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Replantio

https://replantio.com/
1•gdss•4m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Kernelspace- interactive course on systems programming for LLM Serving

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Text Watermarking for Non-Academics

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Gemini becomes Google's fastest-growing product ever as it hits 1B users

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Codex in ChatGPT desktop app for Linux in preview

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The Art of Not Buying Disk

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Let's stop talking about A.I

https://ckarchive.com/b/38uphkh2pkl07i37xxl75f455oo0da7hrz054
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Florida cops are quietly using Meta smart glasses

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The +18 version of ChatGPT started accepting Crypto

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US judge cites 'concerning' irregularities in Adani fraud case

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Bugs in MS' Patch Tuesday release and NK's Lazarus has hit one already

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2•Gaishan•50m ago•0 comments

Will failure in Iran reshape how the US fights?

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Panama Canal fees hit record high as El Niño and Iran war choke shipping

https://www.ft.com/content/38083cb5-3892-40a1-b90f-102109f96b17
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Belly Fat and Low Vitamin D May More Than Double the Risk of Early Death

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2•Gaishan•52m ago•0 comments

Why one name will appear 4 times on Vermont's Republican primary ballot

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2•mauvehaus•54m ago•1 comments

In the US, one in seven leisurely moments comes with guilt

https://www.bps.org.uk/research-digest/us-one-seven-leisurely-moments-comes-guilt
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Anthropic to start embedding invisible watermarks

https://fortune.com/2026/08/11/anthropic-claude-watermark-ai-text-police-ai-slop/
3•TruffleLabs•59m ago•4 comments

Use deployment context to your advantage

https://twitter.com/nikpil06/status/2087328872308285930
1•nikhilpillai23•59m ago•0 comments
Open in hackernews

CFTC declares market emergency, orders Kalshi to continue to operate in New York

https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9281-26
87•michaefe•1h ago

Comments

pamcake•41m ago
So the CFTC frames Kalshi as a financial derivatives exchange for the financial instrument category of event contracts, dismissing NYs characterization of it as a gambling/betting platform. Interesting.
cyanydeez•38m ago
no, it frames it as a grift economy subsidy.
pdonis•26m ago
What exactly is the difference between a financial derivatives exchange and a gambling platform? Both involve placing bets on uncertain future outcomes.
morkalork•20m ago
One is when the president's son is a strategic advisor to the company and the other is a gambling platform
skillina•16m ago
Traditional derivatives can be used to trade the risk that would already exist with or without the existence of the derivatives market. Prediction markets create risk out of thin air.
charcircuit•11m ago
Do you think insurance markets create risk out of thin air too?
dcrazy•4m ago
Insurance protects life and property (including future income). Until you wagered $100 on the Kicks winning, none of your property was threatened by them losing.
amazingman•15m ago
Regulations, skill, and access.
Pxtl•19m ago
Laws are for poor people
decimalenough•38m ago
Am I reading this right? The state of New York wants Kalshi to stop offering prediction gambling, excuse me, "event contracts" in New York, and the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission just ordered Kalshi to keep operating in New York regardless?
paxys•21m ago
Donald Trump Jr is a “strategic advisor” at Kalshi and was given equity in the company. Hope that helps.
nickff•20m ago
Here is a link to a post about the State of New York's case: https://www.shb.com/intelligence/newsletters/securities-liti...

I am not sure about how the state regulation of betting will turn out (though I would have guessed that it is indeed pre-empted), but the nationwide injunction seems shaky given Trump v Casa: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a884_8n59.pdf

denkmoon•30m ago
An order to _continue_ operation? Has that ever happened before?
msandford•23m ago
If you're a market maker? It's the whole job. They're Federally regulated to do precisely that.
akerl_•16m ago
It's not an order to Kalshi to continue operations. They overrode the TRO from the state court. The target of the order is the state court / executive, essentially saying "You cannot halt Kalshi's operations via the TRO".
impish9208•30m ago
Americans’ continued ability to gamble, err…, trade multi-leg parlays is a matter of national security!
mavbo•24m ago
Friends in high places are worth their weight in gold. Anyone want to bet on how much they weigh?
roughly•16m ago
I mean, officially 225, but does anyone believe that?

(Which is a bit over $15M at today’s spot prices, by the by)

anadem•23m ago
Firefox says "Error Code: SEC_ERROR_UNKNOWN_ISSUER" for that CFTC link (untrusted certificate issued by Avast in Prague) and won't open the site
akerl_•20m ago
Not seeing that here; is your connection being MITM'd?

Issuer I'm seeing is Sectigo Public Server Authentication CA OV R36.

Avast is nominally an AV/VPN company; are you running their tooling on your machine?

Bender•10m ago
The cert I am seeing:

    Testing via IPv4:
    104.18.24.94
    104.18.25.94
    sha1 Fingerprint=42:AC:E2:34:10:93:10:9B:0E:45:6E:BC:A9:D5:B8:7D:C4:8B:BE:A5
    sha256 Fingerprint=E5:C9:F2:9F:4E:6C:30:51:AA:6B:63:AD:AD:F9:58:A4:E0:3E:7A:32:E9:2C:AB:8D:ED:4F:24:4D:D6:F0:DE:E8
    notBefore=Oct 23 00:00:00 2025 GMT
    notAfter=Nov  1 23:59:59 2026 GMT
Are you seeing that too? This [1] is the function I am using.

Qualys Results [2] for www.cftc.gov Cloudflare in front of Drupal 11

The cert is also valid for: www.cftc.gov accountcreation.cftc.gov cftc.gov smartcheck.gov whistleblower.gov www.smartcheck.gov www.whistleblower.gov

[1] - https://nochan.net/b/Text-Crap/function_fingerprint.sh

[2] - https://www.ssllabs.com/ssltest/analyze.html?d=www.cftc.gov&...

akerl_•23m ago
EDIT: see DannyBee's comment below ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49266746 ). It does look like the CFTC has extrapolated the "nationwide" out of either some novel interpretation of the filing or just entirely fabricated it as their justification for their action.

I've got no love for Kalshi, but "orders Kalshi to continue operate in New York" doesn't seem to be present anywhere in the actual release.

The article presents the sequence of events as:

1. The State of NY files a lawsuit against Kalshi under the theory that it can be regulated by state gambling laws.

2. The State of NY files for a temporary restraining order requiring Kalshi to halt trading nationally, not just in NY.

3. Kalshi reaches out to the CFTC to claim that NY doesn't have the authority to regulate interstate commerce.

4. The CFTC agrees and uses their authority to override the TRO.

That seems pretty aligned with how interstate commerce is regulated and managed in the US.

Avicebron•21m ago
I think the question is whether or not this is damaging to the case that the Kalshi and others could be regulated state by state..
akerl_•18m ago
I (unfortunately) think that the NY AG screwed up our opportunity to press that question by aiming nationally. The CFTC got to skip that and just shut down the national TRO.

I'd love to see another state push for a state-specific restriction and see how that plays out.

DannyBee•3m ago
Except they haven't, because they did not request national relief. They requested state-specific relief.
georgemcbay•22m ago
Wait, so all that Republican talk of support for state's rights was really just all about the racism this whole time? Shocker.
quink•22m ago
Just listen to the overwhelming silence from the “states’ rights” crowd.
brink•17m ago
This has little to do with NY governing NY. NY was attempting to govern Kalshi in other states, which it doesn't have the authority to do.
delichon•16m ago
As a member of the states' rights crowd I don't much care for one state trying to impose its policy on all of the other states, and appreciate the fed leveraging the Commerce Clause (a states' rights bulwark) to brush them back. I agree a state should have the right to outlaw kinds of commerce within its own jurisdiction, but not further.
waterheater•11m ago
Most people invoke the "states' rights" platitude when the federal government oversteps on constitutional matters that haven't been specifically legislated. In this case, Congress already passed a law regulating these activities, and it seems pretty clear-cut that Kalshi engages in interstate commerce, so New York will likely lose if this gets to the Supreme Court.

That's not to say I think event prediction markets are good. In fact, I think they should be banned. That doesn't change my analysis of the current situation.

Terr_•22m ago
> said Chairman Michael S. Selig. “Congress did not intend for derivatives exchanges to be regulated under a patchwork of state gaming laws.

Ah yes, "derivatives" which are "not intended to fall under gaming laws" such as... *checks Kalshi website* 58 million dollars riding on which team is the 2027 NFL champion.

Oh yeah, totally a financial derivative there, not related to gambling at all. *sigh*

xp84•10m ago
ELI5 why it's better for you to place a $10,000 bet that, say, GOOG falls below $300 by February 2028, than to bet the same that the Pats win the Super Bowl? They're both gambling.
xp84•19m ago
It was never more virtuous to be options-trading GME shares on Robinhood than gambling at the dog track or betting on basketball games. The only reason some regulators are going after Kalshi or Polymarket is that the casino owners are lining these particular politicians' pockets more than the futures trading companies are.

I actually am not opinionated on it other than all kinds of gambling are basically the same -- and that includes a lot of the ways stock market is used in practice.

I do admit gambling addiction is a real thing and that this new super convenient and easy and legal option incrementally brings more people into that world of pain. But I also think it's stupid to ban gambling like they did with alcohol in the last century. It'll just put more control in the hands of the mob.

The mob. There's an organization that I bet is also eagerly lining the pockets of these "kill Kalshi" regulators.

asddubs•16m ago
I think you are right that it's all gambling. Kalshi seems more predatory in how it targets people. Perhaps advertising gambling in any way should be outlawed.
yieldcrv•14m ago
phenomenal and I want to address snarky comments here

the “states rights” crowd has always used laws passed by Congress, which the CEA has been. other examples such as a Supreme Court overruling itself made a national regulation fall back to the states solely because Congress has not and has never passed a law on the topic, there is insufficient consensus on proposed laws so those topics will remain at the states

in this case, the actual argument is that the case should be heard by the courts at all, and NY wanted to halt operations WHILE it was heard by the courts. CFTC overruled the pre-verdict halting

and finally, the courts of course will likely not result in anything, as the Supremacy Clause of the Constitution is clear that federal law is supreme when there is a conflict, and the CFTC chooses to leverage that

federal government can always choose to ignore a state law, as it does in some markets

arjie•10m ago
This seems correct, even though I think it's unfortunate that these prediction markets are ruining so many people's lives.

> In the lawsuit, filed on July 31, New York seeks a temporary restraining order prohibiting KalshiEX, LLC from offering all event contracts nationwide and more than $36 billion in damages.

This seems naturally the territory of the CFTC. They have exclusive right to regulate futures and derivatives contracts, which Congress handed them. Also, it seems straightforwardly anti-commerce-clause to allow NY to prohibit Kalshi from offering these contracts nationwide.

aliasxneo•18m ago
It seems that New York is asking the court for a temporary restraining order that would prohibit Kalshi from offering all event contracts nationwide. I also have zero love for Kalshi, but I can see why such a request would be concerning, regardless of whether I think Kalshi is a degenerate trash heap.
akerl_•17m ago
Yea; interstate commerce being the domain of the federal government is one of the more tested legal concepts we have here.
SpicyLemonZest•7m ago
That's not true at all. New York is asking the court to stop the Kalshi executives, who are located in New York, from flagrantly violating the sports gambling laws of New York. Kalshi would be free to move to another state where sports gambling is legal if they wanted to keep the platform up.
DannyBee•5m ago
Except it's false, they aren't requesting such a thing.
tracerbulletx•13m ago
That is not true? The order was to stop them from operating in the state.
akerl_•11m ago
Do you have a source for that? From the release:

> In the lawsuit, filed on July 31, New York seeks a temporary restraining order prohibiting KalshiEX, LLC from offering all event contracts nationwide and more than $36 billion in damages.

DannyBee•7m ago
Lawyer here:

https://ag.ny.gov/sites/default/files/court-filings/new-york...

This is the complaint.

If you go to page 29 you'll see what they requested.

The claim they are trying to prevent them from offering all event contracts nationwide is simply false

You can also see their is no specific number on the damages.

tracerbulletx•6m ago
I mean, the filing?

By letter dated October 24, 2025, the Gaming Commission directed Kalshi to “cease and desist from illegally operating, advertising, promoting, administering, managing, or otherwise making available an unlicensed mobile sports wagering platform in New York State in connection with any sports event.”

https://ag.ny.gov/sites/default/files/court-filings/kalshiex...

SpicyLemonZest•4m ago
A sibling comment has provided the source, but I want to separately emphasize that you must unlearn your instincts that the federal government wouldn't lie to you. Most government agencies are under a top-down mandate to tell lies whenever Donald Trump or someone who's bribed him would benefit.
semiquaver•10m ago
What? It’s in the first paragraph.

  > August 11, 2026
  >
  > WASHINGTON — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission today exercised its emergency authority in response to KalshiEX, LLC’s notification of a market emergency and ordered the exchange to continue to operate in accordance with the Commodity Exchange Act’s Core Principles.
Further, the operative document that this press release is about is titled “ORDER DIRECTING KALSHI TO CONTINUE EXERCISING DCM FUNCTIONS”: https://www.cftc.gov/media/14471/OGC_MarketEmergencyDeclarat...
akerl_•7m ago
The "order" there is effectively a reset button to the TRO. Its function is to say "you can ignore the TRO and continue business as usual". It doesn't force Kalshi to continue operating if they had their own reasons for pausing operations.
semiquaver•6m ago
You are simply wrong. The order invokes statutory emergency authority to require markets to operate as before. It’s materially different from cancelling the TRO (which has not been granted)
DannyBee•5m ago
2 is false, actually.

If you read the complaint, the prayer for relief is quite clear that they only are trying to stop them from operating in new york, deliberately offering gambling to new yorkers, etc.

There is no relief requested nationwide.