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One Startup Is Gambling. Ten Is Mathematics

https://www.mynameisfeng.com/blog/one-startup-is-gambling-ten-is-mathematics
6•edward8628•1h ago

Comments

lukebuehler•1h ago
This is why taking investments too early is usually a mistake. It locks you in to one hand. Of course, you can pivot, but it is much harder with investors looking over your shoulder.
Jolter•55m ago
This site seems to auto-translate itself into my browser’s locale. Interesting approach but probably not the right choice if your audience is the tech crowd. I’m perfectly fluent in English, thank you very much.

I suppose it’s a clue that the whole thing was copy-edited or written using LLM. Not reading it.

kshri24•53m ago
AI slop.
yakshaving_jgt•51m ago
Thanks ChatGPT. Really بعيد insightful read.
hanspagel•49m ago
How does such a post land on the frontpage :)
sigmoid10•46m ago
>A VC knows that out of 20 investments: 10 will go to zero. 5 will return the money. 4 will make decent returns. 1 will be a unicorn.

From a quick glance at real data, it looks more like 1 in 77 venture backed startups will be a unicorn. Out of 20 startups, 12 will be gone within 7 years, and the majority of the remaining ones will still lose money. Funnily enough, even most unicorns aren't profitable right now. So the real game being played here is to time the exit on that one overvalued company before the market turns. It's not about power laws, it's about preying on irrational markets.

Certhas•43m ago
To successfully execute that strategy you need enough resources to survive losing multiple times. This is one reason why it's not a meritocracy: Founders come overwhelmingly from upper middle class backgrounds, where one or two or three failed startups doesn't ruin your life.
onion2k•40m ago
A VC knows that out of 20 investments: 10 will go to zero. 5 will return the money. 4 will make decent returns. 1 will be a unicorn.

And that is why VC funds never fail!

Except ~25% of funds don't return anything to their investors, so no it's not.

European governments: 3.000 tracking sites, 1.000 phpMyAdmins, and 99% poorly

https://internetcleanup.foundation/2026/05/european-governments-3000-tracking-sites-1000-phpmyadm...
58•aequitas•1h ago•15 comments

Deterministic Fully-Static Whole-Binary Translation Without Heuristics

https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.08419
143•matt_d•3h ago•31 comments

Restore full BambuNetwork support for Bambu Lab printers

https://github.com/FULU-Foundation/OrcaSlicer-bambulab
390•Murfalo•10h ago•173 comments

The vi family

https://lpar.ATH0.com/posts/2026/05/the-vi-family/
133•hggh•1w ago•65 comments

Googlebook

https://googlebook.google/
753•tambourine_man•14h ago•1262 comments

Show HN: Needle: We Distilled Gemini Tool Calling into a 26M Model

https://github.com/cactus-compute/needle
430•HenryNdubuaku•14h ago•145 comments

How to make your text look futuristic (2016)

https://typesetinthefuture.com/2016/02/18/futuristic/
323•_vaporwave_•12h ago•36 comments

Kraftwerk's radical 1976 track

https://www.bbc.com/culture/article/20260511-kraftwerks-radical-1976-track-radioactivity-became-a...
145•tcp_handshaker•9h ago•81 comments

CERT is releasing six CVEs for serious security vulnerabilities in dnsmasq

https://lists.thekelleys.org.uk/pipermail/dnsmasq-discuss/2026q2/018471.html
305•chizhik-pyzhik•14h ago•145 comments

Why senior developers fail to communicate their expertise

https://www.nair.sh/guides-and-opinions/communicating-your-expertise/why-senior-developers-fail-t...
542•nilirl•17h ago•232 comments

Traceway: MIT-licensed observability stack you can self-host in ~90s

https://github.com/tracewayapp/traceway
90•sebakubisz•2d ago•6 comments

What if there was no BASIC in EndBASIC? – by Julio Merino

https://blogsystem5.substack.com/p/no-basic-in-endbasic
13•rbanffy•3d ago•1 comments

My graduation cap runs Rust

https://ericswpark.com/blog/2026/2026-05-12-my-graduation-cap-runs-rust/
144•ericswpark•8h ago•43 comments

Rendering the Sky, Sunsets, and Planets

https://blog.maximeheckel.com/posts/on-rendering-the-sky-sunsets-and-planets/
467•ibobev•18h ago•38 comments

Up in Smoke

https://thebaffler.com/odds-and-ends/the-profession-that-does-not-exist-symposium
16•NaOH•2d ago•0 comments

When "idle" isn't idle: how a Linux kernel optimization became a QUIC bug

https://blog.cloudflare.com/quic-death-spiral-fix/
81•sbulaev•8h ago•5 comments

Quack: The DuckDB Client-Server Protocol

https://duckdb.org/2026/05/12/quack-remote-protocol
273•aduffy•14h ago•54 comments

Scrcpy v4.0

https://github.com/Genymobile/scrcpy/releases/tag/v4.0
153•xnx•11h ago•21 comments

Referer Reality

https://www.robinsloan.com/lab/referer/
36•tobr•2d ago•9 comments

I made rust's cargo copy but for CPP

https://github.com/user-with-username/crow
7•anybodyy•2d ago•2 comments

The Future of Obsidian Plugins

https://obsidian.md/blog/future-of-plugins/
366•xz18r•16h ago•138 comments

Reimagining the mouse pointer for the AI era

https://deepmind.google/blog/ai-pointer/
191•devhouse•14h ago•161 comments

Tell NYT, Atlantic, USA Today to keep Wayback Machine

https://www.savethearchive.com/newsleaders/
314•doener•9h ago•88 comments

Fc, a lossless compressor for floating-point streams

https://github.com/xtellect/fc
60•enduku•2d ago•13 comments

Starship V3

https://www.spacex.com/updates#starship-v3
205•fprog•6h ago•269 comments

As researchers age, they produce less disruptive work

https://nautil.us/is-this-why-science-advances-one-funeral-at-a-time-1280650
63•Brajeshwar•15h ago•59 comments

Lanzaboote – NixOS Secure Boot

https://x86.lol/generic/2022/11/26/lanzaboote.html
83•evilmonkey19•3d ago•9 comments

Bambu Lab is abusing the open source social contract

https://www.jeffgeerling.com/blog/2026/bambu-lab-abusing-open-source-social-contract/
1235•rubenbe•17h ago•391 comments

Show HN: Agentic interface for mainframes and COBOL

https://www.hypercubic.ai/hopper
69•sai18•15h ago•41 comments

Launch HN: Voker (YC S24) – Analytics for AI Agents

https://voker.ai
52•ttpost•16h ago•19 comments