frontpage.
newsnewestaskshowjobs

Made with ♥ by @iamnishanth

Open Source @Github

fp.

Open in hackernews

U.S. Races to Accomplish Iran Mission Before Munitions Run Out

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-races-to-accomplish-iran-mission-before-munitions-run-out-c014acbc
42•ParentiSoundSys•3h ago

Comments

SilverElfin•3h ago
They used up a lot of the remaining tomahawk inventory apparently. These operations, done without congressional approval, are wasting literal billions. Repositioning multiple carrier groups and spending lots of munitions isn’t cheap. And yet the administration thinks some alleged small scale Somalian fraud deserves all our attention.
lumost•2h ago
If China was to attack Taiwan, now would be the time. The current world order is at least in part based around the notion of the US (and allies) having the military capacity to fight any plausible combination of foes at all times. That this military capacity was used in accordance to a set of rules with input from allies and partners made the system tolerable.

If the US lacks the munitions to fight all of these conflicts, and is unreliable to allies or foes leads to a high likelihood of conflict.

koolala•2h ago
Would allies give the US munitions to stop that possible outcome?
tim-tday•2h ago
Pretty sure they’ll wait about 9 months. They have a schedule after all.
CyanLite2•2h ago
Fortunately, China just decided to fire most of their military leadership and replaced them with inexperienced, but loyal grunts.
Eddy_Viscosity2•1h ago
Isn't that what the US did too?
Ajakks•2h ago
In the scenario you are describing - which is highly plausible, and I agree looks likely, we would use nukes -> just little ones, smaller more "tactical" bombs (they will still make chunks of cities disappear) and we may even tone down the radioactive elements so its not as bad for the environment (just bs of course but there is precedent for doing/saying that).

If we do it right, we publicly announce that we have been cornered, bc of Ukraine and how nice we are, and then we get a bunch of global investment into our military armamemts/munitions (none soon enough to shoot back tho) so we make a huge threat that looks like we are totally bluffing an All In, which of course gets called -> but we are not bluffing tho, hence the little nuke(s).

Russia wont do MAD for the whole world, just bc we took out a third of Shanghai, as a dangerous example, very likely its like a Tehran as our example. Putin might even follow suit with Kiev. Nobody is going to shoot at us with one.

China only has enough nukes to assure their own complete and total destruction. (We would lose cities and enormous population but we would still exist) We have enough nukes to hit every city above a certain size.

We will mention that the "little tactical nuke" we were just "forced to use" (ideally we do this to "save another country", like Taiwan for example) are 1000 times less powerful than a "real nuke" - of which we have thousands and thousands.

Then we do pirate America to shut down international trade for any countries who sanction us - and that should do it.

Obviously we would be doing a lot of very heavy handed propagandizing across the west and demanding our allies do too, - we would also go full 1984 for awhile (with AI tho, not people) bc of stuff like suit case nukes (that will conveniently get used outside of America somewhere 1st)...

I'm actually not kidding all that much at all tbh.

If we were truly out of bullets and it looked like China was about to corner the global economy and take away all our power-> we just won't allow that while we have the ability to prevent it.

The truth is there are many more scenarios where we would use those weapons than we want to admit. I hope we never have to demonstrate.

markus_zhang•1h ago
Ah, such good thought to talk about nukes so lightly. Do not underestimate the number of nukes needed to obliterate a country with 1.3 billion people.
nebula8804•1h ago
There is so much BS on both sides of the aisle so it seems impossible to get a clear picture but didn't Iran prepare better than Venezuela in terms of deployment of Chinese radar and other security defenses? Seems like there has been no conversation whatsoever about Chinese defenses, were they bypassed again? If so, then China must be reassessing. (Again dont know whats real and whats fake anymore)
nathanlied•1h ago
China is being very careful to provide enough support not to be seen as abandoning their trading partners/allies, while keeping the support at a low enough level to not get entangled in conflict or create expectations for future conflicts. They want to be able to paint this as "just business", in spite of any rhetoric they may publicly have. In some cases they'll help more in covert ways (Russia), while others they'll do the bare minimum (Venezuela).

So yes, China did give (note: sell) Iran some hardware, but it's not the most cutting edge tech China has, and it's not in sufficient quantity to make much of a difference.

The US is still ahead of China in a lot of military tech, even if the gap keeps getting narrower.

fma•1h ago
I think this is only true if the United States takes armaments from the Pacific theater.
panny•2h ago
archive link https://archive.is/usjGR
eqvinox•2h ago
Interesting aspect: if the ammo is all used up in Iran, it can't be sold or given to Ukraine.

Tinfoil hat time?

onlyrealcuzzo•2h ago
You know who exports a lot of oil and gas NOT through the straight of hormuz?
slater•1h ago
Brunei?
ddoottddoott•1h ago
Nigeria.
eqvinox•1h ago
Doesn't even matter if it's a direct effect, the increase in oil prices is/will be enough.
ParentiSoundSys•8m ago
It's just funny that people can't stomach that their own ruling class is leading them down the primrose path so they have to go casting about for a foreign bogeyman who's making it happen, despite the fact that every major Western power has bent the knee to this action against Iran.
rurban•2h ago
4 weeks, Trump said. And the stockpile crisis looks like a hoax
lupire•2h ago
If this is true, the real problem is why the US was so undersupplied in core munitions.
spaghetdefects•1h ago
I think the real problem is that the US keeps attacking people at the behest of Israel and to the determent of US citizens.
ParentiSoundSys•6m ago
It's not to the detriment of our ruling classes who have their hands on the actual levers of power.
ZunarJ5•2h ago
We could have had healthcare.
onlyrealcuzzo•1h ago
US healthcare costs on the order of $3T per year.

The Iraq war cost about $2T over a decade.

You could have about 10% subsidized healthcare, which I would obviously argue is better than pointless war killing tons of people.

But you couldn't just "have healthcare".

fma•1h ago
I don't think OP is talking about a specific war, but the overall cost to maintain such a capability and project force all over the world. At least that is what I perceive when people lament about lack of healthcare.

The United States military budget is now 1.5 trillion dollars per year.

onlyrealcuzzo•1h ago
Sure, we could just not have a military and hold hands with Russia and China and everyone else.

We wouldn't need healthcare.

We'd just be dead.

ParentiSoundSys•10m ago
Of course it might cost a lot less if we didn't need to pay for unprovoked attacks on countries like Venezuela and Iran.
eqvinox•1h ago
You're forgetting that U.S. healthcare costs are also massively overblown compared to other western countries, due to the absence of proper collective bargaining. (And possibly even collusion between insurers and healthcare providers to rip off citizens and the government.)
onlyrealcuzzo•1h ago
That has nothing to do with the Department of Defense / War, or its budget.
eqvinox•1h ago
It does with the root comment though, it's all just piss poor politics :-)
dcel•1h ago
The UK spends around £200bn a year on public healthcare that covers everyone, for a population around 1/5th the size. Scale that up and convert to USD and you’re still well under half the $3tn figure you quoted.
onlyrealcuzzo•1h ago
You also can't see a doctor in the UK unless you're effectively dying, and doctors make about 1/5th what they do in the US after taxes.

You could get similar costs in the US for a similar system.

Doctors in the US aren't going to just accept making way less money.

Good luck getting it done.

NegativeK•1h ago
> You also can't see a doctor in the UK unless you're effectively dying

This is not true.

yunnpp•1h ago
I don't know where that narrative comes from, but man, is it getting old.
davidguetta•29m ago
You have no idea of what you are talking about.

Universal healthcare is the norm in all of west / central europe, it's good quality, accessible for EVERYBODY (including the poors), and doctors still have great quality of life and are rich.

You guys are just getting f** by a mafia in the US and defending it for no factual reasons. Both by the military industrial complex AND the medical field btw.

shermozle•1h ago
Yep just like many things Americans are sure can't be done, universal healthcare has never been done anywhere in the world, ever. And healthcare everywhere costs what Americans are willing to pay (public and private money).

See also: not having daily mass shootings.

moogly•1h ago
You are paying for universal healthcare. For Israelis, that is.
righthand•2h ago
Lol no support here for these troops or military operations. Go ahead run out of ammo, I asked for healthcare. If it means a pedophile doesn’t get prosecuted and more innocents die as we bomb cities, I surely do not care just like they don’t care about healthcare. I only have support for those that defend our people, not those that attack others for “reasons”. See you in the afterlife or lack their of. Enjoy your propaganda.
aftbit•1h ago
This is reminding us something that we should never have forgotten - modern war has an insatiable demand for munitions.

To take just one example out of dozens, the US fired somewhere from 100 to 150 THAAD interceptors - about ¼ of the stockpile - during the 12 days war in 2025. We produce just under 100 per year. There are plans to raise that number to 400 per year.

The Ukrainians were expending somewhere around 10,000 drones per day in mid 2025. Russian numbers are likely broadly similar.

Many historical conflicts have featured a substantial bottleneck on multiple munitions during ramp up. World War 1 had artillery shell crises across Britain, France, Russia, and Germany. World War II had similar, especially for the Russians and Germans. The US was short on ammo early in the Korean war.

Modern mechanized combat demands an insane manufacturing and logistics chain. It can burn through stockpiles incredibly fast, especially of high capability expensive munitions. War production levels are utterly unsustainable during peace time.

This is why peer and near-peer conflict is as much an economic and productive game as it is a military one. Shock and awe takes a tremendous amount of resources to accomplish at all, let alone sustain.

ParentiSoundSys•7m ago
If you don't have an industrial base, you don't have a military. Good thing we hollowed ours out to juice the S&P to 7000!
duxup•1h ago
Lets say I'm on team regime change... aren't I also hoping someone we like somehow rises up and takes over that whole country too?

That seems unlikely.

WebMCP is available for early preview

https://developer.chrome.com/blog/webmcp-epp
132•andsoitis•4h ago•79 comments

How to talk to anyone and why you should

https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2026/feb/24/stranger-secret-how-to-talk-to-anyone-why-yo...
451•Looky1173•5d ago•231 comments

Ghostty – Terminal Emulator

https://ghostty.org/docs
617•oli5679•14h ago•277 comments

Tove Jansson's criticized illustrations of The Hobbit

https://tovejansson.com/hobbit-tolkien/
83•abelanger•2d ago•35 comments

Little Free Library Books

https://littlefreelibrary.org/
51•TigerUniversity•4h ago•12 comments

Show HN: Timber – Ollama for classical ML models, 336x faster than Python

https://github.com/kossisoroyce/timber
7•kossisoroyce•1h ago•0 comments

How Next-Gen Spacecraft Are Overwhelming Our Communication Networks

https://atempleton.bearblog.dev/how-next-gen-spacecraft-are-overwhelming-our-communication-networks/
31•korrz•2d ago•5 comments

When does MCP make sense vs CLI?

https://ejholmes.github.io/2026/02/28/mcp-is-dead-long-live-the-cli.html
271•ejholmes•9h ago•185 comments

Microgpt explained interactively

https://growingswe.com/blog/microgpt
198•growingswe•16h ago•30 comments

Decision trees – the unreasonable power of nested decision rules

https://mlu-explain.github.io/decision-tree/
402•mschnell•17h ago•72 comments

What Your DNA Reveals about the Sex Life of Neanderthals

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/26/science/human-evolution-neanderthal-sex.html
21•Hooke•3d ago•11 comments

Long Range E-Bike (2021)

https://jacquesmattheij.com/long-range-ebike/
118•birdculture•3d ago•170 comments

Chorba: A novel CRC32 implementation (2024)

https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.16398
50•fnands•2d ago•15 comments

If AI writes code, should the session be part of the commit?

https://github.com/mandel-macaque/memento
6•mandel_x•2h ago•8 comments

Setting up phones is a nightmare

https://joelchrono.xyz/blog/setting-up-phones-is-a-nightmare/
114•bariumbitmap•3d ago•129 comments

Allegations of insider trading over prediction-market bets tied to Iran conflict

https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20260301140/allegations-of-insider-trading-over-pred...
60•paulpauper•3h ago•28 comments

Flightradar24 for Ships

https://atlas.flexport.com/
191•chromy•15h ago•43 comments

Microgpt

http://karpathy.github.io/2026/02/12/microgpt/
1702•tambourine_man•1d ago•295 comments

Programming in K

https://github.com/JohnEarnest/ok/blob/gh-pages/docs/Programming.md
46•tosh•3d ago•9 comments

I built a demo of what AI chat will look like when it's "free" and ad-supported

https://99helpers.com/tools/ad-supported-chat
474•nickk81•14h ago•268 comments

Why XML tags are so fundamental to Claude

https://glthr.com/XML-fundamental-to-Claude
166•glth•11h ago•116 comments

Interview with Øyvind Kolås, GIMP developer (2017)

https://www.gimp.org/news/2026/02/22/%C3%B8yvind-kol%C3%A5s-interview-ww2017/
127•ibobev•3d ago•56 comments

South Korean Police Lose Seized Crypto by Posting Password Online

https://gizmodo.com/south-korean-police-lose-seized-crypto-by-posting-password-online-2000728191
64•WarOnPrivacy•4h ago•12 comments

Show HN: Vibe Code your 3D Models

https://github.com/ierror/synaps-cad
11•burrnii•2d ago•1 comments

10-202: Introduction to Modern AI (CMU)

https://modernaicourse.org
230•vismit2000•18h ago•53 comments

Operational issue – Multiple services (UAE)

https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status
169•earthboundkid•7h ago•74 comments

Show HN: Audio Toolkit for Agents

https://github.com/shiehn/sas-audio-processor
52•stevehiehn•10h ago•6 comments

New iron nanomaterial wipes out cancer cells without harming healthy tissue

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/02/260228093456.htm
245•gradus_ad•11h ago•83 comments

How the Government Deceived Congress in the Debate over Surveillance Powers (2013)

https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2013/06/director-national-intelligences-word-games-explained-how-go...
83•doener•5h ago•6 comments

Obsidian Sync now has a headless client

https://help.obsidian.md/sync/headless
566•adilmoujahid•1d ago•203 comments