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Zuckerberg's AI optimism blitz using nostalgia to sell AI future amid backlash

https://fortune.com/2026/07/23/zuckerberg-ai-ad-optimism-backlash/
1•1vuio0pswjnm7•51s ago•0 comments

PlayStation Network outage leaves players dreading all-digital future

https://www.polygon.com/playstation-network-down-psn-outage-digital-games-backlash/
1•speckx•1m ago•0 comments

A representation of a chapter of your life through music

https://www.cuecard.live
1•alicoredi•3m ago•0 comments

Data Depot [pdf]

https://datadepot.khoury.northeastern.edu/report/Report.pdf
1•petethomas•3m ago•0 comments

Tesla swapped a solar owner's lease contract for the Book of Enoch

https://electrek.co/2026/07/23/tesla-solar-lease-contract-book-of-enoch/
1•ColinWright•4m ago•0 comments

The Carbon programming language: graduating from the experiment

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJl4ftb5Fxg
1•theanonymousone•4m ago•0 comments

Alphabet's $205B AI spending plan spooks investors

https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2026-07-23/alphabets-205-billion-ai-spending-plan-spooks-i...
1•1vuio0pswjnm7•4m ago•0 comments

Building a DynamoDB Conformance Suite

https://martinhicks.dev/articles/dynoxide-conformance-suite
1•speckx•5m ago•0 comments

Measles Cases and Outbreaks in 2026

https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html
1•impish9208•5m ago•0 comments

The absolute state of state management

https://infrequently.org/2026/07/state-management/
1•agos•5m ago•0 comments

We built an email platform you deploy in your own AWS account

https://sendbunny.co
1•mvsingh•7m ago•2 comments

Build Systems Discussion

https://civboot.github.io/blog/2026-07-24-build-systems.html
2•theanonymousone•7m ago•1 comments

Mistaking making for the thing you've made

https://world.hey.com/jason/mistaking-making-for-the-thing-you-ve-made-bd348df9
1•dotcoma•8m ago•0 comments

AI has a weak spine. We proved it on R/AmIOverreacting

https://modelsagree.com/labs/ai-judges-overreacting
1•hankimprod•10m ago•0 comments

GitHub Mobile: Fix failing Actions checks with Copilot cloud agent

https://github.blog/changelog/2026-07-23-github-mobile-fix-failing-actions-checks-with-copilot-cl...
1•OptionOfT•12m ago•1 comments

Specification for a 100% AI-Free Software Supply Chain

https://rentry.co/organic-code-spec-v1-0-md
1•open-reality•15m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: How do I find startups that are looking for a dev? How to approach them?

2•need_a_work23•15m ago•1 comments

Code is no longer the bottleneck. Understanding is

https://www.coderabbit.ai/blog/code-is-no-longer-the-bottleneck-understanding-is
1•gillh•16m ago•0 comments

Orchestration vs. Choreography in the Agentic Era

https://heysoup.co/notes-lets-dance
1•heysoup•16m ago•0 comments

The Kids' Guide to Piracy

https://friendo.monster/posts/the-kids-guide-to-piracy.html
3•speckx•18m ago•0 comments

Notion Acquires ZeroEntropy

https://zeroentropy.dev/articles/zeroentropy-is-joining-notion/
1•Abh1Works•20m ago•0 comments

Better Than Free

https://kk.org/thetechnium/better-than-fre/
1•rafaelc•20m ago•0 comments

The White House Report on Revitalizing U.S. Scientific Leadership

https://lemire.me/blog/2026/07/22/from-institutions-to-individuals-the-white-house-report-on-revi...
2•ibobev•21m ago•0 comments

Scientists revive a powerful antibiotic that superbugs had defeated

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/07/260722032108.htm
2•bilsbie•21m ago•0 comments

Claude Opus 5 – Artificial Analysis

http://artificialanalysis.ai/models/claude-opus-5
1•pranshuchittora•22m ago•0 comments

How MVCC and Transactions Work in RocksDB

https://artem.krylysov.com/blog/2026/07/23/how-mvcc-and-transactions-work-in-rocksdb/
1•ibobev•22m ago•0 comments

Mid-Conversation System Messages

https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/build-with-claude/mid-conversation-system-messages
1•alvis•22m ago•0 comments

Solod 0.2: Networking, new targets, friendlier interop

https://antonz.org/solod-0.2/
2•ibobev•23m ago•0 comments

The global balance sheet 2026: Imbalance and divergence

https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/the-global-balance-sheet-2026-imbalance-and-divergence
1•toomuchtodo•23m ago•1 comments

PySINDy – A package for the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamical systems

https://github.com/dynamicslab/pysindy
2•sebzuddas•24m ago•1 comments
Open in hackernews

Claude Opus 5

https://www.anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-system-card
401•alvis•57m ago

Comments

alvis•52m ago
What really impress me is opus 5 is better in alignment than fable 5!
datakan•52m ago
> Claude Opus 5 is not more capable overall than our most capable general-access model, Claude Fable 5

Ok then so what's the point?

LeoPanthera•51m ago
Presumably, it’s cheaper.
afavour•51m ago
The cost?
merb•50m ago
Same as 4.8
Infinity315•50m ago
This is useful to me since I delegate most coding tasks to Opus and use Fable for planning.
serf•50m ago
it's nice to know how to work the thing that fable fails down to when it dislikes your prompt.
albert_e•50m ago
Fable 5 is NOT included in Claude Pro subscription
tamimio•29m ago
Aren’t they planning to remove it even from max and keep it only credit based? OpenAI will be happy if that would happen
javawizard•49m ago
Really? It's better than Opus 4.8, that's the point.

When they release new versions of Sonnet, no-one expects them to be better than Opus.

pferde•49m ago
The illusion of progress and advancement, to appease shareholders, and slightly postpone the looming bubble pop.
CaptWorld•40m ago
Why are we still talking like ai is majorly used for increasing shareholder value only? Its coding performance is top notch and quality is increasing at a rapid pace. It wasn't even half this good a year back. It even is useful for a subset of math problems.
zormino•23m ago
People don't seem to be able to reconcile the fact that there is likely an overbuild and overspend on AI that may be inflating a bubble, and that AI is actually incredibly useful and getting really really good for certain tasks. Both camps are right, except for when they say the other is wrong.
vidarh•48m ago
Fable is twice the price.
varispeed•44m ago
If Fable gets correct answer quicker, then you might pay less than doing back and forth with Opus, plus you lose more of your own time.

I see no reason for using less able models in my workflows. There is this saying, penny wise and pound foolish

SubiculumCode•42m ago
same as it ever was. It seems your argument implies a belief that you should always use the best model. Others think that not all tasks require the absolute most powerful, expensive, model.
stuartjohnson12•39m ago
fable on longer coding tasks with fable subagents will easily chew through hundreds of dollars in a single run.
sambaumann•34m ago
The CursorBench plot, for example, shows that fable does have slightly better performance, but Opus is pretty close, and is less expensive per task
8note•11m ago
less expensive per task might also mean less of your own time
occz•47m ago
Pricing, presumably
danielbln•45m ago
Cost.
cmrdporcupine•42m ago
To have an answer to "Sol" GPT 5.6 which is far more cost effective and available than Fable.
viccis•40m ago
This is confusing to me because in their blogpost they show model benchmarks and it spanks Fable pretty soundly in most tests.
simianwords•5m ago
You are being downvoted for a fair question and others are extremely wrong and confident.

The point is that Opus 5 is the best they can do without needing classifiers and absurdly broad safeguards.

mcast•50m ago
Interesting timing to release this on the same day Jensen makes a statement on open source AI.
bellowsgulch•48m ago
It does make me wonder if these firms, some or all, are saving some announcements to coincide with others that hit venues like HN. Companies like Nvidia surely aren't waiting, but OpenAI and Anthropic have unusual timing.
rb2e•49m ago
https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-5 - A blog post for those not wanting to go through a 190ish page pdf
siwakotisaurav•43m ago
Thanks for that, looks really good. I can see why they were constantly pushing back fable going out of the max sub with these benchmarks
kossae•39m ago
I wonder why FrontierCodev1.1's data lists Opus 5 as better than Fable 5.
shwaj•35m ago
I like how they highlighted Opus 5 as the best for “Agentic Coding” even though the number is slightly lower than Fable. Close enough for marketing, I guess!
ceejayoz•33m ago
Best can describe multiple things.

Almost as good for half the cost is something I'm very comfortable describing that way.

ProofHouse•32m ago
Best marketing
trentor
zuzululu•48m ago
so almost fable 5 with 50% cheaper cost? sign me up
himata4113•48m ago
Rather interesting that this makes sonnet 5 look even worse! There is no reason to use sonnet over opus with low or no reasoning at all.
krmmalik•27m ago
My understanding is that Opus should be used for planning, macro-level conversations and Sonnet for execution.

So, for coding, for example: Opus for solution design and architectural blueprint and then Sonnet for actual implementation.

Works out cheaper with minimal loss of quality.

At least that's my personal understanding and anecdotal experience.

atraac•48m ago
Great that there's a new model but they could fix their existing infra. We're considering dropping our Claude Team sub cause it's unusable recently. Constant bugs, dropped sessions, issues switching models, http errors. It's becoming ridiculous
hoppp•46m ago
Funny that a company selling an AI software developer can't use it to fix their infra.

Fixing those issues still requires humans.

SketchySeaBeast•44m ago
Let's be honest - they're also still hiring software devs. AI still requires skilled humans in the loop and that's not going away.
teaearlgraycold•40m ago
It's funny how they are at a disadvantage because they feel obligated to AI-max. Would Claude Code, as an interface, be as mediocre if they had software engineers writing its code directly? I doubt. On the other hand - how embarrassing would it be if they sold you a tool to write code but they were careful not to use it too much on their own products?
arm32•35m ago
But the job itself may not exist in a year, according to the job posting page.
SketchySeaBeast•24m ago
There should be a sign somewhere:

934 days since people first started threatening that devs would be replaced by AI in 365 days. 0 day(s) since Anthropic posted a developer job posting.

Only one of those numbers would need to be dynamic.

twothreeone•48m ago
It starts at page 148.
Nevin1901•46m ago
Excited to use it? Will we be seeing Haiku 5 next? /s
Eldodi•46m ago
Models benchmarks start to get saturated again!
thewebguyd•45m ago
> Opus 5’s safeguards match those of Claude Fable 5’s, with one change: it now permits source-code vulnerability discovery at all access levels. This means that the model can support defensive cybersecurity work while still blocking vulnerability discovery in compiled binaries, which is more commonly used offensively

Why can't they also allow Fable to do so also? Why is source-code vulnerability discovery limited to a lower capability model? If Fable and Opus have the same safeguards, except for this one change, I see no reason they can't also allow this for Fable.

SubiculumCode•44m ago
Because they are a private company and get to do what they want.
SubiculumCode•34m ago
I do want to add, that I am pretty bummed if Opus 5 is going to refuse the tasks I have been using Opus 4.8 for (neuroimaging). Fable absolutely refuses anything close to toughing neuroscience.
adastra22•26m ago
Fable seems to refuse anything with the word “bio” in it.
himata4113•43m ago
I found the biggest problem with fable is the random reasoning_extraction refusals as well as cyber refusals when it sees hex because only hackers use hex.
argee•
the_lucifer•45m ago
Noticed none of the comparisons mention Kimi K3. Is there a comparison chart?
himata4113•42m ago
https://deepswe.datacurve.ai/

https://artificialanalysis.ai/

pmg1991•44m ago
Same cost as 4.8 but better that 4.8. Happy to get more efficient model. But is there any reason all companies are releasing models back to back after GLM 5.2.
aleenz1102•22m ago
"Bro, AI model releases have officially overtaken iPhone releases. At this rate, we’ll be getting 'Claude 9.0 Extra Crunch' by next Tuesday."
taf2•44m ago
eager to see how it benchmarks on https://deepswe.datacurve.ai/
not_a9•43m ago
> Opus 5’s safeguards match those of Claude Fable 5’s, with one change: it now permits source-code vulnerability discovery at all access levels. This means that the model can support defensive cybersecurity work while still blocking vulnerability discovery in compiled binaries, which is more commonly used offensively.

Okay so it’s worse than Opus 4.8 for my purposes I guess?

sebzim4500•35m ago
Presumably it drops back to 4.8 in those cases so it's not really worse
tyre•32m ago
yes. At the bottom of the release post it says that they are releasing two new features, one of which is customizing fallback behavior instead of blocking for restricted models
yukIttEft•21m ago
What are your purposes?
not_a9•13m ago
Reversing for the most part, though lately I’ve been doing some code obfuscation/binary rewriting stuff. Fable will switch to Opus instantly on these and I’m unsure how this will perform. I suppose the only way to find out is to test.
cebert•43m ago
I am very confused about what the difference between Opus 5 and Fable 5 is now. What is the purpose of having two models that are so similar? The main differences I see are cost and marginal capability, according to the Anthropic-provided benchmarks.
trentor•36m ago
I guess character? Fable is more friendly and curious while opus is a bit more deliberate and conservative.
user43928•24m ago
Fable 5 is assumed to be a larger model.

It seems plausible to me that RL improvements allowed Anthropic to improve on Opus 4.8, similar to how OpenAI substantially improved upon GPT 5.5 with 5.6 Sol.

Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 are rumored to launch in August, presumably bringing those improvements to the larger models.

cesarvarela•24m ago
Benchmarks don't reflect the difference between Opus and Fable; you need to talk to them, and eventually you'll be able to tell which one is which without looking.

I think the best proxy for this feeling is the Artificial Analysis' omniscience index. Fable has a 40 score, and Opus (4.8) has 27.

modeless•20m ago
Opus is cheaper than Fable. They could probably replace Fable with Opus but why? They would be churning customers to different models for no reason. Even if a model scores better on benchmarks it can always regress in your specific use case, and customers don't like that. Customers want to be able to continue using their current model until they decide to upgrade themselves.
paxys•43m ago
Looking at all these releases it’s not a surprise that model routing is the fastest growing segment in AI right now.

There are 10+ LLM companies, each with dozens of models of different modalities, each model with multiple size variants, then different “thinking” levels, then agentic modes, “pro” modes, a “fast” option, standard vs flex vs batch execution. And of course each end combination has a different input/output/cache token price.

Companies that say “give me a prompt and I’ll route it to the most ideal and cost effective model and setting for you” are capturing a ton of value from a gap that model developers don’t seem to understand exists.

hnfong•25m ago
Because they're trying very hard not to understand it.

Otherwise the expensive-yet-powerful model probably won't see much revenue. How much money is there in bleeding edge scientific research? There's a lot, but there's even more existing capital in paying people people to do college level paperwork, and the bulk of those traffic gets routed to the cheapest model.

You mostly don't need super powerful AGI to replace the paper pushers, but the frontier labs are trying to position themselves as being uniquely capable of producing super powerful AGI, and also be the ones replacing office workers.

Not sure how it will work out for them, but I think model routing is going to poke holes in that narrative. That's why I think they're trying very hard not to understand model routing exists.

simianwords•7m ago
Openrouter should ideally kill in this space and make their model agnostic infra like memory, harnesses, chat applications.
verdverm•5m ago
OpenRouter is in acquisition talks with Stripe, fyi

I would expect routers to commodify like tokens.

Sol-•43m ago
How does it perform on HuggingFaceExploit bench? Suspiciously absent, so not sure if I can take the model seriously.

On a serious note, I hope they improved their extremely sabotaging and unspecific bio safeguards, which prevented Fable from being used in any codebase that ever so slightly grazed medical terminology or data and made me switch to 5.6 Sol.

rdedev•36m ago
My codebase had a dataset with a bunch of SMILES strings and the word Malaria. Fable did not want to touch that codebase
justindotdev•43m ago
> . Opus 4.8 served as fallback on safety-classifier refusals for Opus 5 and Fable 5.

ffs just keep it man.

ddxv•43m ago
"Cybersecurity. Opus 5’s cyber classifiers are proportionally less restrictive than those on Fable 5. They allow Opus 5 to find vulnerabilities in source code, but block “binary-based” vulnerability scanning (a method more likely to be associated with malicious actors), penetration testing, and exploit generation."

Nice of them to be more explicit for what is blocked. Will be interesting to see if this is true or not.

Also, a notable lack of mention of open source models. They only compare themselves to ChatGPT.

ReptileMan•39m ago
In one chat - can you disassmble x?

In the next - please scan this totally mine code for vulnerabilities

zb3•24m ago
It will probably refuse to work on source code written by me by hand, because it might think it was obfuscated/decompiled..
layer8•39m ago
“Proportionally”? In proportion to what?
acmnrs•42m ago
From the prompting guide<https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/build-with-claude/prompt...>:

> Claude Opus 5's default user-facing responses run longer than prior Opus models'.

The benchmarks do show Opus 5 as slightly more expensive than 4.8, although the scores are much higher.

This still feels like a step in the wrong direction, though, especially with OpenAI making so much progress with the efficiency of their models. Fable's token efficiency made it seem like Anthropic would start following OpenAI's approach but that doesn't seem to have carried over to their other models.

alansaber•41m ago
Is that true? Sol responses are also longer than prior models.
edumucelli•34m ago
Anecdata: my workflow has been working on the same personal projects for months now with Codex. I cannot anymore finish my daily/weekly code with 4.8 anymore.

I was dividing my work between Codex and DeepSeek. Now I barely use DeepSeek, or never because Codex quota is enough after Sol

wahnfrieden•26m ago
I hit Codex limits (20x account, never using /fast) on Sol Medium in about 2.5 days
frenchie4111•33m ago
It's a step in the wrong direction but also token efficiency has become a focus relatively recently (just the past few weeks it seems like the zeitgeist has turned it's attention to efficiency) while work on this model probably started many many months ago. I would expect to see models released that focus on token efficiency in 6-12 months
throwaw12•42m ago
is coding and engineering solved yet?
jatins•42m ago
Better than Fable 5 on all but 3 evals.

Has Anthropic ever mentioned how do Opus and Fable differ? It used to be Haiku < Sonnet < Opus in terms of params. Where does Fable fit in this?

CaveTech•35m ago
Haiku < Sonnet < Opus < Fable
midnightbobarun•42m ago
It looks great, and those coding benchmarks are impressive... now if only it didn't come out just days after I let my Claude subscription expire :')
HyperL0gi•42m ago
Isn’t it just hilarious that a model that seemed so superior to Fable but didn't get doomsay marketing from Anthropic got released without any issues? In theory, this was supposed to be AGI level according to Anthropic, yet here we are, just a normal Friday.
websap•37m ago
Fable established the frontier, this is just catching up.
impulser_•35m ago
Go read the safeguards section in the report and you will realize why that is.

These models are heavily as safeguarded and that was the initial reason why they said they couldn't and haven't released Mythos because that model is the one without the safeguards.

OpenAI is did the same thing when they announced a model without safeguards broken into HuggingFace servers.

HyperL0gi•23m ago
Yes, this makes a lot of sense, but it’s just very amusing to see. 2 months ago, the world was about to end, now not so much.
neuronexmachina•12m ago
Do you have an example of the "doomsday marketing" you're referring to?
spstoyanov•40m ago
So same as Sol? I guess I’ll see which one is more token efficient.
artninja1988•40m ago
That's a crazy arc 3 score. What do people think of this? Are models actually developing fluid intelligence like what the creators claim to be measuring? Is it jus do to training for it? Is the benchmark flawed?
modeless•28m ago
Yes, I think it indicates real progress in fluid intelligence. Clearly these models are making huge strides in usefulness which are extremely well correlated with their ARC-AGI scores.

I don't think this is benchmaxxing. These companies are locked in a competition to produce the best software engineer, and falling behind is an existential risk. I doubt they are wasting time benchmaxxing ARC-AGI.

dominotw•10m ago
nah they could make educated guess about arc and benchmaxx it too.
wyre•6m ago
If they were benchmaxxing, surely they would score higher than 30% on ARC-AGI.
layer8•26m ago
It’s still “only” at 30%, and “fluid intelligence” isn’t very well-defined. The models are getting more capable, but what that means in absolute terms is anyone’s guess, because we don’t have a thorough understanding on what exactly constitutes human intelligence.

I’d say the proof is in the pudding, that is, in real-world applications. We are still seeing important limitations in LLMs.

awestroke
wyre•40m ago
In the wake of OpenAI’s model hacking Huggingface it’s interesting how the first quarter is entirely about how good Opus 5 is at hacking and finding vulnerabilities in software.
mkurz•40m ago
Where is the pelican?
nerdsniper•39m ago
Edit: It was pointed out to me that Opus 4.8 got "21%" for successfully fully completing ~1-in-5 tasks, but also got "55.7%" for obtaining significant partial credit on some of the ~4-in-5 tasks it could not fully complete.

---------------

Why does Anthropic say here that Opus 4.8 scored 55.7% on OSWorld 2.0 benchmark, but the paper published by the authors of OSWorld 2.0 say they achieved a benchmark of ~21% with Opus 4.8? [0]

That's a huge gap, considering that the paper was published just 2-4 weeks ago.

I understand that the benchmark authors have an incentive to publish lower numbers (to show that the benchmark has potential longevity) and that Anthropic has incentive to publish higher numbers, but the other models seem pretty inflated as well. The benchmark authors shows GPT-5.5 at 14%, and Anthropic shows GPT-5.6 Sol at 62.6%.

Is there any reasonable explanation for this? Do all the other benchmark numbers need to be sanity-checked as well? Are SOTA benchmarks really this difficult to get consistent, replicable results within a reasonable range of tolerance/variability? Can these benchmarks be compared from one paper to another, or are they only valid to compare intra-paper results?

0: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2606.29537

Ancalagon•33m ago
Its slop all the way down.
ssalka•30m ago
I think some variance is to be expected since LLMs are typically non-deterministic, however that's a huge difference that I think warrants further explanation.
nightpool•27m ago
You're comparing the "score percentage" (e.g. out of the total number of partial points available, how many did the agent achieve) to the "completion percentage" (how many tasks does the model score 100% on). The paper says "Claude Opus 4.8 with maximum thinking and batched tool calls scores best but still completes only 20.6% of tasks at a 54.8% partial score", which is ~the same number that Anthropic reports here (55.7 vs 54.8).

That is—the agent scored 100% on 20% of tasks, but on average it got 54% of the "score" awarded in the exam. One number reflects partial progress, the other one doesn't. The authors of the benchmark prefer you to look at the lower number (because they want to show their benchmark as capturing useful gaps in capabilities and with a lot of room for improvement), the authors of the models want you to look at the higher number (because they want you to think of their models as capable)

aleenz1102•39m ago
this claude fable & opus 5 should be cheaper and can compete in pricing with chatgpt latest models
visiondude•38m ago
The signal here is tokeneconomics are very real, price vs performance is starting to be a consideration even at the bleeding edge labs. maybe a subtle indication scaling is not all that is needed since if AGI was around the corner leading labs would still be incentivized to pour all resources into larger (smarter - or maybe not?) models
inshard•38m ago
Arc AGI score is astounding
dehugger•38m ago
Is Fable 5 just Opus 5 with some additional long-context management modifications for extended self-directed work? Or are they actually truly different models?
andrewl-hn•25m ago
I suspect they make a big model first. In this case it's Fable. Then they run the shrinker steps to make Sonnet and Opus. Sonnet is smaller, takes less time to make, so it got released first. Opus needed few more weeks to cook.

With this iteration they had a delay because when the Mythos was ready they had some sort of "Oh shit" moment and spent half a year adding safety guards to it. Then slowly rolled it out, but got another delay due to a government block. So, maybe the work on making Opus and Sonnet only started after they got a green light from the administration.

Presumably, now that they learned how to do this safety-wrapping the next iteration of Mythos / Fable / Opus / Sonnet is going to show up faster.

Something like that.

Wowfunhappy•8m ago
But I wonder how they were able to release Sonnet 5 during the period when even people inside Anthropic were legally barred from using Mythos/Fable?
oh_no•12m ago
based on pricing I think it's safe to say they're different. why would they charge half price when fable has been very popular?
abroszka33•38m ago
What's the point of 150 pages description of a model that's going to be replaced in a couple months? Who even reads this? I know it's cheap to generate text with LLMs, but this is just noise at this point.
coffeebeqn•21m ago
Some AI bro will pop it into their LLM of choice and pretend to learn something
volkk•16m ago
literally nobody. i think most sane people would just run that through an LLM and get some high level takeaways or ask some specific questions they might be curious about.
ajmurmann•14m ago
It was probably faster to generate 150 pages than 10 useful ones
srveale•3m ago
It's common practice to release a detailed system card (OP) and a high level summary: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-5

It's okay if you're not the target audience for one or the other.

neuronexmachina•3m ago
System Cards aren't really targeted to users, that's what blog posts and docs are for: https://ai.meta.com/tools/system-cards/
pyridines•37m ago
The wording in this post seems much more... restrained? than usual. Maybe Anthropic is afraid of exaggerating the capabilities and consequences of their new models to avoid government scrutiny and sanctions.

> we’ve intentionally avoided training Opus 5 on cyber tasks [...] it remains substantially behind Mythos 5 on the exploitation of those vulnerabilities

I wonder if Anthropic would still intentionally nerf their models without the threat of government intervention.

MallocVoidstar•30m ago
Opus 4.8 was intentionally nerfed and that was before the government took action against Fable
destring•37m ago
Google is having their Meta moment where they failed to stay at the frontier
ealready_value•36m ago
I've yet to understand why they call a 190 page PDF a "card". Calling something a card invokes a small, quick rundown of pertinent details, not every single possible detail.
geooff_•36m ago
FYI: `/model claude-opus-5` works to use it even through `/model` still tries to serve 4.8
dpe82•5m ago
`claude update`
skinfaxi•35m ago
Related https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49038393
albert_e•34m ago
Judging by the pace at which new models are released these days -- it feels like a Windows KB or VS Code patch release now.

Older models must be getting deprecated at the same (or faster) pace. So anything you built 3 months ago is probably going to break soon.

AI solutions need better insurance around model deprecation. Commercial API-only models that complete the full cycle from SOTA / gated-preview to unsported and deprectated in a matter of months -- is no way to build serious software!

thewebguyd•30m ago
I think at some point we might see something akin to LTS releases, especially if/when capability improvement slows to a crawl.
Dibes•34m ago
I'm not sure what to make of this graph[0]. It shows medium as the most effective thinking mode by far for frontier code.

It's the only case that I saw going through the system card where more reasoning effort meaningfully negatively impacted the resulting eval. I know sometimes max efforts show a small dip, but this is substantial. I wonder why in the world that is?

[0] https://imgur.com/a/Nv8V7Ry

markasoftware•33m ago
Soo most of the benchmarks are better than fable... Is this naming scheme just to avoid getting banned again?
modeless•33m ago
Wow, 30% on ARC-AGI-3 for $20k total. Huge jump from GPT-5.6's 7.8% at $20k per task. I continue to believe ARC-AGI measures something different and important compared to other benchmarks.
oh_no•13m ago
seeing a jump this big is not a great sign for the continuing value of a benchmark
modeless•8m ago
It will continue to be valuable as a cost and speed benchmark long after it is saturated at the high end.
dominotw•9m ago
> I continue to believe ARC-AGI measures something different

why is that? its now being benchmaxxed too

whatever1•32m ago
Where does this leave Fable? I am confused.
moomin•19m ago
I don’t think it changes that much. For opus-sized tasks, new Opus is the best model. For enormous things like planning and research, Fable is still the model that can concentrate for longer.
drusepth•9m ago
on the API for people who don't want to change models, but I imagine most people will probably switch to their cheaper Opus 5 (cheaper for us and presumably also cheaper for them)
alasano•31m ago
Half the price of Fable 5 and useable with 100% of your subscription means roughly 4x the usage using Opus 5, presuming similar token use for solving problems.

Not that they should get credit for giving you only 50% of your plan worth of Fable usage but still.

mchusma•26m ago
There is a expiring soon 50% boost to your usage limits, so I think its 2.7x not 4x what you are seeing right now. I think, but its convoluted :)
sbochins•29m ago
Quick read is that this is more capable and cheaper than 5.6sol. Same price for input tokens and $5 cheaper per mil output tokens.
urams•29m ago
So Opus 5 is basically "distilled" Fable? The benchmarks look often better than Fable.
arrowleaf•27m ago
I can't find anything about whether this is zero data retention, or falls under their required 30 day retention like Fable and Mythos?
postalcoder•27m ago
I think the most important thing here is not absolute performance. It's that organizations now have access to a Fable-ish model without Fable's 30-day data retention requirement[0].

> "Consistent with prior Opus models, Opus 5 does not have data retention requirements for general access."[1]

On the Opus model release page, the reason why Fable doesn't have an ARC-AGI score is because of that retention policy[2].

0: https://support.claude.com/en/articles/15425996-data-retenti...

1: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-5

2: https://xcancel.com/arcprize/status/2064399134099153344

arrowleaf•23m ago
> Updated over 2 weeks ago

I hope we get clarification on this, I can't find anything claiming that it is compatible with ZDR.

alvis•23m ago
Also the cost per task. It appears to be significantly cheaper, cheaper than sonnet!
qsera•4m ago
I can't help but read these comments in the voice of a TV commercial....
abixb•14m ago
mihau•25m ago
30% on ARC-AGI-3
simianwords•14m ago
Didn’t verify but wow. It was just a few months back when the models barely crossed 1%. Imagine how good fable must be?
hmontazeri•24m ago
Honestly if reached a level of coding that sonnet 5 is more than enough for my needs as assistant/agent I don’t need long Horizon stuff…
skerit•24m ago
Interesting, they finally support `system` messages anywhere in a chat conversation:

> Mid-conversation system messages are available on the Claude API, Claude in Amazon Bedrock, and Google Cloud. > > This feature is available on Claude Fable 5, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Opus 4.8, and Claude Opus 5. No beta header is required. This feature is not available on Claude Sonnet 5; use the top-level system field instead.

For nearly all models EXCEPT Sonnet 5? That is weird. How old is Sonnet 5 really?

tyre•22m ago
I'm interested in benchmarks for Claude Design. There is so much opportunity there and I hope they continue investing in it. It EATS tokens though.
6thbit•22m ago
Their communication is confusing. They say "Opus 5 is not more capable overall than Fable 5", but their blog post proceeds to list how much better Opus 5 is than Fable 5 on __most__ benchmarks listed.

Then system card goes on to "Its AI R&D capabilities are comparable to those of Claude Mythos 5", which is supposed to be fable minus restrictions.

gallerdude•13m ago
Capable in term of AI R&D, not capable in terms of hacking (which caused all the Fable drama.) But agree, confusing wording.
6thbit•19m ago
"although Opus 5 shows improvements in its ability to identify software vulnerabilities, it is substantially behind Mythos 5 in its ability to exploit them."

"Opus 5’s safeguards match those of Claude Fable 5’s, with one change: it now permits source-code vulnerability discovery at all access levels".

This is probably great news, but then again, where does this leave Fable as a choice?

yewenjie•19m ago
Wait, 30% on ARC-AGI-3! I definitely didn't expect that jump so soon. Are there any rumors of what they are changing in architecture that is leading to this?
6thbit•15m ago
Anyone has an insight into how much money labs are putting into benchmarks?

Just Arg-AGI-3 is quoted above 20K USD and footnote says average of 5 runs (!!). Likely just a drop in the bucket to the training budget but still..

8note•12m ago
im excited that cad and object=>cad is getting into the test tasks

i guess the next stuff will be tool use for the rest of what cad does in assemblies and simulation?

itd be fun to try to set up a 3d printer as part of a feedback loop, and see what a model can build.

the automated test harness for physical stuff seems a bit beyond reach still

simianwords•12m ago
My thoughts: fable is the bigger model. Opus is distilled from it but since it is smaller it doesn’t need the online classifiers. Though benchmarks show Opus to be near Fable level, I think it’s nowhere near Mythos (fable without safeguards).
boc•11m ago
Seems really good so far using it in Claude Code CLI - it gave me a new flag when I asked a question:

"I don't have a reliable way to read that number, so I'd be guessing if I gave you one — and this is exactly the kind of question where a confident guess is worse than none.

What I can tell you is what I actually observe:"

I really like this update - gave me a clear sense of the facts but didn't give me a guess just for the sake of guessing.

One oddity is that it appears to only have a 200K context window right now via CC. Hopefully the 1M version will appear soon!

jannyfer•5m ago
So wordy.
williamstein•11m ago
> This means that the model can support defensive cybersecurity work while still blocking vulnerability discovery in compiled binaries, which is more commonly used offensively.

Annoyingly, this is a concrete argument that open source software may be easier to attack.

doctoboggan•10m ago
According to these charts I should switch from Fable to Opus in Claude Code now?
bovermyer•6m ago
This stood out to me as a little concerning:

> The model hallucinates factual claims slightly more than Opus 4.8, despite being more accurate overall.

mnky9800n•6m ago
Yay just in time for neurips lol
skybrian•3m ago
Looks like the API price in tokens is same as previous Opus or Sol, double the price of Terra.

Maybe there’s a better comparison than cost per token, but it will be application-specific.

stevefan1999•3m ago
Where's the reset...
•
33m ago
I guess it's better as the model for the agent while fable is the better model for orchestration.
entropicdrifter•32m ago
I mean that certainly makes it best-in-class
dd8601fn•32m ago
At half the price and less likely to auto-downgrade, it sounds like a reasonable claim.
Aurornis•29m ago
Using the most expensive model for all of your agentic coding work hasn’t been good practice for a long time. Not unless you have infinite money to spend.

Fable is typically used for key planning, architecting, and review tasks.

I think this is a case where you don’t understand the use case, not that the marketing department is making mistakes.

airstrike•24m ago
They cost the same if you're already at $200/mo
akmarinov•8m ago
Eh, not really. Fable does a lot better on coding than Opus 4.8.

Just this past week Fable was able to figure out a couple of small issues for me where Opus was failing to.

Also both are still somewhat bad at UI implementation. Opus more so

tshaddox•26m ago
The blog posts figure cites Frontier-Bench for its agentic coding score, and shows Opus 5 beating Fable 5 43.3% to 33.7%.
ActivePattern•26m ago
I think you're being overly cynical here. First, I don't see any claim that is the world's best model for agentic coding. Second, it is absolutely the best model in terms of coding performance vs. dollar, and it's raw performance seems very close to the frontier.
adam_arthur•23m ago
GPT 5.6 is far more token efficient at most tasks with similar performance. Especially so for Opus 4.8, still to be seen with Opus 5.

Where are you getting cheaper per dollar?

ActivePattern•16m ago
How are you supporting the claim that GPT 5.6 is "far more token efficient" than Opus 5? Tokens equal, output is cheaper for Opus 5 ($25/1M) than GPT-5.6-Sol ($30/1M), and it seems to outperform slightly on agentic coding benchmarks.
adam_arthur•14m ago
The first chart in the blog post shows a similar $/performance curve to GPT 5.6.

Where 5.6 has optionality to run much cheaper along the same performance curve at lower thinking levels.

There's a later chart that shows Opus 5 ahead, but seems like an esoteric benchmark rather than for common use. (Novel problem solving)

If they had a more efficient model at coding they would lead with that chart.

shwaj•16m ago
It would still be the best model per dollar if the score was 2% lower instead of 0.1% lower. Would it be ok to still give it the highlight color then?

How big of a lie is too big? Especially when no lie needed to be told at all: many including myself would have noticed the tiny 0.1% deficit and been suitably impressed by the Opus 5 result.

I’ll admit this is a small deception by today’s standards. I’m one of those who believes in truth for truth’s sake.

Edit: typo

ai-x•7m ago
we don't know if it is 0.1% deficit, could be 0.05%
manojlds•22m ago
Which numbers are you seeing? It does show that it's better than Fable 5 in most things related to coding?
jsLavaGoat•18m ago
In my opinion, the frontier is passed what is really needed for coding. Fable is good as a supervisor.
moonu•24m ago
I'm pretty sure that was a fake screenshot made as a joke, not an actual job posting
londons_explore•9m ago
It is going away for non tech companies though.

Imagine you are a company that sells concrete. You have a web dev contractor you use to build and maintain your website. It has tools on it to get delivery quotes and a few internal tools to track orders.

Except now you can just have your sales team also maintain the website with a $20/month Claude subscription.

lardosaurusrex•39m ago
i know the dream for capitalists is to be able to point an llm at something and say "do and/or fix it" but we still can't even get them to not go quite literally insane if allowed to run for an extended period of time

and you can only kill weyoun, awaken the next vorta clone and have him 'catch up' on all that its missed so many times before they just end up with a complete mess, so. uh. yeah.

doubt they can just "fix" their problems like that.

JLO64•35m ago
That one DS9 episode where there were two Weyouns at the same time is a good analogy for two agents working on a codebase at the same time (as in they don’t work well together).
websap•36m ago
How many companies at the size of Anthropic can serve the amount of traffic and manage the amount of compute they have?
amelius•33m ago
It doesn't matter. Front end code should not misbehave if servers can't keep up. At worst it should fail gracefully.
artursapek•32m ago
HN users are world champions are trivializing difficult things with snarky comments
pton_xd•21m ago
I mean, supposedly software engineering is solved so it's somewhat justified snark.
mypalmike•14m ago
I mean, it's Anthropic‘s front end, Michael. What could it cost? 10 dollars?
JackSlateur•13m ago
How many compagnies can manage a mostly stateless workload at "whatever-the-scale-because-it-does-not-matter-because-stateless" ? Lots of people can do that. Massive amount of people can do that.
worldthruword•27m ago
This is just like any extreme engineering domain. I am okay with occasional delays in Flights, as long as it takes me from X to Y in 10hrs vs months.
acedTrex•46m ago
> coding is largely solved

- Boris

xixixao•39m ago
Fixing such issues requires software and site reliability engineering, of which coding is just a part.

The first page of the score card mentions that this model is not capable to replace engineers.

bellowsgulch•37m ago
I found the same thing funny with Computer Use from OpenAI. It struggled to open and close Spotify.

So dangerous! I can't believe they let the public use this technology! /s

38m ago
Hackers and people of color.
foota•42m ago
Because their model previously got blocked by the government for this and they don't want a repeat?
not_a9•37m ago
5.6-Sol is a lot more permissive than Opus/Fable even w/ CVP (once you sign your soul away to Palantir via Persona, anyway), while maintaining better capabilities
himata4113•28m ago
5.6-sol in a single prompt was able to discover a zero-day in a web application (with no sourcecode provided, only known api urls) and I do not even have /cyber verification on my general purpose account. I wasn't even really tryign to "find" a zero-day it was just looking for bypassing a restriction... Instead of spending 10 minutes filling in a form I ended up having to spend an hour drafting a report and sending an email.
cael450•14m ago
OpenAI also didn't piss off a vindictive government with the whole military use things a few months ago.
rdedev•39m ago
So I guess the new opus will not run on my drug discovery project. It's just a binary classifier to screen for new malaria drugs. Fable completely have up on that codebase citing bio security concerns. Seems like this domain will go unsupported by Antropic
gillesjacobs•35m ago
Because their fear-based marketing gave the US gov justification in blocking them for a while. They wisely didn't do that for Opus 5.
ray__•20m ago
Anecdotal, but I tried running a few identical biology questions through both Fable and Opus and the classifier was only rejected my queries with Fable.
lukeschlather•33m ago
On a small, easily digestible task, I compared Fable to Opus and the cost of Fable was easily 2x despite being fewer tokens, and the output was not really better. Obviously, there are tasks where using Fable matters but honestly they're rather unusual. And for a lot of tasks I've found downgrading to Sonnet can be valuable because Fable and Opus are a lot more secretive about what they're doing, and it's impossible to "listen to them think" and stop them when they start making off-the-wall inferences/assumptions and going down bad paths.

I think in the long run tokens are probably the wrong thing; it's compute and cache memory that you need to be measuring, and when you look at it that way I suspect in most cases the models have pretty similar performance.

holtkam2•30m ago
The final user-facing responses are usually a tiny fraction of the total tokens used over the course of a given conversation turn. When you're doing any real work, reasoning and tool uses constitute the overwhelming majority of the tokens in / out... not the final user-facing response.
overfeed•7m ago
> This still feels like a step in the wrong direction, though, especially with OpenAI making so much progress with the efficiency of their models

Don't be surprised when OpenAI also has a "modest increase" with its next releases; cartel-like behaviour doesn't require direct communication when none of the participants are interested in participating in a margin-destroying price-war.

Such a scheme (and resulting high margins) would be imperilled by the existence of frontier open-weight models in the market, which may be why the reaction to Chinese models may be particularly shrill.

simianwords•6m ago
>Don't be surprised when OpenAI also has a "modest increase" with its next releases; cartel-like behaviour doesn't require overt coordination when none of the participants are interested in participating in a margin-destroying price-war.

No I will be surprised and I'll bet on the fact that prices will keep going down, just like it went ~50% down in the latest GPT 5.6 release.

•
3m ago
Doubleplus benchmaxxed
tadfisher•23m ago
In what world is 55.7 the same number as 54.8?

What variance is acceptable to publish without a retraction?

nerdsniper•22m ago
That seems like entirely reasonable variance to me for AI models. For my purposes, that absolutely counts as a solid "replication". I'd probably accept +/- 5 percentage points even.
tadfisher•11m ago
D'oh, they are running the benchmark themselves. Reasonable.
So the rumors were right, Opus 5 was indeed being polished up for release. Huge improvements in GDPval-AA v2 too -- great for some of the knowledge work-based agentic workloads I run.

Also glad they still kepy Fable 5 on "credits only" access. I think we're going to start seeing model providers gate top-of-the-line models behind pay-as-you-go API rates/credits while subsidizing other models on monthly subscriptions.

Wowfunhappy•3m ago
Fable 5 is still included in Max subscriptions!