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Start all of your commands with a comma (2009)

https://rhodesmill.org/brandon/2009/commands-with-comma/
249•theblazehen•2d ago•82 comments

Hoot: Scheme on WebAssembly

https://www.spritely.institute/hoot/
22•AlexeyBrin•1h ago•1 comments

OpenCiv3: Open-source, cross-platform reimagining of Civilization III

https://openciv3.org/
704•klaussilveira•15h ago•206 comments

The Waymo World Model

https://waymo.com/blog/2026/02/the-waymo-world-model-a-new-frontier-for-autonomous-driving-simula...
967•xnx•21h ago•557 comments

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback

https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.12501
7•onurkanbkrc•41m ago•0 comments

Vocal Guide – belt sing without killing yourself

https://jesperordrup.github.io/vocal-guide/
65•jesperordrup•5h ago•27 comments

Making geo joins faster with H3 indexes

https://floedb.ai/blog/how-we-made-geo-joins-400-faster-with-h3-indexes
135•matheusalmeida•2d ago•35 comments

Where did all the starships go?

https://www.datawrapper.de/blog/science-fiction-decline
42•speckx•4d ago•33 comments

Unseen Footage of Atari Battlezone Arcade Cabinet Production

https://arcadeblogger.com/2026/02/02/unseen-footage-of-atari-battlezone-cabinet-production/
68•videotopia•4d ago•6 comments

ga68, the GNU Algol 68 Compiler – FOSDEM 2026 [video]

https://fosdem.org/2026/schedule/event/PEXRTN-ga68-intro/
13•matt_d•3d ago•2 comments

Jeffrey Snover: "Welcome to the Room"

https://www.jsnover.com/blog/2026/02/01/welcome-to-the-room/
38•kaonwarb•3d ago•30 comments

What Is Ruliology?

https://writings.stephenwolfram.com/2026/01/what-is-ruliology/
45•helloplanets•4d ago•46 comments

Show HN: Look Ma, No Linux: Shell, App Installer, Vi, Cc on ESP32-S3 / BreezyBox

https://github.com/valdanylchuk/breezydemo
237•isitcontent•16h ago•26 comments

Monty: A minimal, secure Python interpreter written in Rust for use by AI

https://github.com/pydantic/monty
236•dmpetrov•16h ago•126 comments

Show HN: I spent 4 years building a UI design tool with only the features I use

https://vecti.com
340•vecti•18h ago•147 comments

Hackers (1995) Animated Experience

https://hackers-1995.vercel.app/
505•todsacerdoti•23h ago•247 comments

Sheldon Brown's Bicycle Technical Info

https://www.sheldonbrown.com/
389•ostacke•21h ago•97 comments

Show HN: If you lose your memory, how to regain access to your computer?

https://eljojo.github.io/rememory/
303•eljojo•18h ago•187 comments

Microsoft open-sources LiteBox, a security-focused library OS

https://github.com/microsoft/litebox
361•aktau•22h ago•186 comments

Cross-Region MSK Replication: K2K vs. MirrorMaker2

https://medium.com/lensesio/cross-region-msk-replication-a-comprehensive-performance-comparison-o...
3•andmarios•4d ago•1 comments

An Update on Heroku

https://www.heroku.com/blog/an-update-on-heroku/
428•lstoll•22h ago•284 comments

PC Floppy Copy Protection: Vault Prolok

https://martypc.blogspot.com/2024/09/pc-floppy-copy-protection-vault-prolok.html
71•kmm•5d ago•10 comments

The AI boom is causing shortages everywhere else

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/02/07/ai-spending-economy-shortages/
24•1vuio0pswjnm7•2h ago•13 comments

Was Benoit Mandelbrot a hedgehog or a fox?

https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.01122
23•bikenaga•3d ago•11 comments

Dark Alley Mathematics

https://blog.szczepan.org/blog/three-points/
96•quibono•4d ago•22 comments

How to effectively write quality code with AI

https://heidenstedt.org/posts/2026/how-to-effectively-write-quality-code-with-ai/
270•i5heu•18h ago•219 comments

Delimited Continuations vs. Lwt for Threads

https://mirageos.org/blog/delimcc-vs-lwt
34•romes•4d ago•3 comments

I now assume that all ads on Apple news are scams

https://kirkville.com/i-now-assume-that-all-ads-on-apple-news-are-scams/
1079•cdrnsf•1d ago•461 comments

Introducing the Developer Knowledge API and MCP Server

https://developers.googleblog.com/introducing-the-developer-knowledge-api-and-mcp-server/
64•gfortaine•13h ago•30 comments

Understanding Neural Network, Visually

https://visualrambling.space/neural-network/
304•surprisetalk•3d ago•44 comments
Open in hackernews

Iron Beam: Israel's first operational anti drone laser system

https://mod.gov.il/en/press-releases/press-room/israel-mod-and-rafael-deliver-first-operational-high-power-laser-system-iron-beam-to-the-idf
215•fork-bomber•1mo ago

Comments

condensedcrab•1mo ago
From Rafael’s site: https://www.rafael.co.il/system/iron-beam/

100kW laser is nothing to joke about, but seems a good application for anti drone tasks. Fiber lasers are pretty snazzy.

cogman10•1mo ago
It's quiet the power requirement. I wonder how long it has to focus on a drone to eliminate it. Like how long is this thing consuming 100kW?
jstummbillig•1mo ago
Hm, you think longer than the laser is firing? Could there be windup?
cogman10•1mo ago
I imagine there's some sort of storage system, like a huge bank of ultra-capacitors, that are constantly kept charged.

The wind up would be if that bank is depleted and they need to recharge. Delivering 100kW for a short period of time is definitely a feat.

jstummbillig•1mo ago
Ah, good point, that seems likely.
amluto•1mo ago
If these things are even 50% efficient, then power delivery is really not a problem these days. Most EVs have no problem delivering 200kW for quite a few seconds at a time, limited mostly by components getting warm. Higher-end EVs are generally rated for 300-500kW.

It would by amusing to see one of these lasers mounted on an EV, possibly with a small range extender to recharge it on the go.

cenamus•1mo ago
Good question, probably depends a lot on how much energy actually makes it to the target some distance away. And then how much is actually absorbed. Probably depends more on the power density then, rather than total power?

Can't imagine they get a very small spot at multiple km unless they use gigantic lenses or multiple independent laser focused on the same spot

condensedcrab•1mo ago
Even small divergence angles add up if they’re trying to intercept at visual ranges outside of traditional munitions.

That being said, probably ~10kW/m^2 is enough to overheat or disable a UAV

chmod775•1mo ago
It'll get a lot of time to react at that energy as it's not going to "instantly" fry anything*. That's probably less energy/m2 than consumer heat guns, especially if consider that these drones are likely going to get sprayed in reflective paint. Easy defense for the drone would be just: get into a spin to get roasted evenly -> shut off -> fall for a few hundred meters, cooling using air that rushes by to counteract the laser further -> catch itself once it lost the laser.

That would force these laser systems to point each drone until it either visibly goes up in flames or impacts the ground (which means you also need to be able to track them all the way down), otherwise you can't be sure it won't just snap back to life once you started engaging the next drone.

I don't feel like 10kw/m2 would be anywhere near useful. It's gotta be more than that.

* Stadium floodlights aren't going to instantly grill any bird that flies in front of them either, and they reach that ballpark.

cenamus•1mo ago
Yeah 10kW/m2 isn't much more than than sunlight, which is around 1000-1300 W/m2 depending on conditions.

If you can target it for a couple seconds with that power then you're not gonna do much, much less if it's not very absorbent

JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
Maybe it involves multiple converging beams to reduce transmission losses?
tguvot•1mo ago
yes it does
margalabargala•1mo ago
I also wonder the extent to which the effectiveness is reduced by painting the projectile white or wrapping it in aluminum foil. Maybe 100kw is so large that it simply does not matter at that power level.
simondotau•1mo ago
I imagine that it depends greatly on the laser’s spectrum. Aluminium is a good reflector of infrared but not ultraviolet, for example.
JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
Huh, to what degree is this technology gatekept by battery advances?

A few decades ago lasers were dismissed because they involved chemical reagents for high power and explosive capacitors for even low-power applications.

cogman10•1mo ago
> Huh, to what degree is this technology gatekept by battery advances?

Not too much. The power delivery was doable even 15 years ago. It would have just been more expensive and heavier.

The bigger issue I believe would have been the lens and tracking capabilities. For the tracking to work you need some pretty good cameras, pretty fast computers, and pretty good object recognition. We are talking about using high speed cameras and doing object detection each frame

Animats•1mo ago
> The power delivery was doable even 15 years ago.

Not really. It took a long time for solid state lasers to make it to 100KW. That's the power level military people have wanted for two decades.

Megawatt chemical lasers are possible, and have been built. But the ground based one was three semitrailers, and the airborne one needed a 747. Plus you ran out of chemicals fairly fast.

serf•1mo ago
I took 'power delivery' to mean the systems that facilitate driving the energy into the weapon, not the beam itself -- although now under consideration of the technology I think we should probably avoid the use of the phrase 'power delivery', without a projectile being involved that's essentially the entire concept.
Animats•1mo ago
Good point on nomenclature.

A 100KW generator is no big deal. It's a truck Diesel engine coupled to a generator. Trailer-mounted, it can be towed with a pickup truck. It's a standard rental item for larger construction projects.

A 100KW laser is a big deal.

The big problem with this as an anti-drone weapon is that, unlike artillery shells or unguided missiles, drones can operate close to the ground, and the laser needs line of sight.

galkk•1mo ago
Wouldn’t they be able to just use radars?
tguvot•1mo ago
few seconds. it (lower power version) was deployed during war with hezbollah and intercepted 40 drones (big one, not fpv).

there is footage of intercepts out there. was released about half an year ago

wolfi1•1mo ago
I guess they are using it in pulsed mode, continuous mode would be a little bit much power
stackghost•1mo ago
Depends on how tightly they can focus the beam.

http://panoptesv.com/SciFi/LaserDeathRay/DamageFromLaser.php

FunnyUsername•1mo ago
Is that output power of the laser? If it's input power, it doesn't really seem that high. Some US homes could draw 100kW if charging multiple EVs etc.
cogman10•1mo ago
> Some US homes could draw 100kW if charging multiple EVs

No. Most US homes are on 200 or 100A service. 200A tops out at 48kW

You won't find many home chargers that are more than 60A.

SigmundA•1mo ago
There is 400 amp residential service you can get 80 amp 19.2 kw level 2 chargers.

You would need 5 80 amp charger to approach 100kw but with other loads in a large house, I have seen large HVAC systems and elaborate pools with lazy rivers etc that can add up very quickly which is why they had 400 amp service.

100kw isn't really that much, a modern EV can put out 3 times that from its battery pack into the motor for short bursts and easily sustain 100kw until drained.

480v 200 amp 3 phase commercial supply can provide 100kw continuous and would be some thing used in a medium sized office building.

FunnyUsername•1mo ago
As the sibling comment notes, these days 400a residential service is available as an option in many places.

One home actually consuming close to 400a is pretty rare, but it's possible mainly in gas-free builds, if using things like electric tankless water heaters (a bit niche) in addition to multiple EV chargers, a range, dryer, etc.

Maybe a better way to convey that 100kW is “small” is to point out that industrial sites all around us, such as smaller datacenters, are well into the MW range.

montjoy•1mo ago
It’s missing almost all technical details, which seems fishy to me. But I’m sure this defense company is honest and has a system that works great and so that’s why no technical details are needed. /s
someNameIG•1mo ago
They say it's first operational system in it's class, but it seems very similar to the Australian Apollo system, with Apollo being able to go up to 150kW

https://eos-aus.com/defence/high-energy-laser-weapon/apollo/

tguvot•1mo ago
apollo range according to site is 3km. iron beam 10km
breppp•1mo ago
It's also similar to the British DragonFire and US HELIOS

I think the major difference here is that the Iron Beam is operational, as in finished trials, delivered to an armed force and actually was in active use in the previous war for more than a year

upcoming-sesame•1mo ago
from what I understand, problem with drones is first of all detection
jvanderbot•1mo ago
Well there's drones, then there's prop driven cheap cruise missiles.

I think we're talking the second.

slfreference•1mo ago
let me up the ante, drones intermixed with kamikaze pigeons.
JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> problem with drones is first of all detection

You’re right for ambush drones of the sort e.g. Hamas could launch. For the ones that would stream in from Iran, which Israel needed American help defending from last time, I’m not sure that’s the case.

breppp•1mo ago
The re-edited title frames this as an anti-drone system but this was foremost developed as an anti-rocket system.

Hamas and Hezbollah MO since the 1990s was based on bombing Israeli towns with statistical rockets and this system is supposed to reverse the cost equation (cheaper than those cheap rockets)

Today this is also used for drones though

pimlottc•1mo ago
Statistical rockets?
nine_k•1mo ago
The rockets are very imprecise, but a large number of them, hitting the territory of a town, will deal damage, bodily harm, and death at random, due to statistics. It's Monte Carlo bombing of sorts :(
jimnotgym•1mo ago
How far away is the laser beam lethal? Could it accidentally bring down a plane flying behind the laser? Or a satellite?
MomsAVoxell•1mo ago
Easily defeated with clouds of aluminum chaff?

First wave of drones get targeted, explode into clouds of chaff, second wave of drones penetrates the de-focused laser system.

marcosdumay•1mo ago
I dunno why people insist on this, there have been desktop lasers that cut aluminum and steel for ages.

Those materials do not reflect evert frequency.

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
You are describing salvage fusing.

When you're playing with nukes it actually is rather effective, not from a standpoint of chaff (you don't bring it) but the ionization of the nuke makes a radar blocked zone and the following missile is going very, very fast--makes a bunch of progress while the defenders are blind. It's also why we don't like nuclear anti-sub weapons--the dead zone lasts for hours, there's no way to know if you actually got the target.

But a drone is small and slow. You'll need an awful lot of drones to punch through defenses this way and the whole thing goes out the window when the laser pops drones farther back in line. And chaff only denies a small area and for a short time.

xenospn•1mo ago
Just in time for Iran 2.0
underdeserver•1mo ago
In the war in June, Iran fired 500kg warhead ballistic missiles. These were the only lethal munition they used, killing a couple dozen civilians.

The Iron Beam is not relevant against ballistic missiles.

JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> Iran fired 500kg warhead ballistic missiles

Iran also fired “over 1,000 suicide drones” [1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_war

fpoling•1mo ago
Shaheds are heavy and big and I doubt that the new laser system can damage them. An interceptor drone is much cheaper and effective against them. This is more like defense against smaller FPV drones targeting bigger anti-missile systems.
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Lots and lots of drones--it's just the drones were all picked off, the only things that got through were some of the ballistic missiles. Most of which were aimed at things that they shouldn't have been shooting at in the first place.

And Iron Dome scored on the ballistic missiles, I would assume Iron Beam also could. When it's coming down on it's target it's slowed by the atmosphere and it has no defense other than being fast.

mcpar-land•1mo ago
Don't Get Distracted

https://calebhearth.com/dont-get-distracted

endtime•1mo ago
This is designed to save people.
cogman10•1mo ago
Could definitely be used in an offensive capacity. I don't think it'll be a red alert 2 style prism cannon, but I do think it can be used to gain air superiority. With a long enough runtime, this thing could definitely take out a plane.

That said, it's pretty tame. We can already take out planes with flak cannons. This is just more efficient.

jmyeet•1mo ago
There is no such thing as a defensive weapon.

You might be tempted to say "what about a missile shield?" but such a thing allows the owner to act with impunity with levels of violence we arguably haven't seen since 1945.

As a real example of this, the only reason a deeper conflict didn't develop with Iran this year was because Iran demonstrated they could overwhelm the various layers of Israel's missile shield and Iran seriously depleted the various munitions used by those air defense systems (eg interceptors, THAAD) and those take a long time to replenish.

JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> There is no such thing as a defensive weapon

I agree if we reframe it as “purely defensive,” though there is a bit of tautology invoked with the “weapon” qualifier.

That said, there is legitimacy to developing defensive arms, even if one doesn’t like the ones doing it.

> the only reason a deeper conflict didn't develop with Iran this year was because Iran demonstrated they could overwhelm the various layers of Israel's missile shield

This hypothesis is not sustained by Iran’s reduced firing rate throughout the conflict. All evidence suggests Iran lost its war with Israel and would lose it again if they go for round 2.

jstummbillig•1mo ago
> You might be tempted to say "what about a missile shield?" but such a thing allows the owner to act with impunity with levels of violence we arguably haven't seen since 1945.

I would still say "what about a missile shield?".

If a missile shield is a weapon, because of its affordances, then any object is a weapon. And while that's marginally true I don't think we get anywhere by entertaining category errors.

If something enables aggression, because it makes counter attacks unreasonable, that seems like a fairly nice thing to have more of, in a world where destruction is far too easy and construction is fairly hard.

kennywinker•1mo ago
> If something enables aggression, because it makes counter attacks unreasonable, that seems like a fairly nice thing to have more of

You’re imagining a world where this kind of tech is equally distributed. It’s not. Israel spends something like $30b/year in defense (in part due to ~$7b/year from the US). Gaza has something like $0.3b to spend. The consequence of that asymmetry is one of them has a missile shield, the other has more than 80,000 dead citizens, famine, and virtually no infrastructure left standing.

FunnyUsername•1mo ago
Gaza's "air defense" is hundreds of miles of tunnels, civilians just aren't allowed to shelter in them. Hamas having better technology wouldn't change the fact that they're not interested in protecting civilians.
kennywinker•1mo ago
I’m not going to defend hamas’ choices, but i think it’s disingenuous to say that they have the ability to protect the people of gaza. A few thousand fighters in tunnels is possible, but millions of civilians? And wouldn’t that be more of this “using human shields” stuff people like to point out so often?
jstummbillig•1mo ago
I am imagining a world, where cheaper access to defensive technology will make defense more viable. That's seems like it will simply be true directionally.
wat10000•1mo ago
> then any object is a weapon. And while that's marginally true I don't think we get anywhere by entertaining category errors.

We get a really ripping novel from Iain M. Banks, at least.

belorn•1mo ago
If you want society to be more vulnerable to military action, then the biggest innovation is health care. Improved health care is what allowed nations to create and maintain larger military forces. Through out history, disease and malnourished caused more death by a large margin than actually violence in combat, and many war campaign stopped suddenly because one or both sides became unable to continue.
JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> Improved health care is what allowed nations to create and maintain larger military forces

Isn’t it the other way? With a lot of medicine’s modern advances being rooted in combat medicine?

wat10000•1mo ago
I think they mean communicable diseases, not combat injuries. For example, around 2/3rds of the military deaths in the American civil war were from disease, not combat. I don’t think much of the medical advances that prevent that came from combat medicine.
JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> don’t think much of the medical advances that prevent that came from combat medicine

Triage and ambulances come from battle medicine [1]. (Not sure about communicable-disease prevention.)

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominique_Jean_Larrey

wat10000•1mo ago
Right, those are relatively minor improvements compared to soldiers no longer dying en masse from typhoid, smallpox, measles, etc. Good improvements to be sure, but not quite as significant.
_DeadFred_•1mo ago
America's school lunch program was created so that it would have healthier soldiers. We better stop feeding children.

https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_School_Lunch_Prog...

drnick1•1mo ago
> As a real example of this, the only reason a deeper conflict didn't develop with Iran this year was because Iran demonstrated they could overwhelm the various layers of Israel's missile shield and Iran seriously depleted the various munitions used by those air defense systems (eg interceptors, THAAD) and those take a long time to replenish.

Lol no, Iran was utterly humiliated in this conflict, and outed as a paper tiger.

wat10000•1mo ago
That’s gross. You’re basically saying that hundreds of millions of people need to be held as hostages to ensure good behavior, and that trying to rescue those hostages is morally wrong.
bastawhiz•1mo ago
Sure, until someone says "hey can we stick this on a truck and use it against cars?" "Hey can we stick this on the belly of a plane and use it on a building?" "Hey what happens if we do a flash of this at protestors?"
Alive-in-2025•1mo ago
Which will happen because it always happens
breppp•1mo ago
Then when that happens that might be morally objectionable. But probably like any other weapon that already exists, a rocket, missile or gun.

While not everyday a new defense systems is invented that is targeted at statistical weapon that terrorizes civilians.

slfreference•1mo ago
In Batman Begins, the villian just makes the drinking water toxic. With todays AI and Biotech, one can create a new bacteria or virus and cripple water supply of cities. I am sure a suitable trained AI can get more creative with such low cost attack vectors.
nradov•1mo ago
Nah. You can't just engineer some sort of pathogen which will survive water purification treatments, or grow and reproduce in pure water without any nutrients. Real life isn't like the movies.
slfreference•1mo ago
This just means, the addition of the pathogen has to happen after purification treatments. Viruses can stay dormant and activate only within human body, no need for food.
vibrio•1mo ago
“Viruses” have a very broad feature set-beyond evoking Batman, it seems like a lot of details need to be hammered out here, even residually chlorinated water can be problematic in maintaining titers. IMO, These days, public health policy (conspiracy?) seems to be a more efficient way to spread pathogens. Not precise targeting tho.
slfreference•1mo ago
AI Labs Do "Gain-Of-Function" Research

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/yVSihOtF4ZA

wat10000•1mo ago
It’s not going to do anything useful against cars, let alone buildings. It would blind people, and that would be bad, but it’s a very expensive way to hurt people. I think this one is for what it says it’s for.
bastawhiz•1mo ago
"It's a very expensive way to hurt people" has historically never been a real deterrent to motivated nation states to bring costs down
bawolff•1mo ago
Countries dont generally invest in shitty weapons when they already have good weapons. Bombs & missiles already exist and are much better than lasers if your goal is to destroy a stationary target.
wat10000•1mo ago
The point is, why would they bother when there’s cheaper and easier ways to do it? A high tech laser system is great for shooting stuff down because it replaces missile systems that cost even more. If you want to cripple people, why would you use it instead of a cheap gun or baton?

“It could be used to hurt people” doesn’t mean much. You at least need “it could be used to hurt people, and it’s better at it in at least one way than what’s already available.”

bdbdbdb•1mo ago
My understand is it would be useless against a building, but you make a good point
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
Those kinds of tests have been done with lasers already.

This is a defensive application of lasers, like CIWS is a defensive application of guns.

throw-12-16•1mo ago
We already have very cheap and effective ways to kill people.

Not so much when it comes to drone swarms.

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Won't work very well. Such things need great stability.

And it's not like there's any need of a fancy weapon to do that. This exists to engage high speed targets. Just because you can use a GBU-28 to kill a gopher doesn't mean anyone ever will.

halJordan•1mo ago
This is a good article. I disagree with its implications. I would agree that the average us citizen is much too far removed from the defense industrial complex and that creates these situations where a Google engineer (not necessarily this guy) is perfectly willing to help destroy American society with his advertising tech but balks at automating image tagging for the dod's big data lake because would rather have another 9/11 than be responsible for a false positive in the ME.
throwaway-11-1•1mo ago
hey man what country were the 9/11 hijackers from? What counties did we invade and which did we give f-35’s to?
wat10000•1mo ago
How is cell phone tracking going to prevent another 9/11? And looking at the historical track record, the DoD has done a lot of killing and very little 9/11 prevention in the past 24 years.
boredatoms•1mo ago
Do they have a public log of preventions we can look at? Seems fascinating to look at the numbers
shigawire•1mo ago
The heuristic is that it would be in their interest to trumpet their successes.
conception•1mo ago
Not if revealing success also reveals methodology and “trade” secrets.
michaelmrose•1mo ago
Its perfectly reasonable to suppose undisclosed successes are imaginary as that is the overwhelming likelihood
colordrops•1mo ago
What could these secrets be other than a completely illegal comprehensive web of domestic spy apparatus.
Pixelbrick•1mo ago
Isn't that what parallel construction is for?
conception•1mo ago
“We have a mole in X network that gave us details about the attack.” Would be the most obvious.
wat10000•1mo ago
The heuristic is that DoD doesn’t do counterterrorism. I don’t expect DoD to prevent terror attacks just like I don’t expect the FBI to blow up bunkers in Iran. We don’t need numbers to be able to confidently estimate that the number of Iranian bunkers blown up by the FBI is approximately zero.
breppp•1mo ago
it's almost as if it is unrelated to the article discussed
wslh•1mo ago
I think the historical relationship between war and human societies is deeper than many like to admit. We often act as if advancing technology, and some societies well-being, have fundamentally changed human behavior, but in reality conflict and the use of force have been central to how groups have interacted for millennia. The peace utopia doesn't click.

This isn’t an endorsement of corruption or violence; it’s just a recognition that human social organization has long involved the use of force alongside diplomacy, negotiations, trade, and other political instruments. The modern/post-modern/meta-modern isms may change how we fight, but it doesn’t by itself make the underlying dynamics disappear.

unfitted2545•1mo ago
The blood meridian quote that stuck with me for this:

"War was always here. Before man was, war waited for him. The ultimate trade awaiting its ultimate practitioner."

yonisto•1mo ago
It is so sad the Humanity needs to develop weapons...
geertj•1mo ago
On the last day of the year, I am taking a few minutes to linger on this. At face value, most would agree with this, myself included. But I think we can dive one layer deeper. There are different schools of thoughts whether mankind is inherently good or evil. Over the years, I have become pretty firm believer that every person has the innate capacity for both good and evil, and the outcome is determined by both character and circumstances. Solzhenitsyn famously wrote (quote by Gemini):

"The line separating good and evil passes not through states, nor between classes, nor between political parties either—but right through every human heart—and through all human hearts. This line shifts. Inside us, it oscillates with the years. And even within hearts overwhelmed by evil, one small bridgehead of good is retained. And even in the best of all hearts, there remains … an unuprooted small corner of evil."

If you subscribe to this, then a weapons system can also be a force for good, if used by an entity for the purpose of "peace through strength". The strength keeps our innate capability for evil in check, as the consequences for evil would be guaranteed. A case in point is the MAD doctrine for nuclear weapons which has prevented a world war for the last 80 years.

I'd appreciate philosophical replies. Am I wrong, either in a detail or at the core of the argument? Are there additional layers? I would like to kindly ask to keep replies away from views on the specific players in this specific press release. We'd just be reiterating our positions without convincing anyone.

(edit: grammar, slight rewording)

yonisto•1mo ago
I totally understand the need for weapons. It is just makes me sad.

And I think Solzhenitsyn is wrong. There are psychopathic people that have no good in their hearts. Sure, with the right upbringing that could be kind and good but at a given moment they are what they are... psychopaths.

solatic•1mo ago
More to the point, "technology is neither good, nor bad, nor neutral, it just exists". Ultimately all tools can be used for good or bad purposes and what matters is the people who wield them.

This is separate from the argument over whether MAD is philosophically good. MAD is not an argument about technology. "Peace through strength" does indeed require the occasional display of strength, to maintain deterrence. Good and bad (morals) are not the right frame to understand deterrence, rather emotions: fear, confidence, and security.

Solzhenitsyn can be read as either a humanist or an ethicist: either the bridgehead of good is sufficient to redeem everyone from war and morality demands pacifism, or all military doctrines must be submitted to independent review to check that we do not give the "unuprooted small corner of evil" oxygen. Crucially, these are both judgements about ourselves and not about the foes who seek to destroy us, who indeed consider themselves to have "the best of all hearts". In this sense, Solzhenitsyn contributes to the cycle of violence: if both sides are ethicists, and their ethical councils have different conclusions, the result is not just fundamentalism but a fundamentalism justified by ethical review.

Fear, anger, disgust are the ultimate drivers of conflict. Can we conquer them? Of course not, they are the base emotions, part of being human. But can there be a better way of handling them in geopolitics? Yes - if leaders are focused on helping not just themselves feel safe, but their enemies as well. This is the higher level beyond MAD - not mutual fear, but mutual security. This is why USAID was great foreign policy and cheap for its benefits. This is why weapons are sold to allies despite the fact that their interests may not be fully aligned with ours. Weapons are fundamental to security, which at the end of the day is a feeling and not a guarantee against attack or repercussions from an attack, and these feelings of security are what reduces the incidence and frequence of war.

steve-atx-7600•1mo ago
We are also lucky a miscalculation didn’t occur during the Cold War resulting in millions of nuked folks. But, not sure what the alternative is. Best idea I’ve heard is for everyone to stop reproducing.
throw-12-16•1mo ago
Weapons are why we exist in the first place.
judah•1mo ago
Israel saw over 16,000 rocket attacks last year from fundamentalist groups like Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, and Yemen. The Iron Dome intercepted ~90% of them, resulting in thousands of lives saved.

Iron Beam is the newer incarnation of this technology that uses lasers to intercept incoming rockets and drones with precision and much lower cost. Wonderful technology.

RegnisGnaw•1mo ago
Lets send some over to Ukraine.
myth_drannon•1mo ago
And Putin gives a nuke to Iranians then it's game over since Iranians don't care about MAD doctrine. Anyways the risk of the tech falling into Russia's hands is too high. Ukrainians have the smarts to develop it themselves now that it is proven as a viable tech.
Sabinus•1mo ago
Why would Russia give nukes to Iran? The Russians themselves would be harmed by an open nuclear exchange.

No, Putin's threats to Biden and Trump were more along the lines of, 'See the Houthis shooting shipping, imagine that capability spread to rebels and terrorists worldwide'

8note•1mo ago
iran has a religious rule against making nukes, to the same extent that it has religious decrees calling for an end to israel.

iranians arent gonna nuke anyone without first toppling their religious government

pjc50•1mo ago
Iran has an active nuclear weapons program which the Israelis keep sabotaging.
nephihaha•1mo ago
Isn't there some kind of uprising in Iran just now?
dandanua•1mo ago
Everyone cares about the MAD doctrine, although some people with power may pretend they do not, while others may pretend they believe that those people with power don't care.
wiseowise•1mo ago
Unhinged take. What’s next? Giving NLAWS to Ukraine will result in Russia giving nukes to Cuba?
elcritch•1mo ago
Each Iron Dome interception cost many times more than the cost of the rockets. This will make it cheaper for other poorer nations to afford and operate.
kjkjadksj•1mo ago
Are you factoring in the cost in human lives?
throw-12-16•1mo ago
Human lives are pretty cheap all things considered.
WJW•1mo ago
I was bored so I did the math and you are not correct. Even if you don't care about the people themselves, a normal citizen in an industrialized society like Israel has about 40 years of working life. Let's assume for simplicity that some rockets would hit children but others would hit retired people, on average hitting people when they're halfway through their career and would have 20 years of productive work left.

According to Wikipedia [1], Israel has an average GDP per capita of about 60 USD per hour worked, which at 40 hours per week, 50 weeks worked per year over 20 years comes to about 40000 hours of work and ~2.4 million USD of GDP generated. At an income tax of about 30% [2], that means an income for the state of about 800k USD equivalent. If the person dies due to rocket attack, the state would miss out on that. Iron dome interceptors are quite cheap compared to that and the laser intercepts should be an order of magnitude cheaper still.

This doesn't even take into account the sunk costs that industrialized nations incur by every citizen having to attend school for about the first two decades of their lives, mostly funded by the state. That represents a tremendous investment into human capital that would be lost if you let your citizens get shot up in preventable rocket attacks.

So no, human lives are not actually cheap when viewed through the lens of a country, even when completely excluding morals and only looking at it financially. They are in fact quite valuable.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_labour_pr... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taxation_in_Israel#Income_tax

throw-12-16•1mo ago
Thats a nice calculation, but the reality is that billions of people do not meet those criteria.

Life in the developing world is very cheap.

saagarjha•1mo ago
Those billions of people do not live in Israel.
elcritch•1mo ago
Both sides are right. Life is cheap in many developing nations. My hope is that this tech could help governments in those regions to protect their citizens even when their GDP returns are significantly lower.
ponector•1mo ago
One life can cost as much as you calculated. However, if the attack will kill an unproductive (elderly, disabled or other) person then it could be a net gain instead of loss for the economy.
WJW•1mo ago
Perhaps but you while you can maybe predict where the rocket will fall, you cannot reliably predict who it might kill if it hits. People move around and even if you can see it will hit a house for the elderly, you cannot see how many (grand)children are currently visiting. Also the opposite is true: a rocket hitting a child care facility would cause double the economic damage. That is why I used an average in my previous post.

In any case, elderly and disabled are not as useless to the economy as you might suppose. There are many disabled who are economically productive. One of the most capable colleagues I've ever had was a blind programmer. Grandparents often provide things like babysitter services that don't show up in formal GDP measurements but are very valuable nonetheless. Don't count out the contribution of people to society just because they don't have a normal job.

jampekka•1mo ago
Hopefully victims of fundamentalist groups like Israel will get this kind of technology too.
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Disagree--most rockets are determined to fall into unimportant locations and are not engaged. Israel only shoots at the ones that are going to fall on something.

(Although, notably, Israel destroyed one that was going to fall on The Dome, the very location that Islam is supposedly trying to protect from the Jews.)

sporkxrocket•1mo ago
It resulted in hundreds of thousands of innocent people murdered as it's stopping the Palestinians from being able to defend themselves. It's literally enabled genocide (along with US support).
jokoon•1mo ago
I wish they would make a demonstration
causal•1mo ago
A lot of comments decrying new weapons tech, but I think drone defense tech is particularly critical right now and going to save a lot of lives. Put another way, I don't think we would be against new clothing that made bullets less effective, even if it remains terrible that such clothing is needed.

Especially as AI becomes better and cheaper and suicide drones become more nimble and autonomous. If you have seen any of the horrifying footage out of Ukraine you will understand how badly we need more effective and cheaper drone defense as soon as possible.

cogman10•1mo ago
Yeah, I see this as ultimately a wash.

In Russia/Ukraine, drones have proven to be a very real threat to deal with (arguably also in Iraq).

What this means is wealthy nations will snatch up or recreate this and deploy it. That will stop smaller resistance forces from either defending or attacking. Depending on the nation in question this could both good or bad. Just like drones, guns, or tanks.

Effectively, this puts the status quo back to where it was before mass drone deployments.

causal•1mo ago
Which, IMO, is better than having swarms of cheap bombs flying around.

Taken to the extreme, I also prefer the current status quo vs. everyone having a nuclear-tipped ICBM, and would welcome a countermeasure if cheap ICBMs became a thing.

TheOtherHobbes•1mo ago
Some nuclear weapons are light enough to be delivered by drone.

Drones could also be equipped with facial recognition and conventional weapons to support targeted removal of "undesirables."

Very much a "Be careful what you wish for" tech.

b00ty4breakfast•1mo ago
this back and forth has been going on since the dawn of industrialized asymmetric warfare. There is no reason to think that this is the finish line in that race.
fpoling•1mo ago
That laser station will not last in Ukraine an hour and will be destroyed either by missiles or drone swarm.

What Ukraine have found a net launcher is effective and cheap solution against drones and may allow more use of tanks and heavy armor vehicles again in 2026. Then shotguns with a special ammunition is effective. Then against fiber drones a fence with moving wire works surprisingly good to cut the fiber.

tguvot•1mo ago
you should tell it to ukrainians. because they are busy developing their own laser system https://thedefensepost.com/2025/04/15/ukraine-unveils-laser-...
nsoonhui•1mo ago
Maybe Hi Tech weapon is impressive but that could lure us into false sense of security. Israel learnt the lesson the hard way in the October 7 attack.
throw-12-16•1mo ago
This will be vital tech after China swarms Taiwan with a massive drone invasion.
cenamus•1mo ago
After??
catlikesshrimp•1mo ago
Along the lines of Europe considering funding defence proportionally to the area of Ukraine chomped by Russia.
loloquwowndueo•1mo ago
Iron Dome, Iron Beam… what next, Iron Curtain?
tguvot•1mo ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Curtain_(countermeasure)
DANmode•1mo ago
Iron Sheik
incompatible•1mo ago
Iron Wall.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza%E2%80%93Israel_barrier

sc970•1mo ago
2009 Egyptian steel wall
seydor•1mo ago
Iron throne
elcritch•1mo ago
Personally I think that defensive technology like this is fantastic. It means that innocent citizens will be protected from constant bombardment or thread of bombardment by cheap mass produced rockets or drones. Israeli civilians have faced bombardment by tens of thousands of rockets from Gaza for the last 20 years [1].

Outside the Middle East there's many areas threatened by combatants with similar cheap missiles. Perhaps Ukraine is an obvious one. We're seeing rises in conflicts across parts of Africa, Cambodia/Thailand, Pakistan/India. Many governments are looking into buying these to protect their countries.

This technology hopefully can protect populations from destabilizing forces funded on the cheap by foreign powers. Machine guns changed warfare [2] and drones have been a similar massive change in warfare making it cheaper and easier to attack and destabalize regions. Though of course there's downsides as well [3].

1: https://www.mideastjournal.org/post/how-many-rockets-fired-a... 2: https://online.norwich.edu/online/about/resource-library/how... 3: https://claritywithmichaeloren.substack.com/p/iron-dome-part...

JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> It means that innocent citizens will be protected from constant bombardment or thread of bombardment by cheap mass produced rockets or drones

One could also hope that e.g. Iran starts focusing its economy on the wellbeing of its people versus playing regional cop to America’s world police.

xenospn•1mo ago
They haven't done so in decades. You think they'll start now?
JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> You think they'll start now?

No. But I can hope.

breppp•1mo ago
They have economic related riots starting as we speak so the progressive end result (a few riots down the line) might either be this or regime change
steve-atx-7600•1mo ago
Riots are going to end predictably badly when those participating do not have guns. Just like a couple years ago other there. Probably a lesson here.
breppp•1mo ago
It's usually progressive until the people with guns are too afraid to shoot, as in the fall of USSR

Although I will believe there are a few more iterations before this regime falls

anovikov•1mo ago
In the fall of USSR, no one was "afraid to shoot". No one was motivated to do so. Or do anything for the completely failed system that no longer worked for anyone, inside or outside it. By 1991, no one cared for good ol' Union. That's the only reason it died so peacefully in its sleep with virtually no violence - it was so rotten, no one could care for its survival.
steveBK123•1mo ago
And indeed that is how the Shah fell in Iran - the regime was so rotten that even the military elite no longer saw it as worth defending. Will the current regime face the same eventually?
anovikov•1mo ago
Just like in Soviet Union's case, trick isn't how to topple a regime, a sufficiently rotten one will fall by itself, but how to make sure the country that remains is sufficiently neutered to not become a menace again. It was simply overlooked by the West in 1991: they foolishly fell under the influence of their own propaganda and believed that Communism was the problem and with it gone, there was nothing left to worry about. As it turns out, Russia itself, was the problem. It was easy to solve in 1991 and extremely hard now. Hopefully it won't be repeated with Iran.
blurbleblurble•1mo ago
Let's not forget how much violence there'd already been
fnordian_slip•1mo ago
I have no idea how this hypothesis ("guns protect from oppressive governments") is still holding people's minds captive. The current regime in the US disproves this every day, constantly eroding civil rights and not even being subtle about it.

And the people with guns mostly either cheer it on or pretend it's not so bad (until they themselves feature in /r/leopardsatemyface).

logicchains•1mo ago
Americans still have more rights than almost any other country in the world WRT free speech and weapon ownership for self defense.
LtWorf•1mo ago
White americans.

Try being arab and going around armed.

jmyeet•1mo ago
Three thoughts:

1. Just to repeat myself from another comment on this thread, there is no such thing as a defensive weapon. Were it not for the various missile shields, the Israeli state wouldn't act with wanton abandon against its own citizens and its neighbours. All of the various war crimes and terror attacks are a direct consequence of the effectiveness of a "defensive" missile shield.

Let me pose this question to you: if these were purely defensive technologies, why don't we give them to everyone, including the Palestinians? and

2. Israel has already ruled out giving Ukraine the anti-missile (and assumedly anti-drone) defenses [1]; and

3. Many people, yourself included it seems, need to examine these conflicts around the world through the lens of historical materialism.

Take the genocide and conflict in Sudan. The SAF are arguably the ones with the "cheap rockets" here. Should we be giving the RSF anti-drone technology? The RSF are backed by the UAE using US weapons. Why? To loot Sudanese gold.

Why did Russia invade Ukraine? Territory, access to the Black Sea, resources and to create a land bridge to Crimea that had otherwise become extremely expensive to maintain as a colonial outpost. Like, just look at a map of controlled territory.

But why is it in a stalemate? In part because Russia is a nuclear power but also because the West is unwilling to let Ukraine do the one thing it could do to defend itself properly and that is to attack Russian energy infrastructure. Despite the sanctions, Russia is still allowed to sell oil and gas to places like Hungary, Slovakia, France, Belgium, India and China.

Back to the Middle East, we have Yemen, who was devastated by war and genocide at the hands of another US ally, Saudi Arabia.

The solution to these conflicts isn't more weapons, not even "defensive weapons". It's solving the underlying economic conditions that created that conflict in the first place.

[1]: https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-rules-out-giving-ukr...

_DeadFred_•1mo ago
'people shouldn't have locks on their doors, they discourage them from improving society'

'moving from wooden shingles allows society to be negligent when it comes to fire/forestry management and makes the world worse'

appreciatorBus•1mo ago
> The solution to these conflicts isn't more weapons, not even "defensive weapons". It's solving the underlying economic conditions that created that conflict in the first place.

Collectivism will not save us. The day after we abolish markets, prices, and capitalism, there will be as many disagreements about resource allocation as there were the day before. Some of those disagreements will spiral into conflict.

klipt•1mo ago
> Were it not for the various missile shields, the Israeli state wouldn't act with wanton abandon against its own citizens and its neighbours. All of the various war crimes and terror attacks are a direct consequence of the effectiveness of a "defensive" missile shield.

I'm not sure that's true, before Iron Dome, Israel would respond to many rockets from Gaza by firing mortars back at where the rocket was launched from, often the roof of an apartment building or similar, causing civilian casualties.

After Iron Dome, a lot of rockets were simply intercepted and ignored, because there was no longer political pressure from Israelis seeing rockets land in their villages and wanting to hit back.

FunnyUsername•1mo ago
I think you have it backwards. Israel tolerated something like ~30k rocket attacks from Gaza (between 2005-2023) before finally launching a major military campaign that sought to remove Hamas from power.

It would normally be absurd to expect a state with military superiority to tolerate ~30k rocket attacks from its weaker neighbor. That was only tenable because Israel's air defenses mitigated the bulk of the damage.

If Israel's air defenses and bunkers suddenly disappeared, Israel would be forced to respond far more aggressively to each terrorist attack.

tguvot•1mo ago
>. Israel has already ruled out giving Ukraine the anti-missile (and assumedly anti-drone) defenses [1]; and

Israel build in Ukraine early warning system for missile defense and transferred to Ukraine it's stock of patriot missiles and batteries

recroad•1mo ago
Data says it’s the Palestinians that need defenses, not the ones doing 95% of the killing.

https://www.ochaopt.org/data/casualties

falcor84•1mo ago
What kind of argument is that? All civilians should be protected.
Gibbon1•1mo ago
Palestinians patrons need to tell them they aren't going to win militarily against the Israeli's
delichon•1mo ago
Not today, but the fertily rate is 2.9 in Israel and 3.9 in Gaza. Even if demographics isn't quite destiny it's generally the way to bet.
Gibbon1•1mo ago
Just a reminder pushing people to start wars they can't win is shitty.
delichon•1mo ago
To me those stats suggest that the Palestinians have a bigger advantage in making love than war. How do you think they encourage war?
Gibbon1•1mo ago
You encourage war and murder. What you just said is that while the Palestinians in Gaza aren't strong enough now to kill and enslave the Jews and Arabs in Israel they will be in the future. And once they are they will do that. And the thought of that makes you hopeful.
delichon•1mo ago
I'm a Zionist.
elcritch•1mo ago
Israel invests in defending their civilians with technology like Iron Beam.

In contrast the Gazan government strategically uses humans shields [2, 3] and despite this the majority of Palestinians still support starting this war by attacking civilians on Oct 7th [1]. Defense technology doesn’t help if you don’t want it unfortunately.

Hamas also has hundreds of miles of tunnels which civilians aren’t allowed to use.

1: https://www.pcpsr.org/en/node/1000#:~:text=The%20Trump%20Pla... 2: https://stratcomcoe.org/cuploads/pfiles/hamas_human_shields.... 3: https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2023/11/01/hamas-officials-admi...

kennywinker•1mo ago
To say that israel invests in defense is at least 1/4 untrue, since the US sends billions every year. The US gave them about 7b cash last year, which is around 1/4 of their defense budget, and doesn’t include things like stationing carriers nearby, or doing airstrikes on houthi blockades.

Us $ to israel: https://usafacts.org/answers/how-much-foreign-aid-does-the-u...

Israel defense budget: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-raise-defen...

elcritch•1mo ago
That the US contributes doesn’t take away from the billions Israel did and does invest. The US defense contractors also get a big chunk of that aid.

The US also gives similar levels of military aid to Egypt as well. The EU and US give billions to Ukraine.

Gaza also receives billions in aid; substantial amounts of which has been hihacked and looted. For example this lady summer the UN reported that 88% of their aid trucks in Gaza were looted [1].

1: https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/08/05/un-reports-88-percen...

kennywinker•1mo ago
> That the US contributes doesn’t take away from the billions Israel did and does invest

Actually it does? It takes about 1/4 away.

> The US also gives similar levels of military aid to Egypt as well. The EU and US give billions to Ukraine.

Yes, the US uses defense aid to further their own agenda internationally, and funnel public dollars into private hands.

> Gaza also receives billions in aid

Food, medical, and infrastructure aid is not the same thing as weapons.

> 88% of their aid trucks in Gaza were looted

Ok? This tells me that both food and food aid are in short supply, if people are willing to take it by force. If myself and my family was starving, i would hyjack food trucks too. Wouldn’t you?

throw10920•1mo ago
>> That the US contributes doesn’t take away from the billions Israel did and does invest

> Actually it does? It takes about 1/4 away.

It literally does not. The way that every English speaker uses the word "invests" is exactly the opposite of this. If you're going to speak English, you use words as native speakers use them and you don't make up your own definitions.

kennywinker•1mo ago
I am a native english speaker.

Israel “invests” ~30b in military spending.

Of that, ~7b is not their own money, and the could not accept that money and spend it another way.

Therefore, israel “invests” about 1/4 less than it would seem.

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
They want you to think that.

There is no way any group other than Hamas could be operating at that scale. It's Hams taking the aid to use it to control the population. It's not like they were actually starving--Hamas never managed to find a legitimately starving person to point a camera at. Every single person they paraded in front of the cameras had medical issues that were the cause of their problems. Just go look inside a hospice, should we conclude they are starving people?

kennywinker•1mo ago
https://www.who.int/news/item/22-08-2025-famine-confirmed-fo...
FunnyUsername•1mo ago
IPC had to ignore their own definition to declare a famine though. An actual famine involves at least 2 starvations per 10,000 people per day, among other requirements. According to Hamas' own data, Gaza was always several orders of magnitude short of that.
kennywinker•1mo ago
First, the IPC famine scale is a scale in phases, not a simple yes-no binary.

Second, yes there is a war going on - solid data is hard to come by. But that’s a lack of data, not a change in their criteria. You can read their full mortality analysis and reasoning starting on page 24 https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/docs/I...

The conclusion is:

>Considering the available evidence, and in line with the IPC Guidance Note on Famine Classification,64 the FRC infers from the available data that mortality thresholds for Famine have already been exceeded in Gaza Governorate. Based on expert judgement, we also conclude that the Famine thresholds for mortality have not yet been crossed in Deir al-Balah or Khan Younis governorates.

No goalposts moved. Based on the data we have, people are dying of malnutrition.

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
They made up that claim. Hamas never even claimed anywhere near the number of deaths that would comprise famine. And Hamas never managed to point their cameras at anyone starving for non-medical reasons. We have a very clear case of a dog not barking.
_DeadFred_•1mo ago
Reminder the UN said it could feed the millions in Gaza more than the 1200+ calories per person Israel was letting in. The UN at the same time only fed the 400,000 Sudan refugees 400 calories per person per day.

Lots of politics at play.

kennywinker•1mo ago
Neither of those are enough calories.
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
The UN that couldn't move a substantial portion of the aid from the border to the warehouses. Because they wouldn't pay the drivers enough.
kennywinker•1mo ago
This doesn’t pass a basic plausibility test. It’s a war zone where food is super scarce and aid workers are there voluntarily. Between people wanting to feed their communities, and humanitarian aid workers who’ve already shown they are willing to risk life and limb, and gazan truckers with basically no other work, someone is going to be able to move goods for free or very cheap.
throw10920•1mo ago
> To say that israel invests in defense is at least 1/4 untrue, since the US sends billions every year.

This is factually incorrect. The amount of money that the US gives Israel is completely and totally irrelevant to whether or not Israel also invests their own money in defense.

The fact that the US has a problem with foreign influence literally does not matter for the statement above.

To be clear, I don't agree with the GP's implied suggestion that Israel is more defensive than offensive, but making objectively incorrect statements is not a valid way to refute that.

kennywinker•1mo ago
Can i rephrase to help you understand my point?

The defensive and offensive capabilities of Israel is about 1/4 larger because of american tax dollars not their own spending.

tguvot•1mo ago
us aid is around 6% of defense budget
kennywinker•1mo ago
1/4 by my reckoning. See links to my sources in the grandparent post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46452680
tguvot•1mo ago
israeli defense budget is around $35b-$45b

usa aid is typically around $3b-$3.5b . 2024 higher aid is one off due to the war. also (unless i am wrong), good chunk of aid that Israel got from usa during war was in form of loans/guarantees for loans and such

kennywinker•1mo ago
Their military budget is wayyy up due to the war, so if you’re ignoring recent giving you should also be ignoring recent spending.

In 2020 their military budget was ~21b. In 2020 the US gave 3.8b - so 21%, or 1/5. My number was based on 2024 budget and spending, which is why i said 1/4, but you’re probably right that pre-war numbers are more accurate if we’re talking about their long term spending trends.

Sources:

Israel military budget: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.CD?end=2020...

US money to israel, page 6: https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/RL/PDF/RL3322...

tguvot•1mo ago
worldbank data is off almost by factor of 2

from israeli site:

The 2021 budget framework for the "Ministry of Defense" includes an expenditure budget of NIS 62.357 billion, in addition to NIS 14.972 billion in income-contingent expenditure and authorization to commit in the amount of NIS 36.3 billion.

In 2022, the framework for the budget includes an expenditure budget of NIS 59.833 billion, in addition to NIS 15 billion in income-contingent expenditure and authorization to commit in the amount of NIS 42.9 billion.

kennywinker•1mo ago
Wish you’d included your source. I can’t find anywhere that says numbers that high for 2020 or 2021. NIS 62b is less than 20b USD so what I said, and it’s unclear what of those optional portions were actually spent.

Here’s another one that agrees with my number for israel’s military spending: https://www.timesofisrael.com/bennett-gantz-liberman-agree-o...

throw10920•1mo ago
That's not what you said originally. You said:

> To say that israel invests in defense is at least 1/4 untrue, since the US sends billions every year.

That statement is completely false, and is very different than what you said just now.

If you're going to walk back your words because you were proven wrong, that's fine, but don't claim you're "rephrasing" when you're actually changing your claim.

kennywinker•1mo ago
I’m not walking back anything. I said something, you misunderstood, i clarified. I stand by the original wording, as i believe most people are be able to understand my meaning. At some point I have to assume willful misunderstanding on your part
throw10920•1mo ago
OK, now you're just lying. In the parent thread you said:

> To say that israel invests in defense is at least 1/4 untrue, since the US sends billions every year.

You are clearly claiming that because Israel's defense budget isn't entirely their own spending, that that claim is not entirely true.

Then someone else responded:

> That the US contributes doesn’t take away from the billions Israel did and does invest

If that hadn't been your claim, then you would have agreed with this. But you didn't - you responded and doubled down and made it extremely clear that that was what you were saying[1]:

> Actually it does? It takes about 1/4 away.

Given how incredibly clear you were about your claims, the "revised" statement:

> The defensive and offensive capabilities of Israel is about 1/4 larger because of american tax dollars not their own spending.

...is objectively and factually different.

It's not me who's misunderstanding - given not only the repeated statements that reinforced exactly the same point, and other commentators interpreting it actually the same (because they can read) - it's you who are lying about your original words.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46452929

kennywinker•1mo ago
I am saying the same thing in every post I have made about this, and you’re getting tripped up by something and i can’t figure out what. Anyway, nothing more to say here.
buran77•1mo ago
> the Gazan government strategically uses humans shields

This just means Israel knows they're hitting women and children every time they send a bomb their way.

> the majority of Palestinians still support starting this war

Palestine isn't a democracy with well documented preferences. Israel is though, so why don't you say that a majority of Israelis are fine with the killing of women and children in Gaza?

elcritch, you're beating around the bush but strongly suggesting there's a reasonable justification (not just an explanation) for killing women and children if it suits someone's needs. Does this apply just to Israel killing people in Gaza or universally valid? Because I distinctly remember the US going to war over WMD that never existed. So elcritch, are you saying US women and children are fair game now?

JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> are you saying US women and children are fair game now?

Women have been serving in combat roles in the U.S. military for decades now…

buran77•1mo ago
I was obviously referring to civilians. I'll try to spell things out for you more clearly next time.
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
1) The average death per bomb was less than 1. Strikes mostly hit things which had already been evacuated.

2) When human shields get hit we blame the side that put them in harm's way, not the side that harmed them. Just look at the criminal trials in police actions--a hostage dies when SWAT hits a place, the murder rap lands on the person who took the hostage even if it turns out to be a police bullet in the hostage.

And your note about WMD--said WMD existed. On paper. We read the paper, didn't realize it was underlings lying to Saddam.

buran77•1mo ago
> said WMD existed. On paper.

So they didn't.

> a hostage dies when SWAT hits a place, the murder rap lands on the person who took the hostage even if it turns out to be a police bullet in the hostage.

The murder wrap doesn't fall on the SWAT shooter even when they shoot completely unarmed, innocent people, in their own home. So all your example says is that SWAT gets gets a free pass for murder no matter what. All it takes is for someone to anonymously say "LorenPechtel is a terrorist, he's planning to blow up some children at this address right now" and your chances are slim.

eli_gottlieb•1mo ago
> there's a reasonable justification (not just an explanation) for killing women and children if it suits someone's needs

The Law of Armed Conflict specifies exactly when it considers such a reasonable justification to exist, which is not "never". You don't get to plop down women and children in front of military installations and go "neener neener" like you're a child on the school playground.

buran77•1mo ago
> a reasonable justification

Sure Eli, and I'm sure you're not biased at all, but when you find so many "reasonable" reasons to kill thousands and thousands of civilians, women and children included, and you never ask yourself any questions, there's nothing more anybody else needs to know about you.

The comparison writes itself and when it doesn't, you make it obvious. You wouldn't be the first person who finds justification for something like this.

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Nitpick here: Your link #1 turns out to have been being manipulated by Hamas.

I do agree the Hamas strategy was explicitly about getting civilians killed, though.

XorNot•1mo ago
Defensive weapons technology is how you get less conflict though.

When some idiot in the ME decides to shoot something at Israel, the character of the response demanded by the population depends heavily on whether any Israelis die or property is destroyed.

Israel didn't aggressively bomb Gaza till October 7 killed a lot of Israelis, even though they were regularly shooting down Hamas launched rockets with Iron Dome.

There is a practical gulf in political and diplomatic options depending on if an attack lands or does not, so much so that whether or not someone can shoot down incoming weaponry is a factor in some diplomatic decisions (I.e. Iran firing missiles at US bases in Qatar).

richardwhiuk•1mo ago
It’s not clear that’s true. States which don’t fear being attacked are more likely to attack other states
XorNot•1mo ago
Frankly where's the evidence of this? My country of Australia has no fear of being attacked, yet we haven't launched an endeavor of conquest of South East Asia.'

Real life doesn't break down into simple narratives. The facts in the Middle East are that post-October 7 Israel aggressively bombarded Gaza at a scale and intensity where it did not previously, and a substantial chunk of the population supported that. In particular, it felt compelled to significantly escalate kinetic action against Hamas and Iran where it had not previously.

Post 9/11 the US aggressively invaded 2 sovereign nations it otherwise had little interest in and occupied them for 20 years.

These are all scales and levels of military action which were precipitated by successful attacks that killed civilians. If 9/11 hijackers had been stopped in the planning stage, does the US still invade Afgahnistan? Probably not - it wasn't on anyone's cards. Iraq maybe but the conditions were set by that strike hitting the way it did.

LtWorf•1mo ago
> My country of Australia has no fear of being attacked, yet we haven't launched an endeavor of conquest of South East Asia.'

You would have done it if you thought you could get away with it and had sufficient power.

blitzar•1mo ago
> My country of Australia has no fear of being attacked

You should watch some Sky News Australia; at least once a week there is a special report on how to prepare for China's invasion - which is never more than two weeks away.

tremon•1mo ago
> Defensive weapons technology is how you get less conflict though.

I'm not convinced. Responding purely defensively allows your attacker to systematically probe every weakness in your defenses without risk of harm to themselves (e.g. how Russia is playing cat&mouse with the EU).

throw-12-16•1mo ago
Life is not fair.
hersko•1mo ago
Country A attacks vastly more powerful neighbor. They have no defensive infrastructure (for civilians), no plans for minimizing civilian deaths, no hope of actually winning the war they started. There strategy is to fight in a dense urban environment among their own civilians while firing thousands of unguided rockets at their enemy, knowing the retaliation is going to be horrific with no way for them to stop it (other than surrendering, but they would rather all die).

Country B has possibly the best missile defense system in the world; mainly because their neighbors shoot unguided rockets into their city. They work to defend their citizens at all costs even with expensive missiles and a protracted military campaign. They design cutting edge laser missile defense to help them alleviate the burden of protecting their citizens. The only reason they do not have to completely annihilate their neighbor who's shooting rockets at them is because they are able to intercept most of them. If those rockets were actually landing and causing tens of thousands of civilian casualties their retaliation would have to be far more deadly.

People on the internet: "actually its the civilians from country A who need defenses"

recroad•1mo ago
Country A is resisting a 75 year violent occupation and apartheid (see stats posted earlier) and currently suffering genocide. Anyone denying that is no different than anyone denying the holocaust - equally vile and reprehensible. But everyone somehow seems to conveniently forget that part. Don't take my word for it, list of apartheid and genocide reports below.

The reason this doesn't make the discourse, even on communities like Hacker News which are supposed to be "smart", is because of decades of the West being brainwashed to the point where Islamophobia is normalized and ubiquitous.

Genocide accusations:

- Amnesty International - https://zeteo.com/p/amnesty-concludes-israel-genocide-gaza

- Human Rights Watch - https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/12/19/israels-crime-exterminat...

- Médecins Sans Frontières (Doctors Without Borders) - https://msf.org.uk/issues/gaza-genocide

- University Network for Human Rights - https://www.humanrightsnetwork.org/projects/genocide-in-gaza

- B'Tselem - https://zeteo.com/p/israeli-human-rights-group-says-israel

- Al-Haq - https://www.alhaq.org/publications/25781.html

- Palestinian Centre for Human Rights - https://pchrgaza.org/category/genocide-against-gaza/

- Physicians for Human Rights - Israel

- United Nations Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied - Palestinian Territory - https://zeteo.com/p/united-nations-un-gaza-genocide-israel

- The International Association of Genocide Scholars - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/sep/01/israel-committ...

Apartheid accusations:

- Amnesty International - https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2022/03/israel-opt-is...

- Human Rights Watch - https://www.hrw.org/report/2021/04/27/threshold-crossed/isra...

- B'Tselem - https://www.btselem.org/publications/fulltext/202101_this_is...

- Al-Haq - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/16183.html

- Palestinian Centre for Human Rights (PCHR) - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/16183.html

- Al Mezan Centre for Human Rights - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/19761.html

- Addameer Prisoner Support and Human Rights Association - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/20931.html

- UN Special Rapporteur Michael Lynk - https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2022/03/israels-55-y...

- UN Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination (CERD) - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/16324.html

- Human Sciences Research Council of South Africa - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/7207.html

- International Federation for Human Rights (FIDH) - Referenced in multiple coalition statements

- BADIL Resource Center - https://badil.org/press-releases/592.html

- Cairo Institute for Human Rights Studies (CIHRS) - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/17012.html

- Palestinian Coalition of 8 Organizations - https://www.alhaq.org/advocacy/20931.html

eli_gottlieb•1mo ago
You don't get to "resist" your neighbors existence because you want to claim their territory for yourself.
recroad•1mo ago
Start with the Wikipedia entry on the subject and then make your way down slowly to what Israeli historians have to say on the subject.

Ilan Pappé

Avi Shlaim

Simha Flapan

jameshilliard•1mo ago
Why did you leave out Benny Morris[0] from your list of New Historians[1]?

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benny_Morris

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Historians

recroad•1mo ago
No problem, include him. Also include Norm Finklestein and watch their debate hosted by Lex Fridman.
jameshilliard•1mo ago
> Also include Norm Finklestein

Why would he be one of the New Historians? Norman Finkelstein isn't really even a historian, he's more of a activist/political scientist if anything AFAIU.

> watch their debate hosted by Lex Fridman.

I've seen it, it's pretty clear if you dig into the facts that the accusations of genocide against Israel are not supported by the evidence.

It's also quite clear that people like Norman Finkelstein like to cherry-pick facts(often from books written by Benny Morris) to support a particular narrative. Benny Morris tends to take a more balanced view of the history in general which has a lot of nuance.

recroad•1mo ago
See earlier links listed including by Jewish genocide experts. But nah, you know more than them because you chatgpt’d it.
recroad•1mo ago
Even a cursory search of spending 5 minutes on their academic careers would have given you a better understanding of who the better scholar is.

Of course Benny Morris takes a more balanced view. He’s trying hard to make up for the imbalance.

jameshilliard•1mo ago
> Even a cursory search of spending 5 minutes on their academic careers would have given you a better understanding of who the better scholar is.

Yeah, one is a real historian and the other calls a Holocaust denier "a very good historian"[0].

> Of course Benny Morris takes a more balanced view. He’s trying hard to make up for the imbalance.

Maybe neutral is a better word, Benny Morris is certainly much less of an activist than someone like Norman Finkelstein.

[0] https://www.thejc.com/news/norman-finkelstein-praises-holoca...

eli_gottlieb•1mo ago
The guy actually said "Israeli historians", not "New Historians", which means he's probably not reading the people the New Historians were responding to. He's just looking for legitimation propaganda for antizionist politics.
jameshilliard•1mo ago
> The guy actually said "Israeli historians", not "New Historians"

The 3 historians he listed were 3 out of the 4 most well known "New Historians", but him leaving out Benny Morris(arguably the most well known of the New Historians and the one who coined the term itself) was a bit of a red flag to me that he's cherry-picking sources to support a particular narrative. Technically the "New Historians" are a subset of "Israeli historians".

> he's probably not reading the people the New Historians were responding to.

Yeah, I'm sure he isn't, although I'm probably also less familiar with those original historians myself as well since I was born after the point in which the "New Historians" had access to the declassified archives.

Even amongst the New Historians there's a lot of disagreements on things like which side has been more of an impediment to peace and a number of other key issues, with Benny Morris often being highly critical of say Ilan Pappé.

My own views of the history of the conflict and Zionism in general are probably broadly in line with those of Benny Morris. It's important to at least try and understand the history/perspectives of both sides of these conflict. At the same time it's worrying that even a lot of otherwise intelligent individuals would fall for rather overt antisemitic propaganda.

eli_gottlieb•1mo ago
I've taken courses and read books on this subject and lived it in-person. Don't name-drop propagandists at me. Make a substantive point about what statute you're claiming makes it legal to invade Israel in an attempt to conquer it and wipe it out.
sporkxrocket•1mo ago
That territory is rightfully Palestinian, and always have been. You absolutely have a right to resist an occupying force on stolen land.
eli_gottlieb•1mo ago
Both sentences are incorrect.
sporkxrocket•1mo ago
History says otherwise.
jameshilliard•1mo ago
> Country A is resisting a 75 year violent occupation and apartheid (see stats posted earlier) and currently suffering genocide.

Apartheid is race based discrimination, not citizenship based like what happens in Israel/Palestine. Making an accusation of genocide does not mean there actually is a genocide.

> Anyone denying that is no different than anyone denying the holocaust - equally vile and reprehensible.

Comparing the holocaust(an actual genocide) as something "equally vile and reprehensible" to the situation in Israel/Palestine is equivalent to a form of holocaust denial IMO.

Claims like these are a rather overt display of antisemitic propaganda.[0]

> Don't take my word for it, list of apartheid and genocide reports below.

There is a long list of organizations that have thrown away their credibility with dubious accusations for various reasons.

> The reason this doesn't make the discourse, even on communities like Hacker News which are supposed to be "smart", is because of decades of the West being brainwashed to the point where Islamophobia is normalized and ubiquitous.

It seems you're trying to downplay the very real threat from Islamic extremists that Israel faces.

[0] https://www.ajc.org/news/the-gaza-auschwitz-comparison-a-mor...

recroad•1mo ago
How about you and I stay out of it and let international organizations whose job it is to monitor this have their say? Are you ok with that? You trust Amnesty and the UN?

The sign of a brainwashed person is to equate this occupation with Islamic terrorism. Unfortunately, you have fallen to propaganda by even bringing that up. Jews and Muslims have lived together peacefully for hundreds of years prior to 1948. There has been nothing but respect between those two religions going back for as long as one can remember. The change is Zionism. That’s what the problem is, not radical Islam or radical Judaism. Zionism != Judaism.

jameshilliard•1mo ago
> How about you and I stay out of it and let international organizations whose job it is to monitor this have their say? Are you ok with that?

Why would I blindly trust the conclusions of "international organizations"? Especially ones that have shown themselves to have very little integrity?

> You trust Amnesty and the UN?

The same Amnesty international that has shown to have serious issues with bias across multiple conflicts?[0][1]

The same UN which has thrown away essentially all of their credibility when it comes to anything related to Israel?[2]

Obviously I would never blindly trust these organizations.

> The sign of a brainwashed person is to equate this occupation with Islamic terrorism.

There is an occupation because the Palestinians have refused to negotiate a final peace agreement, Israel clearly can not unilaterally end the occupation as they did in 2005 with Gaza and expect a positive outcome.

> Jews and Muslims have lived together peacefully for hundreds of years prior to 1948.

Where have they lived together peacefully as equals for hundreds of years prior to 1948?

> There has been nothing but respect between those two religions going back for as long as one can remember.

There's a long history of conflict between Jews and Muslims throughout the years, obviously in recent years it has been worse in a lot of ways.[3][4]

> The change is Zionism. That’s what the problem is, not radical Islam or radical Judaism. Zionism != Judaism.

So Jews wanting to have a state where they wouldn't have to live as second class citizens[5] and have a right to self determination was the problem? Why would it be so hard for Muslims to accept the existence of a Jewish majority state when there are plenty of Muslim majority states?

After the holocaust it's entirely reasonable that Jews would reject being forced to live as a minority in a Muslim majority state.

[0] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/28/amnesty-intern...

[1] https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2025/03/ngos-anti-...

[2] https://unwatch.org/2025-unga-resolutions-on-israel-vs-rest-...

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1517_Hebron_attacks

[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1834_looting_of_Safed

[5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dhimmi

recroad•1mo ago
Alright, good luck with doing your own “research”. You’re in the same category of conspiracy theorists as MAGA. Nothing I can say will change your mind.
jameshilliard•1mo ago
I'm not the one effectively denying the holocaust.
recroad•1mo ago
Every accusation is a confession.

You’re not “effectively” denying it. You’re just denying it.

jameshilliard•1mo ago
> Country A is resisting a 75 year violent occupation and apartheid (see stats posted earlier) and currently suffering genocide. Anyone denying that is no different than anyone denying the holocaust - equally vile and reprehensible.

You stated what Israel is doing is as "equally vile and reprehensible" as the holocaust, this is an absolutely insane comparison.

The Nazis tried to exterminate the Jews, they wiped out something like half the worldwide population of Jews...on the other hand during the Israeli occupation the Palestinian population over the years has increased drastically.

The holocaust has very little in common with the Israeli occupation of Palestine, and one certainly can't realistically claim Israel doesn't have the military means to exterminate the Palestinians if they wanted to either. Israel clearly doesn't have that sort of genocidal intent towards Palestinians. You can probably make an argument that some of the more extremist elements in Israel want to ethnically cleanse Palestinians but that's not remotely equivalent to the holocaust.

By making this comparison you're effectively denying the holocaust by downplaying it and saying it's somehow equivalent to the Israeli occupation of Palestine. Making this comparison is a well known antisemitic trope.

sporkxrocket•1mo ago
> Apartheid is race based discrimination,

Which is exactly what Israel is. They literally have a term for it: "birthright"

Israel has been committing genocide for 80 years. No amount of tossing around the fake term of "antisemitism" is going to change that.

hersko•1mo ago
Comparing the holocaust to Gaza is insane. What the allies did to Axis citizens during the course of world war two is far worse than what Israel is doing to Gazans (let alone what the Nazis did to Jews or Japanese to Chinese citizens) and the Allies were fully justified.
LtWorf•1mo ago
You just got wrong who attacked whom.
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
The defenses they need are against Hamas.

Nobody else comes close to Israel in protecting civilians in combat zones.

And let's take a critical eye to that data you linked. I'm having a hard time with the filters but we can see enough without: The fatalities are nearly 90% male. That implies that probably 80% are in some fashion combatants or combatant-adjacent.

And note that the death toll for the recent war includes all deaths. Natural causes, internal combat, rockets falling short (historically, ~25% of Gaza deaths, but probably not this time), combatants and civilians. As well as some that are fake.

And Hamas had the power to end the war at any time--return the hostages, the world would quickly have stopped Israel. Thus we can conclude that Hamas wanted the war despite what it did to their population.

belter•1mo ago
>> Nobody else comes close to Israel in protecting civilians in combat zones.

"Israeli military’s own data indicates civilian death rate of 83% in Gaza war" - https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2025/aug/21...

jameshilliard•1mo ago
> "Israeli military’s own data indicates civilian death rate of 83% in Gaza war"

The way they came up with this 83% figure is insane, they are essentially claiming everyone killed that hasn't been identified as a named fighter in one specific Israeli military intelligence database is assumed to be a civilian, this logic is of course blatantly misleading as one would not expect Israel to have the capability to identify the name of each and every enemy combatant in a war zone. On top of that the total number killed is a figure published by the Hamas run Gaza Health Ministry which is well known to have major accuracy issues.

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
You only are identifying half the problem.

That list was of those both identified to be terrorist and identified to be dead. Thus, not only does it not count the unidentified dead but it also does not count the identified but not established to be terrorist.

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Not only is this a tremendously inaccurate measure of what happened but even if true it would still be better than typical. Reality is 90%+ civilian.
phs318u•1mo ago
“Combatant adjacent”

That’s some newspeak right there.

Tell me, given all adult, non-ultra-orthodox, Jewish Israelis, regardless of gender, must mandatorily serve in the military and remain reservists for decades, does this mean most Jewish adults are “combatant adjacent”?

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
It's not newspeak.

War has a huge logistics tail. That logistics tail is a completely valid target, often considered the primary target in western tactics. (Look at the original Russian attempt to seize Kyiv--Ukraine didn't attack the tanks, it cut them off. The guy driving the fuel truck for those tanks is combatant adjacent.)

phs318u•1mo ago
Were all the dead women and children “combatant adjacent”? You implied most of those killed were. I’m challenging that assertion. If you keep shifting the definition of your own terms there’s no point having a conversation.
testing43523•1mo ago
Except when the bombardment comes from space.

Golden Dome is planning large constellations of lasers like this in constant orbit, as well as hypersonic warheads able to target any spot on Earth within 90 seconds https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Dome_(missile_defense_s...

It's explicitly an offensive technology (and of course Musk has been involved)

JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
The only similarity between Golden Dome and Iron Beam is in their branding. An orbital conventional launch platform shares almost nothing with a land-based small-arms directed-energy one.
choult•1mo ago
It's Trump's version of Reagan's Star Wars - it's all bluster that we will not see any result of, and it will be quietly shelved by future governments.
mikeyouse•1mo ago
Only after billions (trillions?) of dollars have been doled out to favored allies of the President though.
testing43523•1mo ago
Elon Musk already made a few $B on it so far, but he clearly has sights on $T.
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
The economics have been favorable to attackers for a while. Maybe precision systems like this can help to shift things in favor of the defenders.
PaulHoule•1mo ago
Lasers need a straight path through clean air. Israel is a favorable location because Tel Aviv gets 200 or so sunny days a year, but if there are clouds this won’t work or will have to fire at the last moment.

As for drones, they’ll fly lower to the ground to reduce the line of sight.

ThePowerOfFuet•1mo ago
>Israeli civilians have faced bombardment by tens of thousands of rockets from Gaza for the last 20 years [1].

There's a reason that's been happening, and it's not technical in nature. Technical solutions are thus unlikely to successfully address the root cause.

mupuff1234•1mo ago
Technical solutions can lead to diplomatic solutions as it changes the power dynamics.

Will it solve the "root cause"? Probably not, but that's because there's no single "root cause", but it still might lead to some diplomatic resolution.

snickerbockers•1mo ago
This does not change any power dynamics. The only time the iron dome has ever come close to failing on a systematic level was when they ran out of interceptors during their own unprovoked war against iran.
mupuff1234•1mo ago
Imagine a scenario where israel doesn't need bomb shelters or sirens since rockets are destroyed almost instantly. Right now even if iron dome works it still greatly disrupts the day to day life in israel (not to mention the pure financial burden of interception)

Now I doubt the technology is anywhere close to that now, but in 10-20 years alongside other technological advancements? Who knows.

snickerbockers•1mo ago
Their constant warmongering is why they constantly are being bombarded with rockets.

That you're primarily concerned with disruption to life and financial burden rather than casualties and infrastructure indicates that iron dome is already capable of preventing these rockets from being a serious threat.

The absolute asymmetry of every war they fight is proof enough that the only real solution is a commitment to negotiations and diplomacy. Palestine has under constant siege since long before I was born and they still haven't given up despite having the worst kdr of the last 80 years. They don't care about the laser dome, they will keep fighting.

Also I have doubts about this laser boondoggle, its far more susceptible to atmospheric disturbance and flack than a surface-to-air missile and it relies upon having access to a stable source of electricity during an air raid.

mupuff1234•1mo ago
Disruption to life and financial burden are serious threats if they occur on a constant basis and not just one off.
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Leftist fantasy.

Diplomacy only works if both sides desire peace.

The reality:

Israel desires to avoid a continuation of the Holocaust.

Iran desires stirring up trouble as a means of taking over countries, and uses the conflict with Israel as a justification. It's working fine for Iran, why would they agree to peace? They never have, just some stuff playing us for fools. I don't support The Felon but tearing up the Iran agreement was a stopped clock thing.

The left thinks everything can be solved with enough jaw, jaw. The right thinks everything can be solved with enough war, war. Both are wrong.

ThePowerOfFuet•1mo ago
>Israel desires to avoid a continuation of the Holocaust.

Then why the UN-recognized genocide of Palestinians?

mhb•1mo ago
You're seriously asking why the Arab countries who would be thrilled to see Israel vanish "recognized" a "genocide"?
FunnyUsername•1mo ago
"UN" is a vague term for a bunch of forums and other bureaucracy, so "UN-recognized" doesn't really make sense.
nathanlied•1mo ago
When Iran directly, materially, and openly, supports groups or organizations that have as an overt stated goal to destroy Israel, and actively work towards it (both with indiscriminate attacks against civilians, and building infrastructure for future invasions/attacks), I don't think the war is necessarily 'unprovoked'.

We may say that it was unproductive, badly conducted, or a lot of other things, but saying it was unprovoked is like saying that Ukraine has no reasons to attack Iran and/or Belarus. They do have those reasons, because both of those countries directly and materially support their attackers. It just might not be productive to do so (and indeed, Ukraine seems to believe it isn't).

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
They ran out of interceptors on 10/7.

And they didn't provoke a war with Iran. Israel struck those arming Hezbollah. They got somebody high up in the Iranian chain of command. Iran responded with major Geneva violations.

newsclues•1mo ago
Part of the issue is that it makes it more possible to launch a first strike attack without fear of suffering blows in retaliation, and gives one side of conflict the overmatch that enables leaders to start a conflict thinking they can win without repercussions
newsclues•1mo ago
For the downvotes https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2023-09/features/delusions-a...
jameshilliard•1mo ago
Missile defense doesn't really help much for mutually assured destruction scenarios, for Israel it makes more sense due most conflicts they are involved in being much more asymmetric.
thinkcontext•1mo ago
Colombian narcos have been using drones against the state, they tally 58 dead, 400 injured. This is a big problem that is going to get a lot bigger quickly. Colombia likely can't afford many fancy defenses and anyway they are likely to be of limited effectiveness where there are no front line.

https://archive.md/pW3kL WSJ

AbuAssar•1mo ago
you have the audacity to play the victim card for Israil after the whole world -including you- witnessed live and in HD for over two years what they have done to Gaza poeple?
za3faran•1mo ago
The hypocrisy is astounding. Even to this very day, how many Gazans have been slaughtered since the so called "ceasefire"? No one bats an eye.
yoavm•1mo ago
Do you think Israeli civilians shouldn't be able to defend themselves from Hamas' rockets? If yes - why? If not - what exactly is it that you find so problematic with the parent post?
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
What you don't understand is the carnage in Gaza is self-inflicted. Hamas attacked knowing what would happen. And knowing that every dead Palestinian was a weapon to use against Israel in the propaganda war. Thus they did everything they could get away with to maximize dead Palestinians.
sporkxrocket•1mo ago
Palestinians have a right to defend themselves. Israel is an illegitimate state, there is not "defensive technology" as far as they're concerned. Anything that perpetuates Zionism, is by definition offensive and a violation of human rights.
xg15•1mo ago
Someone should give people in Gaza or the West Bank or Lebanon the same tech.
judah•1mo ago
Gaza (Hamas), the West Bank (Fatah), and Lebanon (Hezbollah) are the reason this technology is needed in the first place: violent religious fundamentalists firing cheap rockets at Jewish cities because of religious hatred. Over 16,000 rocket attacks on Israel last year alone.

Thanks to the Iron Dome technology, nearly 90% of such attacks were intercepted, saving thousands of lives.

This new Iron Beam technology is more precise and cheaper, and will likely save even more lives.

xg15•1mo ago
That's not how it looks like though with the way Israel acts like the judge, jury and executioner of the region. You get the feeling that only Israeli lives count in the Middle East.
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
Does a reference to "...the judge, jury and executioner..." really make sense in armed conflict? Is there really a judge or a jury? There isn't really even an executioner, in the sense of a lawful delegate tasked with carrying out the result of adjudication.

One of the reasons armed conflict is bad is there is really no justice in it and no time for justice. Justice starts to be possible when security is established, and security is established through armed conflict or a strong norm not to get into it -- as we see presently in Europe, where many countries with meaningful territorial losses and weird borders (exclaves, &c) have elected to just never settle those things.

LightBug1•1mo ago
Back when decent civilization was a thing, there were rules of engagement, conduct, the pursuit of security, and strategic goals which didn't include active genocide of civilians.

Now, granted, we've witnessed horrible things in wars that don't match up to order and clarity of my previous sentence. But there were end goals that made sense.

Sorry, genocide, apartheid and the establishment of a religious-fascist state at the behest of Israeli ring-wing fascists that wouldn't put a foot wrong in Hitlers RKF, isn't an end goal I'd say justifies the means, ends or anything in between.

The establishment of security to the denial of all else, isn't the only dish on the table.

jdiez17•1mo ago
> Back when decent civilization was a thing, there were rules of engagement, conduct, the pursuit of security, and strategic goals which didn't include active genocide of civilians.

What period of human history are you referring to exactly?

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Hamas chooses to fight in urban locations. And keeps the civilians in place at gunpoint.

Consider an attack for which Israel was blamed for a large number of civilian casualties. Israel had given warning they were going to hit the building, get out. Reality: Hamas ordered all the neighbors to rush to the roof of the building to keep Israel from hitting it. Too slow, they were still inside when the bomb landed.

LightBug1•1mo ago
Even if that were true - and it's likely true in some cases - the disregard Israel has shown has been appalling. You don't get out of this by blaming Hamas. You simply don't. If you believe you do - I'll be writing you off as a disgusting apologist.

I'm not going to rehash the war crimes Israel has committed during the last two years. It's likely a waste of time as you already appear to be said apologist. A useful tool to those I don't see as any different to Nazi expansionists ...

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Disregard?

Always based on nonsense. The number that matters is civilians per combatant--and for urban combat where there hasn't been an evacuation Israel far outperforms every other country. Every other--they make us look bad.

LightBug1•1mo ago
Ok, thanks, so the sun shines out of Israel's ass and they can do no wrong.

Got it. Thanks for your input.

Talking of disregarding ...

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
You're disregarding.

We have a lot of incidents frame by the press as being wrongful Israeli actions. Most of them turn out to be garbage. And even uncontested casualty numbers show Israel did better than we do.

I'm not an Israeli apologist, but I don't feel that I'm competent to tell the world's best performer that they're wrong.

8note•1mo ago
you could alternatively pount towards israeli expansionism, which is a bit more likely than religious extremism. demolish peoples homes and kidnap their families, and theyre gonna respond in whatever way they can.

i expect the iron beam is going to make a lot more deaths, just of people israelis dont consider human. wooo

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Israeli expansionism would be easy to stop if there were some reason to. But Israel knows that it's just a pretext, the war exists because Israel exists. Thus it is not worth the effort and political capital to stop the settlers. And note that the problem is blown far out of proportion--most "settlers" live in Israeli cities. Most "settler attacks" look an awful lot like self defense.
ignoramous•1mo ago
> violent religious fundamentalists firing ... cities because of religious hatred

Some tend to be more introspective:

  Shahak's Jewish Fundamentalism in Israel picked up on the theme in explaining its pervasive, destructive influence in Israeli politics, the military and society. He noted that substituting German or Aryan for Jewish and non-Jews for Jews makes it easy to see how a superiority doctrine made an earlier genocide possible and is letting another happen now. Shahak called all forms of bigotry morally reprehensible and said: "Any form of racism, discrimination and xenophobia becomes more potent and politically influential if it is taken for granted by the society which indulges in it." For Israeli Jews, he believed, "The support of democracy and human rights is... meaningless or even harmful and deceitful when it does not begin with self-critique and with support of human rights when they are violated by one's own group. Any support of human rights for non-Jews whose rights are being violated by the 'Jewish state' is as deceitful as the support of human rights by a Stalinist..."

  Kook was Israel's first chief rabbi. In his honour, and to continue his teachings, the extremist Merkaz Harav (the Rabbi's Centre) was founded in 1924 as a yeshiva or fundamentalist religious college. It teaches that, "non-Jews living under Jewish law in Eretz Yisrael (the Land of Israel) must either be enslaved as water carriers and wood hewers, or banished, or exterminated."

  Chief military rabbi, Brigadier General Avichai Rontzki, called Operation Cast Lead a "religious war" in which it was "immoral" to show mercy to an enemy of "murderers". Many others feel the same way, prominently among them graduates of Hesder Yeshivat schools that combine extremist religious indoctrination with military service to defend the Jewish state.

  Others in Israel teach the extremist notion that the 10 Commandments don't apply to non-Jews. So killing them in defending the homeland is acceptable, and according to Rabbi Dov Lior, chairman of the Jewish Rabbinic Council: "There is no such thing as enemy civilians in war time. The law of our Torah is to have mercy on our soldiers and to save them... A thousand non-Jewish lives are not worth a Jew's fingernail."

  In June 2009, US Hasidic Rabbi Manis Friedman voiced a similar sentiment in calling on Israel to kill Palestinian "men, women and children". "I don't believe in Western morality, ie don't kill civilians or children, don't destroy holy sites, don't fight during the holiday seasons, don't bomb cemeteries, and don't shoot until they shoot first because it is immoral. The only way to fight a moral war is the Jewish way: destroy their holy sites. Kill men, women and children (and cattle)."

  ...

  Though a minority, Israel's religious community wields considerable influence politically, in the military and society overall.

  ...

   How the future balance of power shifts from one side to the other will greatly influence the makeup of future Israeli governments and determine whether peaceful co- existence can replace over six decades of conflict and repression. So far it hasn't, and nothing suggests it will any time soon; not while extremist Zionists run the government, serve prominently in the Israeli army, and -- according to critics -- are gaining more power incrementally. 
I mean... let's not throw stones from an equally spectacular glass house.
judah•1mo ago
What a remarkably misleading copypasta you have there.

Rav Kook was not Israel's first rabbi. He died in 1935 - a full 18 years before Israel's rebirth.

Nor was Kook the founder of Zionism. The belief that Jews should be able to return to our historic homeland has been a belief and conviction for religious and secular Jews for at least two millenia.

That you can find individuals, such as a R. Friedman (not even an Israeli!) with extreme views should not surprise anyone. Nutpicking is easy. Jews, like any other group, have fools and extremists in their rank. Israel is a plural democracy with 2 million Arabs, 7 million Jews, thousands of Christians and Druze, all with representation in the multiparty Knesset.

Hamas's evil, however, is not nutpicking. Hamas' founding charter in its opening paragraphs calls for the destruction of Israel and its conquest of the land in the name of Islam. It is genuinely intrinsic to the organization.

xg15•1mo ago
As I wrote here https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46451250 , have a look at the current (!) cabinet members.

People who are actively endorsing kahanism are in the center of power today.

xg15•1mo ago
"A few wild weeds"

https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/2026-01-02/ty-article/.premi...

LightBug1•1mo ago
From where I'm seated, Israel needs to be de-Nazified - let alone given Iron Dome technology. Perhaps then they wouldn't need the technology to begin with.
sporkxrocket•1mo ago
Zionism is an illegal, genocidal, racist ideology. It exists 100% on land stolen from the Palestinians. They have every right to resist the foreign occupation on their land.
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
They do receive a lot of assistance, actually -- including military assistance -- but it is almost never put to defensive use.

You can lead a horse to water...

frnkng•1mo ago
Someone will find a reflexive material to put on the drone. Then you have a multi kw laser that hits randomly anywhere when intercepting drones.

Also I wonder why it is not common to run interception drones that automatically fly towards incoming drones and captures them mid air. Like a wasp is capturing other insects.

So pretty much like the iron dome but not with single use rockets but reusable drones instead.

andy_ppp•1mo ago
So will we get drones coated in mirrors and temperature sensors that automatically move them away from these weapons quickly? Or is the laser just too powerful?
bawolff•1mo ago
Its really hard to make near perfect mirrors that stay perfect in rough conditions. Mirrors arent a reasonable defense to laser weapons outside of scifi.
gaanbal•1mo ago
what about mirrors with tiny little windshield wipers?
MomsAVoxell•1mo ago
Clouds of mirror dust.
mrbluecoat•1mo ago
Probably a dumb question, but could a ploy drone fitted with a directional mirror redirect the beam back to the source to damage or destroy it?
SirIsaacGluten•1mo ago
No, but an AI drone like the one Turkey has can probably detect the source of the beam by hiding behind some sacrificial/decoy drones and watching them blow up then shooting a missile at the laser source. It's not like the laser is coming out of thin air.
cwillu•1mo ago
Shooting down missiles is what this is for.
tguvot•1mo ago
actually it's for shooting anything that is close enough and can be intercepted. during the war with hezbollah (drones were issue due to topography) lower power version of iron beam was deployed on trial bases and scored around 40 intercepts
uf00lme•1mo ago
Mirrors are not effective enough. Shielding drones from energy weapons seems like a similar problem to entering Earth’s atmosphere, you want to shield it in a way that will blast away safely and ideally diffuse the laser, so the energy is spread over a larger space. I suspect larger lasers will likely aways win, since there is only so much shielding can do. At which point we could end up with transformers like drones that are built to be broken apart mid flight and yet still deliver damage. I feel like defending drones could become possible with energy weapons but only under ideal weather conditions.
cwillu•1mo ago
I'm not certain, but I think the returned beam would likely be significantly out-of-focus.
andwur•1mo ago
Likely cheaper to just coat the real drones in an aerogel or similar light weight, high thermal resistance material. It's an arms race still, but one with a reasonable amount of asymmetry in favour of an attacker.
JumpCrisscross•1mo ago
> coat the real drones in an aerogel

You’d still have to deal with an asymmetric ablative jet.

bethekidyouwant•1mo ago
Flying disco balls when?
PeterHolzwarth•1mo ago
They certainly have those for radars! Although the reason for using them is different.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corner_reflector

jmward01•1mo ago
The thing that worries me isn't the drone/anti-drone escalation. It is the fact that these weapons aren't actually limited to anti-drone use. Recently we have seen clear examples of countries, including Israel, that will use automatic id technology to mass tag a population. If you then have tools that can automatically track and mass kill, which this type of weapon represents, then we have reached a type of warfare that is new in the world and deeply scary. It isn't hard to imagine a scenario where person x is killed since they are marked as a 'bag guy' and as part of being marked every person they were next to for the last few days was also marked as likely enough to be bad guys to kill as well. All that has to be done is push a button. It is a scary, and unfortunately all to possible, future if not now.
bawolff•1mo ago
It seems incredibly hard to imagine what else you would do with a ground based laser other than shoot at incoming projectiles. What exactly are you expecting the Israelis to do? Change the laws of physics?
steve-atx-7600•1mo ago
I think we’re already there. Sounds like Obama administration hit jobs.
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
It's been possible for a long time.

For antipersonnel use, guns are perfectly adequate and guns on tracking turrets have been widely deployed (for example, CIWS). The underlying technology is a ballistic calculator and a fast panning turret. Modern ballistic calculators, weather stations (a small device about the size of a cellphone), and good quality ammunition allows for incredible precision with small arms -- hitting something 25cm in diameter at 1000m is something people can do with these tools.

A weapon like this can't really "mass kill" -- it is for point targets -- but we have long had tools that can automatically track and kill. Why don't we employ them to shoot at people? We have the tagging technology, &c, as you mention.

One reason is that positive identification really does matter a lot when designing and developing weapon systems that automatically attack something.

The anti-missile use case is one of the most widespread uses for automatically targeted weapons in part because a missile is easily distinguished from other things that should not be killed: it is small, extremely hot, moves extremely fast, generally up in the air and moves towards the defense system. It is not a bird, a person, or even a friendly aircraft. The worst mistake the targeting system can make is shooting down a friendly missile. If a friendly missile is coming at you, maybe you need to shoot it down anyways...

Drones have a different signature from a missile and recognizing them in a way that doesn't confuse them with a bird, a balloon, &c, is different from recognizing missiles -- but here again, the worse thing that happens is you shoot down a friendly drone.

jmward01•1mo ago
CWIS is pretty massive, not that this isn't still big, but I think this is taking a miniaturization turn, is upping the accuracy and number of engagements it can handle significantly and potentially upping the range especially in urban environments. CWIS in an urban environment would cause chaos and a lot of collateral damage to buildings but you can now be very sure that only your intended target is being hit so people could die without all the optics of buildings crashing down. It is much easier to have a war when the cameras don't see the destruction. Positive ID is huge, if you really care about it, but even with perfect positive ID if a government is ok with genocide then everyone is a valid target. Are you a male older than 13? You are a combatant and will be killed once you are in sight. Did someone help you in any way (like your mother of family giving you food?) They are also combatants. It is unfortunately not a stretch with modern tools to see this happening in real time. This weapon is, unfortunately, on an inevitable path.
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
CIWS is big but this has nothing to do with it -- it's actually easier to make a small turret, and small arms precision has been well understood for a long time. Put a 6.5mm Creedmoor on a computer controlled turret -- 6.5mm Creedmoor is generally accepted to be usable to 1km or more.

Range is limited in urban environments because of obstructions -- even the range of CIWS is far too great to be useful.

There hasn't been a real possibility for a long time, I don't think -- it's just not an easy use case.

Are you a male older than 13? You are a combatant and will be killed once you are in sight.

This is exactly the kind of thing that is unworkable.

(A) You don't want to shoot all those people. It's rare if ever the case that even 10% of those males are actually combatants. Even in Germany at the end of the WW2, I doubt it was that high.

(B) What if your own people make a breakthrough and take control of an area, and have all these machines with wildly nonspecific rules shooting at them?

jmward01•1mo ago
Range due to obstacles is greatly overcome with altitude. My point about the 13yo is that -you- think it is unworkable, but a country that doesn't mind the word 'genocide' thinks it is a fine definition. Camera tech quickly went this route right? 'you could mount that camera but we haven't done it and therefor won't' turned into multiple cameras covering every square inch of a city from multiple angles once the tech was easy enough. The 'easy enough' trend is clear here. Miniaturization, precision, ease of maintenance, etc make the reasons this hasn't been done rapidly fall away and make it clear that it will be done. There is a clear argument that is isn't, yet, realistic to be done but this is a clear step in that direction.
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
I don't think there is a clear argument that it isn't realistic to be done from a technology standpoint -- in other words, I don't think this laser meaningfully changes things from a capabilities standpoint. The necessary miniaturization and precision are available.

Now, you may think I have the facts wrong, here -- that we haven't had the kind of precise turret before, or that we can't deliver small arms ammunition with great precision -- but you don't come out and say that: you haven't said I have bad facts.

If we accept that the technical capabilities have been there for a while, then we need another explanation for what the hold up is. I have offered an alternative, which is that it comes down to doctrine or operational issues -- it's not easy to see how to deploy a weapon system that automatically targets people without creating huge practical problems. I offered two concrete cases in my earlier comment. Here again, you haven't really spoken to them: you haven't said, for example, A is not a problem and here's why not. You have just ignored them.

It is really starting to look like you have a story and you are sticking to it.

jmward01•1mo ago
My argument is that bullets move slow, can miss causing obvious damage to surrounding infra that shows up on cameras, that they are loud and that minaturization is important to making this a real trend. You started with CWIS which is massive and has a lot of maintenance. I don't have information on the small precise turrets you mentioned. Please provide it. Either way my arguments still stand. What may have not been done in the past because it was technically possible but not practical is now quickly becoming technically possible and practical and therefore will be built. We are seeing minaturization, simplification and movement towards a weapon system that minimizes camera unfriendly damage while also seeing a massive improvement in surveillance identification and tracking tech. The trend is there and it is pretty clear that it leads to a capability to track a city down to the individual and to be able, at any time, to hit a button to kill a bunch of people. This is a capability that will be developed and what is morally right never stops weapons development, just what is practical. We need to have the discussion sooner rather than later about how to handle these weapons on the battlefield and just as importantly how to keep them away as 'peacekeeping' use in civilian populations.
solidsnack9000•1mo ago
Is sounds like you're saying something that "...was technically possible but not practical..." is no longer impractical, or at least is "...now quickly becoming technically possible and practical...", because of these additional facts that should be considered:

(A) "...bullets move slow, can miss causing obvious damage to surrounding infra..." -- In other words, the precision I say is possible with small arms isn't realistic. This has two consequences:

(A1) The bullets can miss. Consider a bullet on its way to a target 500m way -- it may be in the air for more than half a second. Maybe the target was walking forward at 1m/s and just stops walking forward -- then the bullet will pass 50cm in front of them. This kind of miss is unacceptable can prevents technology like the kind you imagine from being deployed.

(A2) If the bullet misses, it will put a whole in a wall, &c, &c, whereas a laser either (A2A) will not miss or (A2B) won't cause a problem if it misses?

Regarding (A2A) and (A2B), are either or both of them something you had in mind?

(B) "...they are loud..." -- Firearms are loud but it's hard for me to say what you think the contrast or relevance is here. The lasers are silent or nearly so? Or the firearm's sound creates a problem for some other reason?

(C) "...minaturization is important to making this a real trend..." -- Firearms are not small enough. You said earlier that "...I think this is taking a miniaturization turn..." but how small do you think these lasers need to be, for the reality that you're concerned about to come into play?

LorenPechtel•1mo ago
And note an advantage to lasers--when you fire ordinary stuff it falls back. C-RAM is specifically designed that misses detonate while still in the air, but no munition has a 100% fusing rate, you get duds. Nothing falls back from the laser.
Amir_A•1mo ago
Truth is it's already happening, this is how "Lavender" and "Where's Daddy" were used to collectively punish entire families of what a poorly trained AI model thought may or may not be a Hamas fighter
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
Evidence?

And the Lavender system was only deployed once it was doing as good as the humans. It isn't 100%, war never is.

petermcneeley•1mo ago
There isnt much information here. What is the total power per m^2 and what is the frequency (range). As we know the sun alone is 1kW/m^2 over quite a range.
coppsilgold•1mo ago
Laser weapons appear to be advancing rapidly. Once we get to the single digit MW power range, MAD will deteriorate as the ICBM becomes a non-viable nuclear delivery mechanism.

What effect would that have? Will nukes start getting used in wars? Will we see deployment of multi ton NEFP[1] warheads that can strike targets with nuclear-propelled kinetics?

[1] <https://toughsf.blogspot.com/2017/05/nuclear-efp-and-heat.ht...>

Waterluvian•1mo ago
> Once we get to the single digit MW power range, MAD will deteriorate as the ICBM becomes a non-viable nuclear delivery mechanism.

Requires a mountain of evidence and argument.

coppsilgold•1mo ago
The best public arguments I have read:

https://toughsf.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-laser-revolution-pa...

https://toughsf.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-laser-revolution-pa...

bawolff•1mo ago
We are nowhere near that point yet. Small rockets are totally different weapons then ICBM.
tguvot•1mo ago
there was interview with guy from rafael who was head of iron beam project. it looks like they have some plans for dealing with icbm. airborne if I understood correctly
bawolff•1mo ago
I guess airborne would be easier to intercept in their earlier phase before they go super fast, but then you have to have air assets in the right place at the right time.

At their terminal phase icbms go at mach 25, which is pretty hard to shine a laser on for an extended period of time.

tguvot•1mo ago
to deploy it in space can also be an option
29athrowaway•1mo ago
I guess they could use railguns too.
throw2020•1mo ago
Paid for by American taxpayers who don’t have universal healthcare.

https://quincyinst.org/research/u-s-military-aid-and-arms-tr...

nir•1mo ago
A tiny fraction of the US budget which is almost entirely earmarked to be spent buying from US suppliers but sure, the Jews are the reason you have a malfunctioning health system.
wildrhythms•1mo ago
Conflating the state of Israel with "the Jews" is antisemitic. Many Jews do not support the state of Israel whatsoever.
tguvot•1mo ago
just a random poll in canada: 94 per cent of the jewish community said they support Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish state .

Pretty sure you will get similar outcome anywhere else

https://thecjn.ca/news/canadian-jews-overwhelmingly-support-...

yoavm•1mo ago
There's a huge difference between not supporting the current Israeli government and not supporting Israel whatsoever. Many Jews relate with the former, but from my experience it's very few that relate with the latter.
LorenPechtel•1mo ago
The reality is that without Israel it's likely the Jews would be exterminated.
adrian_b•1mo ago
By this logic, if the CEO of a big company with a revenue of 100 billion $ per year steals every year from the company 100 million $ for gifts to some of his/her family members, that does not matter, because it is just 0.1% of the revenue, and perhaps those family members would use a part of the money to buy products of the same company.
adrian_b•1mo ago
Indeed, for any non-US citizen it is very hard to understand why USA has always paid each year a significant aid for Israel.

For anyone who has worked in Israel or who has just visited it, there is no doubt that Israel is one of the richest countries and it has more than enough of its own resources to ensure that it maintains its military superiority against any neighbors.

Israel certainly does not need a permanent aid for that, though of course they would be fools to refuse the many billions of $ they receive as a gift from USA.

Perhaps this aid might have been justified in the initial years after WWII, but it has been a long time since the initial reason cannot have remained true.

Now USA claims that it may have not obtained benefits commensurate to its expenses in the relations with many other countries, even if it is much less clear which were the benefits obtained by USA for paying this aid to Israel every year.

A part of the money paid to Israel is likely to return to some US companies that are friendly to the US government, so this is an indirect method for giving gifts to those companies too, but in other countries USA has been able to obtain such profitable contracts for well-connected US companies in a much cheaper way, just by bribing or blackmailing the local governments, instead of paying the contracts in full with US money.

CrzyLngPwd•1mo ago
Drone tech will adapt, as it has been in the russia/ukraine conflict.

A small, fast, autonomous drone flying between trees and buildings, avoiding obstacles and not flying in a straight line could destroy such an expensive system with very little explosive.

Or a cloud of such drones.

Or launch your attack on a foggy/rainy day.

globalnode•1mo ago
yeah no footage of the system in operation, no demo reel. seems like a feelgood measure. even if such footage existed and was real the things you mention would be cheap and easy.
bouncycastle•1mo ago
drones with mirrors?
MomsAVoxell•1mo ago
First wave of drones explode into clouds of chaff, second wave of drones penetrates the very expensive laser system…
jvanderbot•1mo ago
Its so fun to armchair general drones nowadays.

I think they're hoping this will be useful against long range cruise missile style drones, not hyper agile FPVs. Agile FPVs have not been a major threat from Iran vs Israel.

Does israel get a lot of fog and rain? Might this be part of a layered defense?

tguvot•1mo ago
https://www.rafael.co.il/system/lite-beam/
llm_nerd•1mo ago
This system was originally built as a cheaper version of Iron Dome, useful against dumb, slow, predictable trajectory Hamas rockets. The new drone branding is a twist, but of course it's fully usable against things like the Iranian Shahed drones that are basically slow, prop driven cruise missiles.

If someone got close enough that a normal FPV drone like what is seen in Ukraine was in play, I don't think these laser stations would survive for long. Nape of the Earth followed by a barrage of very inexpensive exploding drones.

bethekidyouwant•1mo ago
This is not gonna be placed within 15 km of a fibre optic operator
ThouYS•1mo ago
I think systems like this will turn drones (or at least, drone swarms) into nothingburgers. We're just one layer deeper into rock paper scissors now
mos87•1mo ago
The Chinese are most likely steaming ahead with the drone armies.
MarkusWandel•1mo ago
What I don't get about these laser defense systems: Doesn't the attacker just have to attack on a foggy day?
FunnyUsername•1mo ago
It's absolutely an issue, although this is outside the visible spectrum and degradation may be a bit less severe compared to visible light.
yoavm•1mo ago
If Hamas could only fire rockets on foggy days, Israel would have many more rockets-free days.
greekrich92•1mo ago
All of the most reasonable and logical threads here have been nuked from orbit
PaulHoule•1mo ago
The real advantage of laser weapons in this role is a very low consumables cost per shot. A few cents of electricity as opposed to an interceptor missile that could be $50k-$1M. Even shooting down missiles with bullets as in

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phalanx_CIWS

can cost about $10k a shot because that thing shoots $30 bullets. That kind of laser can even shoot down artillery shells!

The disadvantage is that the beam is disrupted by poor atmospheric conditions such as clouds and turbulence. If the enemy knows you are using it they will attack when conditions are unfavorable for it. It ought to be backed up by something like "Iron Dome".

An airborne laser can fly above the clouds

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_YAL-1

that one was not so practical because it was powered by mixing two kinds of bleach, which is bad enough when you do it on the ground, worse in the air. The targeting system worked great and I think the assumption was that it would come back when fiber lasers got good enough that it could be electrically powered.

bethekidyouwant•1mo ago
Not much here discussing the actual laser.. it seems to be vaporware? and only the 10 kW one is actually available.
smashah•1mo ago
Hopefully the world's population of human beings can crowdfund this system to protect the survivors of Israel's Bloodthirsty Holocaust of Gaza.
devJdeed•1mo ago
This technology will only yield escalations and human violence. Israel continues to build more of these technologies bringing only more violence more than what we saw in Gaza for 2 years straight. Everywhere where these technologies are being developed are contributing to this human disaster.
metalman•1mo ago
downvotes are exclusivly against any pro palistinian voices, and the eternal zionovictim anti muslim chant goes on and on and on, as the stage is set for the full resumption of the most violent public genocide in all of history.
mabedan•1mo ago
Or, stop starting wars