I can easily believe that number.

However it's unclear how they arrived to it. Can anyone with a Gartner subscription take a look to see if this passes a smell test?

TIL: "agent washing"

So a 60% success rate for these projects? Sounds like good odds!

I can believe it. Agentic AI only really succeeds in the long run when it’s built atop pristine data sources that are themselves automatically maintained and carefully curated.

And have you seen how large enterprises approach data? They threw that into a buzzword half a decade ago and haven’t improved upon it since.

My gut read:

* 40-50% will be outright cancelled by EoCY 27

* 30-40% will soldier onward with a specific model in use, on preserved systems

* 10-30% will be “successful”, actually creating business value by working on live data and in specific use cases (namely read-only chatbots pulling from CRM or other “live” systems)

* <10% will be “runaway successes”, in the form of permanently eliminating a job function from an enterprise or organization and producing significantly more value than they consume.

What percentage of all software projects started in the past 12 month will be cancelled by the end of 2027?

This sounds about right. As fads go, it's a very expensive fad.