I guess I would have had to have paid a CGI studio to have made this for me once upon a time:
Or at least a freelancer. So that's one person that's out of a job. That took about 5 minutes with Google Whisk. In fact, if you know a thing or two about 3D/compositing, let me know how much time and effort this would have cost in 2018 please.
Output video looks very cool
For example, many games that previously had no voice at all can now take a low-cost crack at voiceovers and, if it works, get professional VAs. Similarly people who would otherwise waste a long time in a back and forth can send AI generated concept art directly to a 3d modeler to model and rig. This reduces the risk of the transaction (will I get what I actually want?) significantly for these jobs.
However, as with any other technological leverage, it will exacerbate the power law distribution. Once you know what you're getting and that it will be worth it, you're much more likely to hire better professionals and pay them more.
The worst part is that the imprecise language is here to stay the same way cyber came to mean something very different. So we are likely stuck with AI, hallucinations and all that silliness.
And besides, corps have a record of hiring liars, delusional people and anything in between so the analogy breaks on every level anyway.
We’re not enslaved to the system but to our own desire for accomplishment. Being lazy for a day is fine but being lazy for life isn’t sustainable. There are only two avenues adulting humans can take, it’s either work (crime included) or substance abuse (drugs & alcohol).
As a historical analogy, a lot of telephone switchboard operators lost their jobs with the beginning of direct dialing with better telephone switching -- and direct dialing presumably is preferred by most people than having to talk with a person before their calls go through. Although something was also lost in that telephone operators also had a broader informal social role in a community (including as a gossip) and also informally coordinated some emergency services (judging from old-time movies).
Related: https://www.bbntimes.com/society/telephone-operators-the-eli... "As late as 1950, there were about 350,000 women working as switchboard operators working for phone company, and maybe another million working as switchboard operators at offices, factories, hotels, and apartments. Roughly one of every 13 working women was a switchboard operator. Of course, now the number of switchboard operators is nearly zero. The example is often given to point out that in a dynamic economy, even when hundreds of thousands of jobs are “lost,” workers do manage to transition to new jobs. But that basic story lacks detail. James Feigenbaum and Daniel P. Gross have been digging into two aspects: 1) What happened to the women who were displaced from switchboard operator jobs; and 2) for AT&T, what determined the speed and timing of investing in automation to replace switchboard operators? ... The effect of this shock on incumbent operators was to dispossess many of their jobs and careers: telephone operators in cities with cutovers were less likely to be in the same job the next decade we observe them, less likely to be working at all, and conditional on working were more likely to be in lower-paying occupations. In contrast, however, automation did not reduce employment rates in subsequent cohorts of young women, who found work in other sectors—including jobs with similar demographics and wages (such as typists and secretaries), and some with lower wages (such as food service workers)."
So, it sounds like the next generation who pursued different careers did OK even if the displaced generation did worse?
One difference though is that switchboard operator was a relatively recently introduced job in the past century given telephones are a recent invention. People have been writing/thinking, speaking/acting, and painting/drawing/art-ing essentially since there were people (essentially the jobs in the article being replaced).
pdfernhout•1d ago
fallinditch•1d ago
We need to support and train and find the social entrepreneurs who will pioneer and grow these economic alternatives.