Zitron is certainly wrong sometimes, but there is some misleading quoting being done here, and some of the quotes are just hyperbole, rather than "predictions."
For example, the first quote claims that Zitron called OpenAI forecasting $11.6B for 2025 "so egregious that I am surprised it's not some kind of financial crime to say it out loud." But this is incredibly misleading. Here's Zitron's actual quote:
"OpenAI's monthly revenue hit $300 million in August, and the company expects to make $3.7 billion in revenue this year (the company will, as mentioned, lose $5 billion anyway), yet the company says that it expects to make $11.6 billion in 2025 and *$100 billion by 2029*, a statement so egregious that I am surprised it's not some kind of financial crime to say it out loud."
And the "100 billion part" was bolded, making it clear that the "egregious" wording was pointing to the 100 billion, not the 11.6 billion.
trimble_tromble•32m ago
For example, the first quote claims that Zitron called OpenAI forecasting $11.6B for 2025 "so egregious that I am surprised it's not some kind of financial crime to say it out loud." But this is incredibly misleading. Here's Zitron's actual quote:
"OpenAI's monthly revenue hit $300 million in August, and the company expects to make $3.7 billion in revenue this year (the company will, as mentioned, lose $5 billion anyway), yet the company says that it expects to make $11.6 billion in 2025 and *$100 billion by 2029*, a statement so egregious that I am surprised it's not some kind of financial crime to say it out loud."
And the "100 billion part" was bolded, making it clear that the "egregious" wording was pointing to the 100 billion, not the 11.6 billion.