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Xi's 'death watch' will become a global spectacle

https://www.semafor.com/article/10/13/2026/xis-death-watch-will-become-a-global-spectacle
24•semiquaver•1h ago

Comments

throw830373•30m ago
Xi is very young, he is not even 80!

When he turns senile, it will be global spectacle! We seen in last two elections cycles!

throwfaraway135•8m ago
Trump is 80, Putin 74 and von der Leyen 68. You could argue that some of them won't rule after 10+ years, but considering their successors are also going to be old folk that's not reassuring.

Considering almost everyone else is sent to pension/old people home at that age it's funny we let them decide the destiny of humanity.

actionfromafar•7m ago
Von der Leyen is not a "ruler" like Trump, Xi and Putin. There's no great power vacuum behind her.
throwfaraway135•2m ago
She is at the helm of EU for 7 years, and afaik can be there indefinitely. This sounds very rulery to me.
TwoFerMaggie•5m ago
The reason why this happens with Xi in particular, but not the other chairmen between him and Deng:

After Mao, the CCP adopted the concept of collective leadership [1], which dispersed some power from the top guy to the politburo standing committee. Also they established term limits. Deng officially implemented this, perhaps partially due to his personal suffering during the cultural revolution. Of course he was still immensely powerful during his time and ran things behind the curtains for quite a while after he passed the chair. After him, the term limit and collective leadership took hold, and the top guys all retired long before they got too old.

This was of course reversed by Xi after he changed the constitution to abolish the term limit. Now the standing committee also becomes a group of his close followers. Previously, the successor would be brought up into the committee first for a term before he took power. Xi hasn't brought anyone who's much younger than him in.

Therefore we are back to the Mao days. Top guy got older and more frail. Became paranoid of younger, more competent prospects so he purged them. As a result, his circle was filled with supposed loyalists and yes-men, or as the kids these days say, scheming eunuchs. When he finally passed, a power struggle would happen and all the big players would probably not include the ones who were actually good at governing.

This is also why the "they think in centuries" praise from some China enthusiasts always amuses me. Preventing peaceful transfer of power is one of the most shortsighted thing a leader can do, and it almost never ends well. But I would get another term or two, right?

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collective_leadership

plastic-enjoyer•4m ago
It really seems to break some people's brains that China, a self-declared communist nation, is actually successful and the most probable contender to break American hegemony
bm3719•2m ago
[delayed]

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