/store/search?q=QuickFolder&c=apps
1•amm811•10m ago•0 comments

When AI agents get you kicked out from a YC Startup

https://github.com/vaishcodescape/shipd-agent
1•vaishcodescape•12m ago•0 comments

Australia probes mystery space balls that washed up on beach

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1jyydr7jnjo
1•poly2it•12m ago•0 comments

Ghostlog: Live terminal UI to monitor AI coding agent Git commits

https://github.com/salarkhannn/ghostlog
1•salarkhannn•12m ago•0 comments

Paint the Earth on a live interactive globe

https://earth.tattoo/?lat=39.74225&lng=-96.94255&zoom=2.63
2•earth-tattoo•13m ago•0 comments

Chemical accidents rise as Trump administration proposes weakening safety rules

https://insideclimatenews.org/news/30062026/hazardous-chemical-accidents-rise-as-safety-rules-wea...
1•p_stuart82•16m ago•0 comments

Show HN: rockbox-dsp – A reusable Rust DSP library extracted from Rockbox

https://crates.io/crates/rockbox-dsp
1•tsiry•19m ago•0 comments

The Company Founder Who Got Fired for Ignoring His Own Return-to-Office Rules

https://www.wsj.com/business/the-founder-who-got-fired-for-ignoring-his-own-return-to-office-rule...
1•berkeleyjunk•26m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Meon – declarative flat-parsing engine (SoA, no AST)

https://github.com/vgnapuga/meon
1•vgnapuga•29m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Aletheia – The Uncertainty Loop Agent for Claude Code and Codex

https://github.com/nsankar/Aletheia
1•sankarn_ai•29m ago•0 comments

Engram – persistent memory for AI agents, in-process, no cloud

https://github.com/HBarefoot/engram
2•barefootdifital•35m ago•0 comments

Moving Back Home Used to Be a Sign of Failure. Now It Shows Financial Savvy

https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/relationships/living-with-parents-finances-0c35530c
6•apparent•38m ago•1 comments

Cursed Gemstones – The Koh-I-Noor Diamond

https://www.vulcans-forge.com/blog/news/cursed-gemstones-the-koh-i-noor-diamond
3•thunderbong•38m ago•0 comments

Longcat

https://longc.at/longcat.html
12•willmeyers•39m ago•0 comments

Istota – a multi-user AI agent and personal OS

https://istota.cynium.com/
5•durakot•39m ago•0 comments

The Computers Used in Movies

https://www.starringthecomputer.com/computers.html
28•gitowiec•39m ago•8 comments

SOLAR: AI-Powered Speed-of-Light Performance Analysis

https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.26383
2•matt_d•43m ago•0 comments

Taphonomic analysis reveals behavioral & tech capabilities of Homo floresiensis

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aeb7219
2•bushwart•45m ago•0 comments