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The Emperor Pelican Has No Clothes

https://arcfu.com/post/the-emperor-pelican-has-no-clothes/
32•pcwelder•45m ago

Comments

vatsachak•14m ago
Thanks for pointing this out.

The reason why LLMs cannot be purely* pre-trained on LLM outputs is because LLM output diversity is low.

This implies two things:

1) There is going be no functional difference between hypothetical Qwen 5.5 and Fable 5.5

2) LLMs are not AGI

amelius•10m ago
Llms are trained on llm output all the time ...
vatsachak•9m ago
Edited it to reflect my meaning. I meant that you cannot pre-train an LLM purely on LLM output
msdz•8m ago
> LLMs cannot be pre-trained on LLM outputs because LLM output diversity is low.

And with ever-more LLM usage both in labs and the real world, the task of finding new/“creative” out-of-average-distribution material will only continue to increase in difficulty. Meaning if this continues, in the future, all output becomes the equivalent of the color brown?

vatsachak•8m ago
piss filter already happened lol
moffkalast•13m ago
They say the pelican isn't benchmaxxed, but at this point how can it possibly not be?
vatsachak•10m ago
Chollet, Google and Alexander Wang both admitted as such

1) Chollet stated that RL:Pre-training is 9:1.

2) Google said argon was trained on SVGs

3) Wang said that Muse Wonder was not trained on 3D models

kjuulh•9m ago
I feel like in the beginning it was a way to highlight the fidelity of the models as they struggled to produce good latex and svgs figures. But especially now with the iterative loops that is no longer such a good benchmark. And honestly these pelicans are pretty much the same, so yeah it feels totally benchmaxxed.
binarymax•9m ago
I got downvoted[0] heavily for even mentioning the possibility. But I'll say that even if it isn't, there are plenty of pelicans in the training set for new models. People saying "well then why does it also work for flamingos???" don't understand how LLMs work.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49526966

karahime•7m ago
Because there's a difference between explicitly targeting some outcome and attempts at that outcome being in the training data. There would be no reasoning to explicitly aim for this rather than, say, general SVG reasoning, especially since it would be possible for targeting this over other SVG creation to undermine general SVG ability. It's not impossible that labs are targeting pelicans on bicycles specifically, but every attempt at discerning whether they are has said that similar requests for SVGs (e.g., other animals using other modes of transportation) that show other things show similar SVG ability.
0xbadcafebee•12m ago
[delayed]
jvanderbot•11m ago
It is fairly easy to go ask for a differently styled pelican, environment, background, etc. But that's not the point.

I was thinking just today about how, if I could hire my competition's lead designer/programmers, have them design a system for me cleanroom, that I'd effectively know everything there is to know about my competition's limitations. This is trivial to do with LLMs.

"Make me a thing that does X" is going to come out implemented basically the same way most of the time, as a kind of stack-overflow, well commented, internship project. (or, if undirected enough, as a collection of those based on a bog-standard architecture)

Same-y enough that you could train an adversary on it? Or hack it afterward? I am beginning to think so!

cbrozefsky•9m ago
Nah, second system effect will kick in and you’ll get a non functioning clusterfuck embodying their traumas from the first system.
user43928•9m ago
So, how were the more creative pelicans created? I assume by changing the prompt from the default.

I don't see why you couldn't do the same in real projects.

If the design looks too generic, you can just ask for a change, no?

vatsachak•8m ago
There goes the autonomous agent future then
tamimio•8m ago
I would be curious to see if you would ask few designers to draw the pelicans with the same prompt to them, no further instructions given, and they should not know about the pelican AI benchmark thing, how that will turn out?!
tetraodonpuffer•7m ago
is this a case where alignment/rlhf collapses diversity same as image models going from "base" to "turbo" does (where the base model is typically way more influenced by seed, while distilled/turbo models aren't as much)? I am also wondering if part of this is also prompting, maybe we should have a second simonw benchmark that appends "be original" to the prompt and see if all models try to be original the same way too.

After all if you ask 100 people to draw a horse, it is quite likely it will be a lot more similar to a "here's a stock horse photograph" than a "here's what picasso would draw when asked to draw a horse"

fenderog•6m ago
Related, I have been working on evaluating creative output of different models here https://fenderog.com/art-crit/.
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[delayed]

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