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A disturbing thought. A world where the marginal cost of software is free

2•toddh•1h ago
With the advent of AI, the marginal cost of software is trending towards zero. Software is no longer a scarce resource.

Not a new idea at all, but the implications hit me hard as I was considering monetization models for my apps.

Unless you are lucky (network effects, timing), grandfathered in, or provide exceptional value, the natural cost of software is free.

Intuit is an example of a grandfathered-in, exceptionally high-value software approach.

And Intuit knows it. They leverage their advantage to a predatory extent.

My wife is an EA, and I know for a fact Intuit puts the screws to all its users. Switching costs are high, and since the sector is an oligopoly, there's really no one to switch to.

But that too shall pass. Hopefully we'll soon see people create bespoke solutions that cut Intuit out. Oh, how I look forward to that day (ironic, I know).

This implies, I think, that if you can't find 1,000 fans or got in under the old model, getting as many users as possible and then transitioning to an advertising model is The Way.

Or perhaps loot/gambling style addictive mechanics? Big data? Everyone an influencer? Regulatory niches?

Once you have scale, advertising works; then users can either pay to avoid it or endure it. We see Netflix and Amazon Prime already doing this.

Yuck. I'm already nostalgic. Or am I wrong?

Comments

marssaxman•1h ago
Open source software eats the world.
toddh•10m ago
Or Any source software eats the world.
pq129•1h ago
To me, the things we need/want being free is a massive positive, not a negative at all. Wouldn't you rather all your expenses were reduced and your needs were met more precisely, than that you had persistent unnecessary expenses?

I understand how as someone wishing to make money this may be undesirable. But I think it is worth considering the bigger picture of what a high-cost life vs a low-cost life looks like for us as individuals, and as a society.

toddh•10m ago
The sword has two edges for sure. And if you're not a programmer, only one edge matters. But if you are...

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