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Show HN: A luma dependent chroma compression algorithm (image compression)

https://www.bitsnbites.eu/a-spatial-domain-variable-block-size-luma-dependent-chroma-compression-...
17•mbitsnbites•3d ago•0 comments

Show HN: I saw this cool navigation reveal, so I made a simple HTML+CSS version

https://github.com/Momciloo/fun-with-clip-path
36•momciloo•5h ago•5 comments

Show HN: Kappal – CLI to Run Docker Compose YML on Kubernetes for Local Dev

https://github.com/sandys/kappal
37•sandGorgon•2d ago•17 comments

Show HN: Look Ma, No Linux: Shell, App Installer, Vi, Cc on ESP32-S3 / BreezyBox

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292•isitcontent•1d ago•38 comments

Show HN: If you lose your memory, how to regain access to your computer?

https://eljojo.github.io/rememory/
360•eljojo•1d ago•217 comments

Show HN: I spent 4 years building a UI design tool with only the features I use

https://vecti.com
373•vecti•1d ago•170 comments

Show HN: PalettePoint – AI color palette generator from text or images

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2•latentio•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Smooth CLI – Token-efficient browser for AI agents

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97•antves•2d ago•70 comments

Show HN: R3forth, a ColorForth-inspired language with a tiny VM

https://github.com/phreda4/r3
85•phreda4•1d ago•17 comments

Show HN: I built a <400ms latency voice agent that runs on a 4gb vram GTX 1650"

https://github.com/pheonix-delta/axiom-voice-agent
2•shubham-coder•4h ago•1 comments

Show HN: Stacky – certain block game clone

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3•Keyframe•5h ago•0 comments

Show HN: A toy compiler I built in high school (runs in browser)

https://vire-lang.web.app
3•xeouz•5h ago•1 comments

Show HN: Artifact Keeper – Open-Source Artifactory/Nexus Alternative in Rust

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155•bsgeraci•1d ago•64 comments

Show HN: BioTradingArena – Benchmark for LLMs to predict biotech stock movements

https://www.biotradingarena.com/hn
29•dchu17•1d ago•12 comments

Show HN: Slack CLI for Agents

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54•nwparker•2d ago•12 comments

Show HN: ARM64 Android Dev Kit

https://github.com/denuoweb/ARM64-ADK
18•denuoweb•2d ago•2 comments

Show HN: Nginx-defender – realtime abuse blocking for Nginx

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Show HN: Gigacode – Use OpenCode's UI with Claude Code/Codex/Amp

https://github.com/rivet-dev/sandbox-agent/tree/main/gigacode
22•NathanFlurry•1d ago•10 comments

Show HN: MCP App to play backgammon with your LLM

https://github.com/sam-mfb/backgammon-mcp
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Show HN: Micropolis/SimCity Clone in Emacs Lisp

https://github.com/vkazanov/elcity
173•vkazanov•2d ago•49 comments

Show HN: I'm 75, building an OSS Virtual Protest Protocol for digital activism

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8•sakanakana00•10h ago•2 comments

Show HN: I built Divvy to split restaurant bills from a photo

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3•pieterdy•10h ago•1 comments

Show HN: Horizons – OSS agent execution engine

https://github.com/synth-laboratories/Horizons
27•JoshPurtell•1d ago•5 comments

Show HN: Daily-updated database of malicious browser extensions

https://github.com/toborrm9/malicious_extension_sentry
14•toborrm9•1d ago•8 comments

Show HN: Falcon's Eye (isometric NetHack) running in the browser via WebAssembly

https://rahuljaguste.github.io/Nethack_Falcons_Eye/
7•rahuljaguste•1d ago•1 comments

Show HN: Slop News – HN front page now, but it's all slop

https://dosaygo-studio.github.io/hn-front-page-2035/slop-news
22•keepamovin•15h ago•6 comments

Show HN: I Hacked My Family's Meal Planning with an App

https://mealjar.app
2•melvinzammit•12h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Which chef knife steels are good? Data from 540 Reddit tread

https://new.knife.day/blog/reddit-steel-sentiment-analysis
2•p-s-v•5h ago•0 comments

Show HN: I built a free UCP checker – see if AI agents can find your store

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2•vladeta•12h ago•2 comments

Show HN: Local task classifier and dispatcher on RTX 3080

https://github.com/resilientworkflowsentinel/resilient-workflow-sentinel
25•Shubham_Amb•1d ago•2 comments
Open in hackernews

Show HN: DeepShot – NBA game predictor with 70% accuracy using ML and stats

https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot
3•Fr4ncio•3mo ago
I built DeepShot, a machine learning model that predicts NBA games using rolling statistics, historical performance, and recent momentum — all visualized in a clean, interactive web app. Unlike simple averages or betting odds, DeepShot uses Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (EWMA) to capture recent form and momentum, highlighting the key statistical differences between teams so you can see why the model favors one side. It’s powered by Python, XGBoost, Pandas, Scikit-learn, and NiceGUI, runs locally on any OS, and relies only on free, public data from Basketball Reference. If you’re into sports analytics, machine learning, or just curious whether an algorithm can outsmart Vegas, check it out and let me know what you think: https://github.com/saccofrancesco/deepshot

Comments

zahlman•3mo ago
> Unlike simple averages or betting odds, DeepShot uses Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (EWMA) to capture recent form and momentum

This is a lot of buzzwords to describe what I'm pretty sure is either very standard analysis technique in the field, or else known to be problematic for some reason or other.

> highlighting the key statistical differences between teams so you can see why the model favors one side

This is effectively just debug output and similarly doesn't need to be puffed up like that.

> or just curious whether an algorithm can outsmart Vegas

If it could, why are you here advertising the project rather than doing so yourself?

Fr4ncio•3mo ago
Hey, thanks for the comment — I totally get where you’re coming from. Let me clarify a bit what Deepshot actually tries to do and why I built it. The project isn’t meant to “beat Vegas” or make betting calls — it’s an analytical tool that explores whether a model can numerically describe which team is favored to win based purely on data. The EWMA part isn’t buzzword fluff: it’s a deliberate choice. Through a lot of testing, I found that using an exponentially weighted window of 25 games gave the most stable signal, minimizing error between predicted and actual outcomes. In practice, it captures a team’s momentum — how it’s been performing recently — better than simple averages or rolling means. Highlighting the key statistical differences (say, +5% in rebounding or turnover rate) isn’t “puffing up debug output”; it’s a way to help visualize why the model leans toward one side. The NBA is an extremely competitive environment, and even small statistical gaps can meaningfully shift game outcomes — that’s what I wanted to surface. As for the project itself — I’m not trying to sell it or claim it beats bookmakers. I’m sharing it because I’m 20, still learning, and I wanted to build something unique and interactive, not just another command-line model spitting numbers. Deepshot’s goal is to make basketball data exploration fun, transparent, and open to improvement by others who might want to contribute ideas or tweaks. In short — it’s not about betting or buzzwords, it’s about learning, experimenting, and hopefully getting feedback from people who care about sports analytics as much as I do.
zahlman•3mo ago
Okay, I understand the goal then. I think having things like "70% accuracy" in the headline might be misleading (towards my original interpretation) in that case. I can absolutely believe that the favourites in sports events typically have about that size of advantage on average, though.