I'd go for the latter, so Australia wasn't getting nuclear either way.
What they had a chance for, and may now get, is vaguely sensible policy to continue their renewable rollout which is, in some aspects, world leading.
Given the level of sunshine or heat inland areas typically get in Australia, solar power or advanced thermocouple panels makes perfect sense. Solar power doesn't necessarily have to be distributed though a major grid - there's plenty of inland small gas fields that would serve as a good source to make ammonia. That at the moment that might not seem greatly useful for energy requirements, but as fuel cells become more popular and available, it'll help stabilise any shortfalls.
Had the opposition won on other issues, nuclear would have been touted as a mandate for them regardless and I fear the people who had the most to gain are those in the industries which would have cashed in around a plethora of studies, committees paid to sit and consider locations and other factors, proposed design ... etc which would run into the billions. Not one study but dozens upon dozens (prob in the hundreds) of them as each case is considered. Studies here are not cheap by any means [1]
[1] https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-09-11/commonwealth-kimba-na...
ggm•9mo ago
7 nuclear sites in an economy with only a swimming pool reactor for research and nuclear medicine, projecting the most favourable cost of construction worldwide.
Most people saw this as cynical, a move by coal and gas mining interests.
Is nuclear energy safe and useful? Probably. It was a terrible fit for this economy. It should have started 40 years ago.
Possibly, arguably this is why the LNP lost but mostly I think, Trump cost them the election. This nuclear thing was a classic city country divide: a lot of mining, fly in fly out heavy engineering workers liked it. City dwellers Not.
skissane•9mo ago
While I agree that Trump and nuclear were factors, I think a bigger factor was charisma - Albanese doesn’t have a lot of it, but at least he’s still above zero, Dutton is a fair way below zero.
Another factor was the anti-work-from-home policy for public servants: not just the policy itself, but abandoning it half way through the campaign was rather damaging to Dutton’s credibility.
ggm•9mo ago
"My guy was misunderstood" is some copium.
anenefan•9mo ago
As for the role Trumpism played - long before the election was called there was an uneasiness in regard to the LNP when trying to channel Trump and similar apparently popular policies. Despite being hugely popular with a certain smaller crowd here, ultimately it didn't work out quite like they expected. None had anything near the artful dodger ability to back peddle or redirect attention when it started to come apart.
As for nuclear being a city country divide, most fly in fly out mine workers my parts are city / town based. I think if such a divide exists, it might be more that town and city folk have a better understanding / familiarity of how much any proposed projected costings for a project differs considerably with the final cost, annually there's more often a multitude of notable projects around towns and cities, where as in the country areas, notable projects are generally singular events and more likely local population would attribute budget blow outs on particular companies that tendered for the project and BSed. The country folk are also probably too trusting believing the particular candidate will go against their party and won't support nuclear.
ggm•9mo ago
rstuart4133•9mo ago
There was theory floated at the last election about what would happen this election. They observed the LNP had gone so far to the right they lost traditional the small l liberals to the Teals. The theory was that would create a positive feed back loop as the liberals that lost their seats to the Teals were the moderates, so the party would lurch to the right.
When I saw Dutton channelling Trump with stunts like proposing Jacinta Price head a an Australian DOGE, I decided that had happened. Anybody who thought that would work was living in a right wing echo chamber. The idea the parliamentary LNP had created an echo chamber so they could not hear the electorate is a bit disturbing. You might hope this result might shock then out of the loop, but it's happened again. It looks like all moderates have lost their seats this time.
We have an example of this loop getting out of control in WA. It destroyed the LNP there.