I think HN is good litmus test as a lot of people here are at least somewhat technical.
I'd describe myself as a decent mid-level-ish swe, currently building my own startup and I have 0 desire nor inclination to replace any of the software I currently pay for either personally or through my startup. I'm happy to outsource all of that thinking/work to someone else.
I'm also unconvinced by the argument that the pricing comes waaay down because it's so much faster/cheaper/easier to write software now - because while the delivery mechanism is new, cheap software development has been available for a long time. I know founders who paid someone in Pakistan/India ~$1k to build their platform. (Yes, it went exactly how you'd think it would) and I've seen non-technical founders who "vibe code" have a similar experience.
Is this all hot air? When I see this "end of Saas" being touted and then look at my experience using these tools + building my own startup and interacting with customers.. I just don't see any of our customers even coming to close to considering "building it themselves" or even asking why our product doesn't cost like 5 bucks a month.
I'm looking for people who back the "end of SaaS" position and I want to know what it is you're seeing on the ground. What tools are being replaced and how?
ime high quality software is still hard and it takes quite a lot thought, time, good design and testing (before you even deploy it!) - "generating" the code is often not the bottleneck and the idea that I'm going to go and whip up my own postmark/S3/G-suite/CRM just seems crazy to me.
bigyabai•3h ago
So... AI accelerates the demise of stupid businesses and reinforces the value proposition of irreplaceable services. As a whole I would say that is a negative to a market that relies on "disruption" economics to stay afloat and continue raising capital.
afaik•2h ago
I also believe someone could build/replace a product with 100% LLM written code - I just don't believe the effort involved in the building/maintenance of it is so low that it's worth doing.